Showing posts with label USA Today. Show all posts
Showing posts with label USA Today. Show all posts
Friday, October 5, 2018
Saturday, January 7, 2017
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Monday, December 21, 2015
Even in recent weeks, Fed policymakers remained split over whether the economy is finally ready for higher rates. On the one hand, the unemployment rate has fallen sharply from 10% in 2009 and monthly job growth has averaged well over 200,000 the past two years, developments that led Fed Chair Janet Yellen to state that a rate increase was likely before the end of 2015. Still, many Americans continue to work part-time even though they prefer full-time jobs or have given up looking for work, though the ranks of such Americans have fallen. Partly as a result of this surplus labor supply, wage growth has only recently shown signs of accelerating beyond the tepid 2% annual pace that has prevailed throughout the recovery. Broader inflation has been stuck well below the Fed's annual 2% target, both because of meager pay gains as well as low oil prices and a strong dollar that has kept imports cheap for U.S. consumers. The Fed reiterated Wednesday that it expects energy prices and the dollar to stabilize. In September, global economic troubles, which has combined with the rallying greenback to clobber exports, and related market turbulence stayed the Fed's hand. Citing those forces and feeble inflation, Fed board members Daniel Tarullo and Lael Brainard were among those who have argued for caution, saying the risks of moving too soon and derailing a still-vulnerable recovery outweighed the hazards of waiting and possibly having to raise rates more rapidly to catch up to inflation. Since October , though, the mood has shifted. China's economic troubles eased somewhat and failed to spread to other emerging markets, stock markets rallied, and U.S. job growth rebounded strongly in October and November from a late-summer slump. As result, momentum for a rate hike began building, both among some Fed policymakers and in financial markets.
Wednesday, December 16, 2015
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Thursday, November 5, 2015
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Saturday, September 19, 2015
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Rudy von Havenstein wasn't stupid, he didn't look at the hyperinflation of the mark and do nothing because he was dumb. He did it because for a long time his policies produced no significant inflation and indeed appeared to be working. By the time his folly became clear he could not stop without triggering an immediate collapse. Seems familiar, somehow.
Wednesday, March 25, 2015
The Fed expects strong job growth to drive the unemployment rate – now 5.5% and close to the Fed's long-run goal—to 5% to 5.2% by year-end, below its previous forecast of 5.2% to 5.3%. The rate, it predicts, will fall to 4.9% to 5.1% by the end of 2016, vs. its previous estimate of 5% to 5.2%.
Fed policymakers are struggling to respond to the unusual crosscurrents of a surging labor market and anemic inflation. The economy added more than 3 million jobs in 2014 and 295,000 last month, pushing down the unemployment rate to a near-normal 5.5% from 10% in 2009.
Falling unemployment typically drives up wages and prices as employers compete for fewer workers. But low oil prices and a strong dollar that makes imports cheap for US consumers have held inflation well below the Fed's target, with its preferred measure at just 0.2% in January. That leaves the economy vulnerable to tremors that could nudge it into deflation, or falling wages and prices that can portend a recession. Yellen has said she believes the meager inflation is "transitory," with oil and gasoline prices expected to rise this year and the dollar likely to appreciate more slowly in coming months. Still, Goldman Sachs expects "core" inflation, which excludes food and energy costs, to fall further by mid-year, delaying a rate increase until September.
And while many economists expect average wage growth to pick up this year from its sluggish 2% pace, it's unclear how quickly that will happen. Businesses can still draw from an ample supply of discouraged workers who have stopped looking for jobs and part-timers who prefer full-time positions, allowing them to raise pay cautiously.
Tuesday, March 24, 2015
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
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Sunday, February 8, 2015
Searching for support and "handouts" (from the US) as usual ...
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UKRAINE
"One of the most pressing issues is the crisis in Ukraine," said Peter Wittig, Germany's ambassador to Washington. "All of us are concerned this is a spiraling military conflict. We want to explore the diplomatic options." Merkel's visit comes as Obama considers providing modern weapons to Ukraine, which has been losing territory in the country's eastern regions to pro-Russian separatists armed with tanks and personnel carriers sporting Russia's most advanced armor.
Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko on Saturday asked Western leaders at the Munich Security Conference to push for a quick cease-fire and defensive weapons capable of countering the separatists' armored assaults... Merkel, French President Francois Hollande and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed Friday during a meeting in Moscow to draft a peace plan for Ukraine based on ideas proposed by Putin and Poroshenko, but previous agreements have fallen apart even as the conflict has resulted in more than 5,300 dead in Ukraine. Merkel has opposed sending weapons to Ukraine. On Saturday, she said she "cannot imagine any situation in which improved equipment for the Ukrainian army leads to President Putin being so impressed that he believes he will lose militarily," according to the Associated Press. Wittig, who briefed reporters in Washington in advance of Merkel's visit, said that if the West delivered weapons to Ukraine, "Moscow would probably reciprocate" by providing separatists with more weapons. "How far are we willing to escalate that military spiral? I'm not sure that we are," Wittig said.
