Cheap oil is great when you're filling the tank of your car or topping off fuel for your oil burner for a last-minute winter blast. But not everyone benefits from low oil prices, as Daily Finance has reported. In particular, more forms of oil production that are costlier and economic when crude tops $100 a barrel can quickly go out of favor when prices are less than half of that. Heavy layoffs had already begun in January, according to Daily Finance, hitting 31,000 by the end of the month. They were only expected to get more intense, and they have. Worldwide, layoffs have broken the 100,000 mark, as a Bloomberg story mentioned. The problem is that the oil industry interconnects with many others. Production requires equipment, which uses steel and other metals. Professionals buy and sell commodities. Refineries tend to specialize in certain qualities of oil. Slow product of something like tar sands oil and all sorts of companies that feel the pinch might start layoffs...Tens of thousands of workers of all types - drillers, commodities experts, safety inspectors, pipefitters, support staff, and many others - have pulled up their roots and headed to oil boomtowns where the pay was good. As the layoffs come, not only are they hit hard, but are likely far from friends, family, and any support network. Australia has been hit hard. So has Canada, according to the Globe and Mail, where tar sands made expensive but available oil. Multiple companies in Calgary alone have announced significant staff reductions. Cutbacks are so severe that the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development has reduced estimates of Canadian growth in 2015. The U.S. is hardly immune. According to Forbes, there have been nearly 59,000 layoffs by oil service companies. Manufacturing companies have cut 7,100 jobs. Beyond the problems the individuals and their families face is the potential impact on the U.S. economy. Not only do the layoffs mean less consumer spending, but the oil industry has represented one source of new jobs, only with good salaries, rather than the many low-paid service industry positions that have helped expand the number of jobs, but not people with much ready cash to spend.
Saturday, March 28, 2015
Friday, March 27, 2015
Nations are being controlled by the parliamentary system of the EU. Nations
therefore reject being pushed around. Nations vote for their own leaders but not
the leaders of the EU. Most laws that effect EU member states are made in
Brussels. The national governments have lost their power to govern. The
national political systems were designed to cope with the concept of the total
control of their nation . Today this not the case . Big Brother Brussels
dictates most laws that effect EU member nations. Thus we have too many nations
with too many national politicians for the needs of nations. EU laws that may be
good for Germany of the UK ,however are way out of line for Greece or
Italy. The EU has relegated national governments to municipal level. A low
grade position as it were. Thus too many politicians are sitting around
complaining all day and have not powers of governing. France is a socialist marvel, a place to which many, many people want to go
and live forever. Everything is better in France. Just ask the French. They
elect socialist leaders because they know in their hearts socialism is a joy and
the best way to organize an economy. In fact, France is so wonderful that they
even have complete districts with sha'ri'a law that protects women from the
molestations of others. The French welcome any and all who want to enjoy such
bounty.
If only the rest of the proles of Europe would accept such a model, Utopia
would be at hand!
Thursday, March 26, 2015
With another 350 million euros leaving Greece on Friday for a payment due to the International Monetary Fund, the state coffer looks frighteningly empty. At the same time, state revenues have dropped significantly. Greek banks face a serious liquidity problem as on Wednesday alone depositors withdrew a total 300 million euros. At the same time, they only received 400 million euros under the Emergency Liquidity Assistance scheme. The ELA limit is 69.6 billion euros.
At the same time, the Greek state withdraws available funds from security funds in order to cover financing needs. A Greek official said in Brussels that Athens has no problem paying the 350-million-euro installment to the IMF. However, by the end of April Athens will need 4.3 billion euros for public employees’ salaries, pensions and other obligations. At the same time banks should renew state bonds worth 2.4 billion euros. Another major problem for the Greek economy is non performing loans.Loan payments have been extremely low since the beginning of the year when Greece was gearing up for snap elections. Debts to the state also increased as taxpayers are uncertain over new tax laws. In the first two months in 2015, there were 57 million euros in bad checks and unpaid bills of exchange. Loan payments dropped by 1.5 billion euros while payments for debts to the state dropped by 1.7 billion euros. - "Can we all spend lots of time & loads of money at meetings into the small hours, where we can all pretend that Greece is going to compute how it is going to increase its revenues and pretend also that Greece will be able to repay its debts, and pretend at the same time that we will NOT bail Greece out but then offer some small assistance so we can get our Banks off the hook, and then pretend that Greece is suited to the Eurozone and pretend to be tough so our electors think we know how to manage, and then pretend to be tough but give yet more money to Greece, and pretend further, that Greece will remain in the Eurozone forever..................... and that the Euro concept is truly wonderful and good for all nations and ................Yours truly and lovingly, Aunty Merkel....... ad infinitum, etc. etc, Blah, bulls--t. waffle, drinks all round etc.
