Monday, June 15, 2015

It sounds like something out of a dystopian novel: across Europe, hundreds of fake companies have been set up. They function just like a normal corporation would - employees send out invoices, pay bills, even apply for loans - but they don't actually produce anything.  The sham corporations exist for the benefit of the jobless across Europe, desperate to be retrained and put to work. It is "an elaborate training network that effectively operates as a parallel economic universe," according to the New York Times. It's not just about training. It also does something else: gives purpose to the unemployed.  Work gives us a sense of self, to some extent, and most definitely a sense of purpose. It's the bedrock of the structure of most people's lives. Family, vacation, leisure, they all fit around that huge chunk of time during the week known as the workday. Even leaving aside financial concerns, removing that structure and purpose from a person's life often causes depression.
For the most part, people really want to work. A woman the New York Times interviewed, Sabine de Buyzer, told the reporter: "Since I've been coming here, I have had a lot more confidence. I just want to work."  But Europe's economy is still terrible. A lot of people just aren't going to find a job no matter how hard they try. In many countries, more than half of the unemployed population has been out of work for more than a year. That figure is almost 75% in Greece.



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In the absence of finding an actual economic policy solution to the jobs crisis in Europe, fake work for people who are having a hard time finding a job is a pretty good solution. It retrains people in a proactive way. Everybody loves roleplaying; school, not so much. LARPing (Live Action Role Playing) a job keeps people's spirits up while teaching them something. That's effective, even in France's still-struggling economy. From the New York Times:  The success rate of the training centers is high. About 60 to 70 percent of those who go through France's practice firms find jobs, often administrative positions, Mr. Troton said. But in a reflection of the shifting nature of the European workplace, most are low-paying and last for short stints, sometimes just three to six months. Today, more than half of all new jobs in the European Union are temporary contracts, according to Eurostat.  Of course, the question remains: if the French government can afford these fake work training centers, which operate almost completely like normal businesses to the extent of holding fake strikes - a necessary skill for a French employee to have - why not put that money towards actually putting people to work?

Sunday, June 14, 2015

The IMF is being lined up to be the bad guys which suits the EZ politicians immensely.

The IMF decision to pull back their team to Washington will have acted as an ice-cold shower to Tsipras, EU officials and politicians who keep feeding us pie-in-the-sky nonsense about the umpteenth imminent deal, causing the Athens bourse to go up and down like the proverbial piece of 'ladies'' underwear.  Greece's highest court today decided that the 2012 agreement to cut pensions has been illegal. Any new promise on pension reforms is likely to suffer the same fate in the future, so isn't worth the paper they are written on.  I hope that the drastic IMF action will either lead to a complete capitulation by Greece or even better an imminent exit from the Eurozone and the EU.
PS: The artificial bonhomie of these contestants is nauseating. I'd rather have sour-faced, business-like Schaeuble than the conglomeration of grinning fauns.
Debt-management issues seen solely through economist eyes, and dealt with, solely in the economic realm, empowers finance [Schaubles] ministers to influence policy...that's all.
Political [Merkel] leaders are there to heed that advice or snub it - depends entirely on which way the political winds blow.  So Schaubles is being snubbed, sidelined, shoved up a siding - political wind shifted.

Saturday, June 13, 2015

David Cameron has been accused by former Tory cabinet ministers of "rigging" the EU referendum over plans to spend taxpayers' money keeping Britain in Europe.  Owen Paterson and Dominic Grieve, who both served under Mr Cameron, warned him against “loading the dice" by spending public money campaigning for a Yes vote.  The Prime Minister was told that the referendum result could be deemed "illegitimate" if the public felt it was not run fairly.  The criticism came as Philip Hammond confirmed there would be no 'purdah' period limiting government spending in the final weeks before the EU referendum.  It means taxpayers' money could be spent explaining to voters why they should back staying in the EU, if the government takes that position as widely expected.
The announcement came as the Foreign Secretary introduced the EU Referendum Bill for its second reading in the House of Commons. Mr. Hammond justified the lack of restraints on government involvement by saying it would be “unworkable and inappropriate” to block ministers from commenting on European issues.  He promised the government would show “proper restraint” over the issue and would not be delivering leaflets to voters just before the referendum.
However the move triggered claims the government was undermining democracy and attempting to use the mechanics of Whitehall to rig the vote. Mr. Paterson, who served as environment secretary under Mr. Cameron, called the Foreign Secretary’s argument on purdah “nonsense” and urged him to backtrack. "This is an absolutely fundamental issue. If the public have a sense ... that this was rigged, the result will not be legitimate,” he warned. Mr. Grieve, the former attorney general, said it was essential the referendum was held on a “level playing field” and not “abused” by ministers.
He said the lack of purdah could “convey an impression that the Government will come in and try to load the dice, and that must be avoided”.
 