TRADE
Finally, the two leaders will discuss a thorny trade pact, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), which would unite the economies of the USA and the 28-nations of the European Union. The deal would eliminate most trade barriers for many products and financial services.
Backers say it could produce free-market prosperity, but the negotiations have also been controversial because the pact would increase competition. Greece's new leftist ruling party, Syriza, has said it opposes the plan.
THE ISLAMIC "STATE"
Obama and Merkel will also discuss a training center Germany is setting up in Erbil, in Kurdish-controlled Iraq, to train and provide arms to Kurdish Peshmerga forces fighting against the Islamic State, which has seized territory in Iraq and Syria. Merkel will also discuss German interest in pursuing other tracks of destabilizing the militant group, including counter-financing and supporting messages that de-legitimize the group's claims that its actions, including the murder by fire last month of a captured Jordanian pilot, are backed by Muslim religious ideals.
Source - USA Today
Source - USA Today
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
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What we need instead, as the fairy tale has it, is a foreign policy that is just right—neither too ambitious nor too quiescent, forceful when necessary but mindful that we must not exhaust ourselves in utopian quests to heal crippled societies. The U.S. finds itself today in a post-Cold War global order under immense strain, even in partial collapse. Four Arab states have unraveled since 2011. The European Union stumbles from recession to recession, with each downturn calling into question the future of the common currency and even the union itself. In Asia, China has proved to be, by turns, assertive, reckless and insecure. Russia seeks to dominate its neighbors through local proxies, dirty tricks and even outright conquest. North Korea’s nuclear arsenal and Iran’s effort to develop one tempt their neighbors to start nuclear programs of their own. And even as the core of al Qaeda fades in importance, its jihadist offshoots, including Islamic State, are metastasizing elsewhere.
As for the U.S., the sour experience of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan has generated a deep—and bipartisan—reluctance to interfere in foreign conflicts, on the view that our interventions will exact a high price in blood and treasure for uncertain strategic gains. One result is that aggressive regimes seem to think that they can pursue their territorial or strategic ambitions without much fear of a decisive U.S. response. Another is that many of our traditional allies, from Israel to Saudi Arabia to Japan, are quietly beginning to explore other options as the old guarantees of the postwar Pax Americana no longer seem as secure as they once were. How should an American president navigate through this world of ambitious rogues and nervous freelancers? How can the U.S. enforce some basic global norms, deter enemies and reassure friends without losing sight of our global priorities and national interests? How do we conduct a foreign policy that keeps our nightmares at bay, even if we can’t always make our dreams come true? When it comes to restoring order in places widely assumed to be beyond the reach of redemption, there is a proven model for us to consult. But it has nothing to do with foreign policy; it has to do with policing our toughest inner cities. And it has brought spectacular—and almost wholly unexpected—results.
Thursday, October 16, 2014
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OK what is wrong with this idea? High rates increase the debt repayments for all debtors, the largest of which is the USGovt. An entity which has, as it happens, dramatically increased the proportion of its debt that is short-term, a move designed to lower interest costs. This also exposes the US to huge rate-risk as they must roll this short-term debt frequently. They cannot risk higher rates, possibly ever. What they would ideally like is high inflation combined with low rates, to inflate away the value of all those trillions in debt while keeping interest payments down... My sense is that the belief that Central Bank policy can insulate investors from any and all risk is now wearing thin. Finally. After a very long wait for those of us who always knew it would. If true, this has profound implications that will quickly become apparent. As long as traders believed that the CBs would always be willing and able to save the day in case of any market pullbacks, why not leverage up and go all-in? It's been nearly impossible to lose money in the stock/bond/property markets over the past 5 years. Many/most traders know that the CB's have been blowing a massive asset bubble over the past few years but they also believe that they're smarter than everyone else and will be able to sell before the crowd when the bubble starts to pop - so why not, as former Citigroup CEO Chuck Prince memorably put it, 'Dance as long as the music is playing'?
Sunday, June 29, 2014
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Official data released in Washington showed that output as measured by gross domestic product fell at an annual rate of 2.9% in the first three months of 2014. Originally, the Department of Commerce had said output rose by 0.1% at an annual rate in the quarter ending March before adjusting this to a 1% decline. The gap between the second and the third estimates was the largest on record. Wall Street was taken unawares by the size of the downward revision to growth in the world's biggest economy, with the consensus believing that growth would be down by 1.7% at an annual rate. But it expressed confidence that the US would quickly bounce back from a weather-affected start to 2014 by posting strong growth in the second quarter. Nancy Curtin, the chief investment officer of Close Brothers Asset Management said: "The US economy didn't just grind to a halt in the first quarter – it hit reverse as the polar vortex took its toll. But we can't judge current growth by looking in the rear-view mirror, and we are unlikely to see investors react strongly to what is now quite a long way behind us.
