Wednesday, May 22, 2013

ROME—Italy's new government took its first concrete steps Friday, announcing some €3 billion ($3.86 billion) in economic measures aimed at offering relief to households and workers amid the country's longest postwar recession. Prime Minister Enrico Letta, who was sworn in last month as head of a coalition cabinet, said an unpopular tax on primary residences would be suspended and an extra €1 billion would be pumped into a wage-supplement program.  The measures were the bare minimum of what the new government has pledged. Notably, none of the announced benefits address what politicians have identified as the national priority: youth unemployment. Still, they signal a breakthrough of sorts given the stark political differences among the politicians that make up the patchwork majority behind Italy's first bipartisan government in more than 60 years.  Mr. Letta and his deputy, Angelino Alfano representing the mainstream left and right parties respectively—were upbeat about the day's cabinet meeting, where ministers managed to avoid the squabbles that have characterized recent meetings.  "We scored a goal on our first try," said Mr. Alfano, whose conservative People of Freedom party had demanded that the new property tax—introduced by former Prime Minister Mario Monti be scrapped. Mr. Letta, however, emphasized that only the summer installment of the tax on primary residences is being suspended. That is because the government intends this summer to overhaul the way Italy's tax code impacts real estate overall. Rome draws €44 billion in revenue from taxes, tariffs and other levies related to private property. About half of that is linked to ownership and the rest to service charges. The planned reform will "help households and the construction sector," the prime minister said, adding that businesses would be offered tax credits and breaks on properties they owned as part of production processes.  The decision to lower a tax on property is popular, because of Italy's high home-ownership rates. But it also reduces the government's room to maneuver on another important issue: lowering income and business taxes. Italian income taxes are unusually high even by European standards and hobble competitiveness and output, said Timo del Carpio, an economist at RBC Capital Markets in London.  The property tax was an efficient tool to spread out Italy's painful fiscal adjustment amid the euro-zone debt crisis, said Mr. Carpio. The decision to undo it shows that Mr. Letta's "fragile coalition is already proving to be an obstacle" toward that goal, he said.  While Mr. Alfano's party demanded the property tax cut, supporters of Mr. Letta's center-left Democratic Party wanted more money for a welfare program that has come under strain amid the economic downturn. The measure announced on Friday will provide new money for furlough schemes, helping companies keep their workforces intact. However, because those on furlough aren't part of the hoards of jobless people in Italy, the new measures do little to help tackle the country's 11.5% unemployment.  Mr. Letta is also working on a plan to offer tax breaks for new hiring but no final decisions have been taken, in part because the program is likely to prove far more costly than the measures announced Friday.   In an important shift from the past two years of Italy's economic policy, the latest measures will be "100% funded by public spending cuts and not by shifting the tax burden somewhere else," Mr. Alfano said. He didn't give details.  As things stand, Rome has little margin in making its future moves. Mr. Letta reiterated his intention to keep this year's budget deficit below 3.0% of gross domestic product, in accordance with European Union rules. That should allow Italy to be released from European strictures on countries with excessive deficits—an outcome cabinet officials expect will provide further fiscal relief by lowering sovereign borrowing costs.   "These are just our first steps," Mr. Letta said.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Downing Street will launch a staunch defence of the government's economic strategy and says it will stick to its plans when the International Monetary Fund publishes the findings of its annual survey of the British economy on Wednesday.

Treasury officials have gone to great lengths to prepare a response after Christine Lagarde, the head of the IMF, warned last month that George Osborne should rethink the pace of his deficit-reduction plan.

Downing Street said on Tuesday that it would not anticipate what the IMF will say when it publishes its annual healthcheck of the British economy under its article IV programme. But the prime minister's spokesman added: "The government believes it has the right economic approach."

Lagarde said in Washington last month that the IMF had always warned that if the economy grows at a slow rate then it is right to slow the pace of deficit reduction. She said: "We very much stand by that. Consideration should be given if growth weakens, and looking at the numbers, without having dwelled and looked under the skin of the British economy, as we will do in a few weeks' time under the article IV, the growth numbers are certainly not particularly good."

Downing Street said that the latest GDP figures showed that the British economy is growing and jobs are being created. "Our view is the economy is healing and we are on the right road but we have to stick to it," Cameron's spokesman said.