 

Friday, June 12, 2015

The ERM  (European Exchange Mechanism) should have exposed the intent to all. This was and still is with the Euro, the French attempt to protect their economy from competition and the German attempt to export their economy and world view to everyone (but the French, at least for now. One assumes each believes it will win and impose its view on the other. The idea of the ECB was for the French to obtain indirect control over the bundesbank). When Britain left the ERM on white Wednesday it  quickly recovered and became again competitive which drew howls from the French and Germans of "unfair" competition. The same criticism leveled at other nations as they too fell out of the ERM and recovered. The point being that the regulatory framework was intended to prevent nation states using economic instruments to address inflation, unemployment competition etc, if it was to the detriment of France. In their turn the Spanish Italians Danes Swedes and Irish all fell foul of the cosy arrangement between France and Germany and the sweetheart deals that saw Germany act to protect the French economy every time it was in danger but left the rest go hang. Nothing has changed. This may be presented as an "all for one, one for all" community where the good of the EU is paramount over the good of the nation states and it clearly does require that the nation states put the good of the community above the good of the nation state. Except that for all the fine words and aspirational clap-trap it has never ever been that. Nor will it ever be....One of the aim of the Euro was to build an area of fair competitiveness, in areas where currency wars of the 70/80s and race to the bottom was the rule.  Saying that the British economy "became again competitive" when Britain left the ERM is a bit much: it was not a miracle but a mirage.  Problem with the ERM was that the British government was a strong advocate of a strong currency; they entered the ERM with a much too strong Pound; the British economy could stand the pace ...Mr Cameron has pledged to campaign to remain in the EU if he is able to get significant reforms from Brussels over the coming months. Speaking in the Commons, Mr Cameron hinted that he would expect his ministers to vote with the Government in the referendum. A number of eurosceptic ministers have privately indicated that they would like to be able to campaign for Britain to leave the EU.

 

Thursday, June 11, 2015

Warning - greeks want out of EU !!!!

Signs that the standoff between Greece and its trio of lenders is finally ending has cheered investors, leading to a tremendous relief rally in shares in the country’s companies. The Athens Stock Exchange rose by more than 7pc on Thursday morning as negotiators moved closer to a deal. Leaders said that talks had intensified after coming out of a late-night meeting on Wednesday. Alexis Tsipras, the Greek Prime Minister, said that negotiators had “decided to intensify efforts to resolve the differences that remain”. “The European leaders realised that we must offer a viable solution and the chance for Greece to return to growth,” he said. Mr Tsipras said that there would be a further meeting with European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker on Thursday. Mr Juncker said that “personal ties” between himself and Mr Tsipras have been “re-established”, suggesting that the mood at the debt discussions had improved.
Banks are bracing for hundreds of millions of pounds in new claims for foreign exchange manipulation from class-action lawsuits triggered by last week’s vast market rigging fines.
Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and four other banks were ordered on Wednesday to pay $6bn (£3.84bn) by UK and US authorities.   The Barclays penalty represents the biggest bank fine in British history. The regulators, detailing how traders gathered in chatrooms using monikers such as “The Cartel” and “Coiled cobra” to rig the $5.3 trillion-a-day currency market, also forced the banks to plead guilty to criminal charges. Lawyers say that the fines, as well as an investigation from the European Commission, could be a springboard to damaging civil litigation in the UK and Europe. Some lawyers believe settlements could ultimately exceed the fines handed out by regulators, although the total bill will depend on how claimants assess the scale of damages they have suffered.
Traders at the banks colluded to manipulate currency benchmarks used to peg foreign exchange orders from corporate clients, meaning they made huge profits while clients were ripped off.
Several class-action lawsuits have been filed and settled in the US, with banks paying out hundreds of millions in compensation. Citigroup, one of the six banks to be fined last week, said on Wednesday that it had agreed $394m of payments to settle private cases in the US, and RBS said it had reached a deal, without revealing how much it will pay.  US laws make it easier to arrange such cases, but firms in the UK are now canvassing support for action on this side of the Atlantic.  Law firm Hausfeld, which has been involved in several class action cases in the US and has secured settlements worth $800m, is drumming up support from institutions in the UK and Europe. It says court cases are expected on the continent in the coming months.

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

The EU is increasingly weaker and it is becoming impossible to control the processes that are taking place on its territory, informs Sputnik International, which states that Europe will become a playground for the US and Russia, which are trying to expand their influence.  According to the publication Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten, the EU is no longer capable of controlling the processes that are happening on the European continent because the policy is dictated by NATO, led by the US, and the European governments are mere members of the audience.  According to the German newspaper, the government led by Angela Merkel is weakened by the espionage scandal, while the EU is no longer a community of values, just a purely economic community, in which every party is trying to balance its selfishness. The EU is helpless when its conflicts appear on the European territory, Sputnik International further shows, and it says: "Whether it's Greece, Ukraine or Macedonia, the EU governments have proven incapable of making efficient decisions and are only acting as observers.   For example, this is valid for the conflict in Ukraine, where the United States have forced the European governments to impose economic sanctions on Russia, one of the most important trade partners of the EU, Sputnik International also says, which adds that now, the EU has to pay twice: first of all the business sector is suffering significant losses because of Russia's sanctions, and second of all, European taxpayers have to finance new loans to keep Ukraine's economy afloat.  According to the German newspaper, the EU is becoming a playground for Russia and the US, which are trying to extend their areas of influence in the region: "Europe is a major energy market if the US decides to export the technology of hydraulic fracking and Russia is trying to secure its exports of natural gas".  "It is highly unlikely that the two opponents will have a monopoly, but even without it, both of them can earn a lot of money", the article further states. Thus, the outrageous statement of American official Victoria Nuland - "Fuck the EU"- seems to have become a reality, the EU states.  According to Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten, this negative trend is the logical consequence of the contradictory development of the EU, which is derived from the paradox of arrogance and of the strife within the EU.