Herr Juncker, the head of the European Commission, is about to announce a plan
whereby the EU puts $26 billion or so into an investment fund which is then
geared up with private money to amount to a $390 billion fund that will
revolutionize the European economy, light the flames of the white heat of
technology and so drearily on. Sadly, the plan is based upon a simple
misconception. It’s possible that there’s a case for public investment in a
number of areas: there are such things as public goods, after all. It’s also
possible that there’s a case for greater private investment in certain areas:
that is how the economy advances, after all. But there’s no case at all for
trying to make those public investments, potentially in public goods, on private
sector terms. Yet that is what the fund is trying to do: I suspect that some
have been reading a little too much Professor Mazzucato here (to the extent that
Mazzucato’s “work” is not just an extended justification for this type of
action). The European Union is planning a 21 billion-euro ($26 billion) fund to
share the risks of new projects with private investors, two EU officials said.
The new entity is designed to have an impact of about 15 times its size, making
it the anchor of the EU’s 300 billion-euro investment program, said the
officials, who asked not to be named because the plans aren’t final. European
Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker is due to announce the three-year
initiative in coming days. The commission will pledge as much as 16 billion
euros in guarantees for the vehicle, which will also include 5 billion euros
from the European Investment Bank, the officials said. Loans, lending guarantees
and stakes in equity and debt will be part of its toolbox, with the goal to
jumpstart private risk-taking so that stalled projects can get off the ground.
Here’s what the problem with this sort of idea is. It’s absolutely true that
there’re such things as public goods. These are, in the jargon, non-rivalrous
and non-excludeable. No, don’t worry, it just means that it’s very difficult
indeed to make money out of them. That people can’t make money out of them means
that we think that private investment won’t produce enough of them. So, to get
to the optimal level of their production we should have government, which
doesn’t have to worry about making a profit, do the investing. This is the
argument in favor of government funding basic research and even of their
funding primary schools. It’s fine, it’s a simple argument that we see as far
back as Adam Smith. It’s also true that there’s things that will be funded,
happily, by private investment. Assuming success it’s possible to make a profit
so people have every incentive to gather in some capital, invest, and try to
make a success out of whatever it is. There is no need for government funding
here as the necessary incentives already exist. Government wouldn’t be helping
here, at best they might crowd out private investment and more likely to, due to
incomprehensible paperwork (yes, I have looked at such schemes myself, in my day
job in business), slow down projects and even make them less likely to succeed.
So there is an argument for government investing. But that argument only holds
for those public goods, where it’s not possible (or very difficult) to make a
profit assuming success. Government investment where profit can already be made
is contra-indicated. So what does this fund intend to do? Invest government money
on commercial, private sector terms. To take equity and bond stakes in the
projects funded. But if a project is viable, in the sense that it is possible to
profit from success, then we don't need nor want the government involvement.
Where we do want the government involvement, where there is one of those public
goods, then we can't, by our very definition, appropriate the returns from that
public goods component. So there’s nothing there that we can pay back that
government portion of the investment from. In fact, by forcing the commercial,
non public goods, part of the investment to share the returns with the public
sector we then lower returns for everyone and make the project less likely to
happen, not more.
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