Danny Alexander, the chief secretary to the Treasury, said over the weekend that the economy was showing "increasing momentum" and it would be wrong to change course. He told the Sunday Politics on BBC1: "It's a very, very hard road that we're on. It's going to continue to be hard for a while, but at a time when we're seeing those signs of progress that would be entirely the wrong time to go back to scratch, to start again with an economic strategy from scratch.

"Instead we're going to stick to the plans that we've set out, deliver the deficit reduction as we've set out, but also reform our economy to help businesses grow and create jobs."

The prime minister's spokesman dismissed suggestions that Britain may be witnessing the green shoots of recovery – an echo of the famous phrase used by Norman Lamont in the early 1990s to signal a return to growth.

"Ah, the gardening question – I suppose it is spring," the spokesman said. "The prime minister's view is the economy is healing."

Anonymous said...

Yes, some producing states sell natural gas at prices index linked to crude oil. Norway and Russia, Quatar and I think Iran are/were examples. However, its down to the electricity generating companies how they balance revenue, cost and set their margin targets. Therein lies the problem. The generators are slow to reduce price and prefer not to pass on cost reductions for their fuel unless they see a long term trend in costr reduction.... and may not follow the full cost reduction evemn then, pulling in a margin ' boost'

Anonymous said...

Gas (and hence electricity) and oil are linked but weakly. Gasprom for one does attempt to link the price of gas that they sell to oil, but increasingly they are trading as different commodities. The issue with gas is that it's not particularly fungible because the infrastructure to transport it doesn't exist in many places leading to massive price differences between the USA, Europe and Asia for the same stuff.

Anonymous said...

It is alarming how critical the fuel price is to inflation and prosperity. We need to wean ourselves off this drug- painful in the short term but beneficial in the long term as we will be better able to withstand future increases in the cost of oil which will be more expensive to extract.

Few people have commented how, despite the global downturn, despite increased car efficiencies, demand destruction and increased use of trains the price of oil remains stubbornly in excess of $100. Where would it be if the economy was expanding? or is it the case that the economy cannot expand whilst we are so dependent on oil.

There is also the issue of safety. I do not mean to seem uncharitable but the tragic death of a young lass from S. Yorks on the M62 in a mini bus on the way to a hen party in Liverpool made me think- why did n't they go by train ? There is a station at South Elmsall- her home town and Liverpool to my knowledge is still on the rail network. By pushing up oil prices with increased duty Geo. Osborne would save lives.

Anonymous said...

And if petrol has such an influence on the rate of inflation why doesn't the government simply lower the fuel duty accordingly and they will reach their inflation target...obviously they don't really want to reach this low inflation target, because it would be impossible to pay for our national debt in the longer term. Inflation kills debt.

Anonymous said...

banks crashed (bailed out) september 2008, brent- crude on almost vertical trajectory up to $147 a barrel at september 2008.(now $104 a barrel) excellent graph of this can be found at INDEX MUNDI commodities (brent crude last10 year),spooky co-insidence.

Anonymous said...

Italy Considers Job 'Handoffs' to Young
Italy is considering allowing older workers to reduce their work hours while mentoring younger employees as a way to bring down youth unemployment.

Anonymous said...

In his speech to the parliament, Mr Barroso asked: "How can we explain to honest households and businesses who are feeling the squeeze yet still paying their fair share of taxes, that there are other parts of society and enterprise who are deliberately avoiding paying up?"

A trillion euros was, he said, "a huge amount of money to simply let through the net".

Many commentators think the Swiss tradition of banking secrecy is on its way out
He said he would make a call at Wednesday's summit of EU leaders for the EU to adopt automatic exchange of income information on 1 January 2015.

EU tax authorities, he pointed out, already automatically exchanged information for income such as employment, pensions and insurance but he was proposing to include "all relevant types of income, such as dividends and capital gains".

Austria, which has a strong tradition of banking secrecy, would support EU efforts to exchange information on foreign depositors, Chancellor Werner Faymann was quoted as saying by Reuters news agency on Tuesday.

"We won't be the ones who put on the brakes and block things, and not the ones whose concerns put up blockades," he said.

He noted that 1tn euros was "pretty much exactly the EU budget for the next seven years".