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
The Fed expects strong job growth to drive the unemployment rate – now 5.5% and close to the Fed's long-run goal—to 5% to 5.2% by year-end, below its previous forecast of 5.2% to 5.3%. The rate, it predicts, will fall to 4.9% to 5.1% by the end of 2016, vs. its previous estimate of 5% to 5.2%.
Fed policymakers are struggling to respond to the unusual crosscurrents of a surging labor market and anemic inflation. The economy added more than 3 million jobs in 2014 and 295,000 last month, pushing down the unemployment rate to a near-normal 5.5% from 10% in 2009.
Falling unemployment typically drives up wages and prices as employers compete for fewer workers. But low oil prices and a strong dollar that makes imports cheap for US consumers have held inflation well below the Fed's target, with its preferred measure at just 0.2% in January. That leaves the economy vulnerable to tremors that could nudge it into deflation, or falling wages and prices that can portend a recession. Yellen has said she believes the meager inflation is "transitory," with oil and gasoline prices expected to rise this year and the dollar likely to appreciate more slowly in coming months. Still, Goldman Sachs expects "core" inflation, which excludes food and energy costs, to fall further by mid-year, delaying a rate increase until September.
And while many economists expect average wage growth to pick up this year from its sluggish 2% pace, it's unclear how quickly that will happen. Businesses can still draw from an ample supply of discouraged workers who have stopped looking for jobs and part-timers who prefer full-time positions, allowing them to raise pay cautiously.
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
Airbus A320 plane crashes in France
An Airbus A320 carrying 148 people has crashed in the Alps in southeastern France.
French authorities confirmed the Germanwings plane was flying from Barcelona to Dusseldorf when it disappeared from radar.
142 passengers, two pilots and four stewards were on board.
It crashed in the Massif des Trois évêchs in the valley of Haute-Bléone, in the region of Digne.
Emergency services are on their way.
WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday set the stage for its first interest rate hike since 2006, signaling its confidence in the U.S. economy. Yet the Fed slightly downgraded its economic outlook, saying that growth "has moderated somewhat" because of weak export growth and a sluggish housing market, among other factors. It said it will raise its benchmark short-term rate, now near zero, only when the labor market improves further and inflation prospects pick up from the current meager pace. Fed policymakers "have not decided on the timing of the initial increase" in the rate's target range, said the Fed's statement released at 2 p.m. ET following a two-day meeting. The move, however, is expected this year...The Fed's policymaking committee dropped a pledge to "be patient" as it considers raising the fed funds rate, opening the door to a rate hike as early as June. The Fed said it will increase the rate "when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2% objective over the medium term." A rise in the funds rate would ripple across the economy, pushing up rates for everything from mortgages and car loans to corporate bonds and personal savings accounts. Although job growth has been strong, the Fed is hesitant to raise rates with inflation and wage growth persistently weak but policymakers have said they expect price increases to drift toward the Fed's goal as oil prices rise. "Just because we removed the word 'patient' from the statement, that doesn't mean that we're going to be impatient" as policymakers weigh an initial rate increase, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said at a news conference after the Fed statement was released. She said the wording change "doesn't necessarily mean (a rate hike) will occur in June...although we can't rule that out."Monday, March 23, 2015
A stony-faced Merkel reiterated what she had said in Brussels on Friday after a late-night session with Tsipras – that a 20 February agreement with the eurozone extending Greece’s bailout until the end of June remained the yardstick. That agreement obliges Tsipras to deliver a persuasive menu of detailed fiscal and structural reforms which need to be vetted by the eurozone before any further bailout funding can be released. Asked if she had reached any agreements with Tsipras, Merkel avoided the question and stressed she was only one of 19 eurozone national leaders.
Tsipras was believed to have told the German leader that Greece faced insolvency within weeks without the release of more funds, which are being held up because he has failed to produce a coherent policy package. “The medium-term liquidity problem is well known,” he said. “We inherited it.” While neither side wants Greece to leave the euro, the lack of agreement in Berlin signalled a digging in of hardline positions on both sides that could result in a major negotiating failure. Support for the Greek government remains strong at home, in inverse proportion to the lack of trust in Tsipras among his main creditors. A growing majority of Germans do not believe Greece will do what it must to stay in the euro and would prefer to see it leave. The Eurasia group risk consultancy on Monday raised its assessment of the chance of Greece having to quit the euro to 30%, up from a previous 20%. “The prospects of a deal over Greece are diminishing, as Germany, the eurogroup and Greece continue to posture,” said Mujtaba Rahman, its eurozone analyst. “The chances of capital controls, and ultimately, Greece’s exit from the euro, are also increasing. While Berlin still wants to keep Greece in the eurozone, it can and will not be flexible regarding the conditions attached to more financial aid.”
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