Monday, September 12, 2016

France’s opposition party will field eight candidates in primaries to decide who will lead it in next year’s presidential election. Polls suggest the winner of the November two-round party vote will become the country’s next leader.
After Les Républicains (LR) party nominations closed on Friday evening, the stage was set for a rightwing “duel” between former president Nicolas Sarkozy and former prime minister Alain Juppé, now mayor of Bordeaux.
Polls predict that whoever wins the primary will be in the second-round runoff next May against the Front National’s Marine Le Pen; the latest show Juppé, 71, still the favourite with LR voters, but Sarkozy, 61, snapping at his heels. According to market researchers TNS Sofres, if the election were held tomorrow Juppé would win the second round against Le Pen with 55% of votes, but pollsters agree that former Socialist finance minister Emmanuel Macron could seriously upset the contest if he decides to stand. Macron, an ex-banker, resigned from the Socialist government last month but has not said if he will join the presidential race. Le Figaro suggests he would knock out Sarkozy to take third place.
The only woman among the eight LR candidates, former minister Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, 43, is an outside bet.

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