Tuesday, May 1, 2012

BRUSSELS -- European countries have narrowed their differences over new rules on bank capital ahead of a key meeting of finance ministers, but European officials say a big gap remains over whether member states should be allowed to impose higher requirements on their own banks. The ministers meet Wednesday in a gathering called specifically to pin down rules over how much capital banks in the bloc should be forced to hold on their balance sheets. Also in dispute is whether banks should be able to count capital held in insurance subsidiaries a Vítor Constâncio, ECB vice president, last week said member states should be able to impose stricter rules. The original proposals were put forward last July by the European Commission, based on agreements reached by the Basel Committee of international banking regulators, which is named after the Swiss city where they meet. Member states, the Commission and the European Parliament must reach agreement on the new rules, to be phased in from the start of next year, and the Commission had hoped for a decision this summer. Some EU member states, led by the U.K., are urging a strict interpretation of the Basel proposals, saying failure to follow through could risk a repeat of the 2008 financial crisis. Others warn that with Europe's economy sinking back into recession, a rigid interpretation of capital and liquidity requirements could further crimp lending and damage the recovery....I recently spoke to a friend who told me the following : "I currently live and work in Spain and it feels very odd. It doesn't feel like a country in recession with 25% unemployment. I remember the UK recessions of the 80s and 90s and they felt a lot worse. I don't know if the spanish are in denial. The spaniards I work with still enjoy the 2 hr lunches, 2 coffee breaks and great social lives. The shops are full as are the bars and cafes. The spanish are not very productive and they don't seem to care. I have my colleagues what recessions usually feel like and they look horrified. It won't hit home until a large bank goes bust or one of the overspending regions goes cap in hand to Madrid, until then, the Spanish will not worry as it is only teenagers and young people who are out of work and most of the middle aged, middle class workers don't care."
ELSEWHERE IN EUROPE -  The French-led counter-attack and rumblings of revolt through every branch of the EU institutions last week have brought this aberrant phase of the eurozone crisis to an abrupt end. "It’s not for Germany to decide for the rest of Europe," said François Hollande, soon to be French leader, unless he trips horribly next week. Strong words even for the hustings. "If I am elected president, there will be a change in Europe's construction. We’re not just any country: we can change the situation," he said.  European allies are flocking to his cause from left and right, he claims. Not even Austria supports Germany’s austerity drive any longer.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Lloyds and RBS are set to be among the banks hardest hit by the planned dowgrades by Moody's, the most important of the three established ratings agencies.


Profits at Lloyds are forecast to fall 16pc next year, while RBS's earnings will drop 8pc, as the banks face higher funding costs, as a result of their downgrades by Moody's, according to Citigroup.


Both banks have put in place major turnaround programmes aimed at returning them to profitability. But Citigroup warned these plans could be disrupted by the downgrades, which could also upset plans to privatise the lenders.


Lloyds, which is 41pc owned by the state, is currently rated A1 by Moody's but is expected to be downgraded by two notches to A3. Citigroup said the lender would as a result have to put up a further £24bn of assets against its secured borrowings, to compensate for the increase in its perceived riskiness.


The report from Citigroup comes as Lloyds prepares to unveil on Tuesday its results for the first three months of the year, which are expected to show the bank made a profit of about £200m

Anonymous said...

I know from first hand knowledge that even up to a year or so ago Halifax as a mortgage lender were placing greater emphasis on sales and neglecting risk management by seeking to knoble professional advisers to tell them what they wanted to hear to reach sales targets, so I fully understand why Lloyds banking group might be downgraded assets they have taken as loan security are no way as valuable as they were first presented. Halifax up until relatively recently were offering mortgages for purchasers with a 5% to 10% cash back to form a contrived deposit based on an overinflated purchase price or valuation. Somehow I do not think all the irresponsible individuals within HBOS LLoyds have been weeded out yet.

Anonymous said...

Governments have lost control of the currency, that is, there is far more "money" in circulation than assets to cover it. Any business that counts its "assets" as debt is going to be in serious long term trouble.

Anonymous said...

The only way these banks will make a decent profit is by charging customers more and less risky lending - the shareholders, mainly us as taxpayers, do not receive dividends and until shareholders receive dividends, do not expect the banks' valuations to be over what the government paid.

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welchers

04/30/2012 11:04 PM




Lloyds is only just allowed to pay dividends again...


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cheddargeorge

Today 12:29 AM




#welchers

Curious. Are they? I wasn't even aware they were allowed to pay dividends at all, while they are still 41% government owned.

Would be interested to see a link, or additional info'. Thx

Anonymous said...

The only way these banks will make a decent profit is by charging customers more and less risky lending - the shareholders, mainly us as taxpayers, do not receive dividends and until shareholders receive dividends, do not expect the banks' valuations to be over what the government paid.

Recommended by 4 people
Recommend
Report
.









welchers

04/30/2012 11:04 PM




Lloyds is only just allowed to pay dividends again...


Recommend
Report
.









cheddargeorge

Today 12:29 AM




#welchers

Curious. Are they? I wasn't even aware they were allowed to pay dividends at all, while they are still 41% government owned.

Would be interested to see a link, or additional info'. Thx

Anonymous said...

The pound was also stronger against the US dollar, where last week's weaker-than-expected growth figures for the first three months of 2012 were followed by a closely watched barometer of business in Chicago. Although figures last week showed the UK economy suffering from a double-dip recession, dealers are now anxious that the recovery in the world's biggest economy is losing momentum.

City analysts said the rise in the value of the pound was not a vote of confidence in the UK but rather a vote of no confidence in the eurozone, where growth prospects are deemed to be worse than they are in Britain. Speculation that the Bank of England will be reluctant to expand its £325bn quantitative easing programme has also underpinned the pound over the past month, a period when pressure has mounted on bond markets in Spain and Italy.

Valentin Marinov, currency analyst with CitiFX in New York, said the next few days could be crucial for the pound because the monthly Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) surveys starting on Tuesday of manufacturing, construction and services would be closely watched for evidence that last week's figures showing a 0.2% drop in gross domestic product in the first three months of the year gave a false picture of the true state of the economy.

Anonymous said...

Pound's two-year high against euro

So is that good news, if so, for who?

From where I see it people will realise they are using the same amount of resourses as they were a couple of years back give or take a little bit. So all the "crisis" this, and "crisis" that! Isn't it all just bullshit spin from the new religion - economics? However clever you are, even if you are an expert in the field, you will never be able to get your head around "the invisible hand", at the throat. But rest assured, it will always be understood as the reason why you will always have to work harder, for longer, for less. Eyyy orrrrr; eyyyyy orrrrrrr, ...