
Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Think of some ships at sea and a storm is coming. The ships want to clear their decks so they aren't top heavy. For the SS Eurozone to take on 200 billion or so euros of defaulted Greek debt now would make it top heavy. Better to leave it 'off balance sheet' as a contingent liability and worry about it later. Let's say some big European banks are heading for trouble because of some Latin American loans ( Brazil is near collapse) or because they are short the dollar. The SS Eurozone is going to need all the financial ballast it has to keep the ship from capsizing. Greece won't matter if that happens...Bank doing predatory lending. It is all they can do now. These are not loans to Greece they are bailouts for the creditors. If you borrow money you can spend it how you choose. If the lender tells you how you must spend it, then it isn't a loan. If you are responsible for spending the money you are responsible for paying it back. But here, it is the creditors who are making all the decisions. Nobody is forcing them to lend the Greeks money, so the question is WHY ARE THEY LENDING MONEY TO GREECE?..The Greek people were sacrificed. I have to wonder who made Tsipras make this 180 degree turn. Wouldn't it have been better if Tsipras didn't call for elections if this is the result? His closest allies are Nea Democratia now...It was reported this week that Germany stands to get 85bn out of Greece's misery and the change to the interest arrangements.
Should there be no write off of Greek debt, this crisis will be permanent, but the Eurofanatics cannot let the dream die, whatever the cost......Deutschland Uber Alles never had such resonance...
Should there be no write off of Greek debt, this crisis will be permanent, but the Eurofanatics cannot let the dream die, whatever the cost......Deutschland Uber Alles never had such resonance...
What should worry everyone is that, for some reason, all the parties are moving this new deal along without the usual haggling and complaints. This appears to be not so much an exercise in kicking the can as 'sweeping the whole mess under the rug'. So one might ask why the need for a quick resolution of an intractable problem? My guess is a much bigger storm is about to hit. The turmoil in Forex started by the Chinese devaluation of the RMB and the collapse of commodity prices and the shrinking of trade, indicate a major financial crisis is imminent and Greece just does not matter anymore. Greece, if you will is yesterday's problem. A Northern Rock when RBS and Lehman Brothers are crumbling.
Monday, August 24, 2015

Sunday, August 23, 2015

However, I'm also in the same camp as British right-wingers who dislike the EU and find the concept of a single currency (and those who continue to try to prop it up) utterly ludicrous. As much as I sympathize with the Germans, I can't see an agreement which imposes ever more austerity on the Greeks while keeping them tethered to the euro as any kind of successful outcome. We keep hearing that Greece leaving the euro wouldn't solve its problems, that what it really needs are structural reforms. That may be true, but I also think that those problems can't be solved without Greece first recovering its own monetary sovereignty, so that in the short term it can devalue and regain some degree of competitiveness. Unfortunately all sides in this, from German fiscal hawks to Greek socialists, see Greece remaining in the euro as a best case scenario. That's why any agreement reached is doomed to failure...Europe is stuck on a roundabout and cant find an exit; For the last 5 years its been fixated on a failed Euro conceit. Fire hosing our money at the Greek and other receiving nations, whilst policies for boosting growth across Europe have been cast aside. What a Joke. Lets get out fast. Cant wait for 2016 referendum...The IMF should have nothing to do with this deal. It was not created to prop up a currency union, when the policies of the major player in the currency union are making a bad situation even worse. Not much point the Greeks holding further elections either. If they remain in the Euro, no Greek Government will be able to change the terms of their serfdom. They need to leave the Euro and reclaim the ability to govern their own country. Varofakis leaving the Tsipras Government after the Referendum is looking like a clever move. Perhaps he's readying himself for a comeback.
Saturday, August 22, 2015

We are about to throw yet another €100 billion into the bottomless pit of Greek cash consumption. It will achieve nothing, beyond delaying the eventual decision for another year, if that. We used to laugh, at the stupidity of the FinMin group who spend an increasing amount of their time trying to make the financial systems they control fit the political demands of the Europhiles. Now we just pity the group. They have lost all credibility. If the FinMins were a hopeless failing animal, we would have put them out of their misery, a long time ago. When is someone going to come out and tell the uncomfortable truth to power that needs to be spoken?
It is over for Greece in the €uro zone.
Friday, August 21, 2015

Ditto in Greece,, It seems Greek MPs are also "completely in the dark" about
whether Greece will receive any debt relief - and if yes, when.
I've just got off the phone with Costas Lapavitsas, a Syriza MP
and professor of economics at SOAS university in London, who has described
today's agreement in principle as "outrageous", misleading and based on policies
that have failed over the past five years.
He described claims by officials that Greece will avoid
austerity measures worth around €20bn because of the relaxed primary surplus targets
attached to the new debt deal as "wrong".
He said the debt deal had "bypassed democratic procedure" because MPs had not
been consulted before it was announced. "When were these conclusions [on prior
actions and targets] made? Who decided on that? It's outrageous, it's
absolutaely outrageous," he said.
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Alexis Tsipras resigns and calls September snap election !!!!!!!!!!!
Embattled prime minister will stand down after losing backing from his MPs over Greece's punishing new bail-out agreement ... The rumour mill is well under way, with talk suggesting that speaker of the Greek parliament Zoe Constantopoulou will join a breakaway Leftist faction. Ms Constantopoulou has been a constant thorn in the side of the PM, and is one of the most vocal critics of the new bail-out deal in the government. However, former minister Yanis Varoufakis - who is not affiliated with the Left Platform - is likely to stick by his prime minister and current finance chief Euclid Tsakolotos. An election will create more political uncertainty, delay economic recovery and impede reform implementation. However, it appears to be unavoidable if Greece is to have a government committed to implementing the bail-out agreement. An election will give Mr Tsipras the opportunity to secure a mandate for the reform programme and remove troublesome left-wingers from parliament. Under Greek electoral law, if an election is held within 18 months of the previous poll, the order in which candidates are listed on ballots is also the order in which they are elected, and that order is set by the party leader. The mind-boggling scope of the reforms in the new agreement, which extend into virtually every area of the economy and polity, exceed anything visited upon even the post-communist states of eastern Europe. The referendum result of 5 July, in which 61pc of voters rejected austerity measures demanded by Greece's creditors, revealed that there is a large body of opinion that is prepared to countenance a break with the euro. In coming months and years, support for remaining within the euro zone "at all costs" will diminish significantly.
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