"More recent data have pointed to the economy picking up speed. Manufacturing is at a four year high, while the housing market is looking positive once more. It's clear that growth has gone up through the gears in Q2, and we'll see this reflected in the next GDP reading." Officials at the commerce department said the downward revision to growth had been the result of lower consumer spending on health care and a weaker than previously estimated contribution from exports.
Wednesday, March 5, 2014
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Unfortunately, the right has enough money and enough power to ensure that the remnants of the middle class in the US will believe that it is people of color who are ruining their lives, not the 1%.The powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled is a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent private meetings and conferences.
The bailouts are the greatest theft in the history of mankind!
Giving the banks the money that they never had!
This cheap money that they create never existed and now we have to pay the bill for it... When they backed those who caused the crash they were only encouraging those involved to continue as if nothing had happened.
That is exactly what has now happened with yet more people taking on more debt they are unlikely to ever repay.
Now we have far more people getting into debt but this time it includes a large number of people who were previously savers.
In other words they have created even more people in debt.
This is total lunacy as now more and more people are likely to end up in poverty and be looking to the state for benefits.
Giving funny money the name QE was the start of the great scam and now they are stuck in their own quagmire without a clue how to get themselves out of it.
Zombie households are now increasing as more and more people are now getting into difficulties through loss of income and rising prices.
The bailouts are the greatest theft in the history of mankind!
Giving the banks the money that they never had!
This cheap money that they create never existed and now we have to pay the bill for it... When they backed those who caused the crash they were only encouraging those involved to continue as if nothing had happened.
That is exactly what has now happened with yet more people taking on more debt they are unlikely to ever repay.
Now we have far more people getting into debt but this time it includes a large number of people who were previously savers.
In other words they have created even more people in debt.
This is total lunacy as now more and more people are likely to end up in poverty and be looking to the state for benefits.
Giving funny money the name QE was the start of the great scam and now they are stuck in their own quagmire without a clue how to get themselves out of it.
Zombie households are now increasing as more and more people are now getting into difficulties through loss of income and rising prices.
Friday, January 10, 2014
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Friday, September 6, 2013
Ending the summit, Mr Putin said that world opinion was firmly against US-led
intervention, and warned that Russia would take the Syrian side in the event of
conflict.
“Will we help Syria? We will,” he said. “We are already helping, we send
arms.”
He added: “We cooperate in the economics sphere, we hope to expand our
cooperation in the humanitarian sphere, which includes sending humanitarian aid
to support those people - the civilians - who have found themselves in a very
dire situation in this country.”
Russia has been a long-time supplier of weapons to Syria, including a
state-of-the-art air-defense system that would threaten even US warplanes
attempting to attack. The Russian president said his country would stand with the Assad regime in
Syria if the US launches airstrikes.
The apparent threat came as the G20 summit ended with a public split, 11 of
its members issuing a statement hinting at the need for US action against the
Assad regime of its alleged use of chemical weapons. Russia already supplies military aid to Syria, but the hint of more Russian
backing in the event of a confrontation with the US sent jitters through
financial markets worldwide.
Mr Putin also mocked Western leaders like US President Barack Obama
considering intervening in Syria, suggesting that the majority of their
electorates opposed any military action - including Prime Minister David Cameron
for failing to persuade the Commons to back British involvement.
Mr Obama, meanwhile, compared the Syrian crisis to World War II, likening his
country’s debate over intervention to the eventual American decision to support
Britain against Nazi Germany.
Saturday, August 31, 2013
Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stressed that central bank's timetable
for pulling back on its $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program hasn't been
determined and could be delayed if the economy continues to weaken. Mr.Bernanke kicked off two days of congressional testimony on the economy
and monetary policy by noting risks to growth, inflation and financial markets
that could alter the Fed's plan to start pulling back on the bond-buying
program, known as quantitative easing, later this year and end it by the middle
of 2014. "We need accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future," he said
more than once during the testimony before the House Financial Services
Committee, possibly his last appearance before Congress as Fed chief. His term
expires at the end of January. "Because our asset purchases depend on economic
and financial developments, they are by no means on a preset course."
U.S. markets strengthened modestly from the latest reassurances from Mr.
Bernanke. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.1% at 15472 shortly after
noon New York time, and the 10-year Treasury note gained in price, with the
yield falling to 2.496%.
Fed officials were jarred four weeks ago by the sharp market reaction to the
central bank's tentative timetable for winding down the program. Stocks
initially fell, though they've recovered, and long-term interest rates shots up.
Ever since, Fed officials have been trying to calm investors about the outlook
for the program, which is designed to push down long-term rates and push up
prices of stocks, homes and other assets.
Saturday, March 23, 2013
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"Labor market conditions have shown signs of improvement in recent months but the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, and the housing sector has strengthened further, but fiscal policy has become somewhat more restrictive," the federal open market committee said in its statement. The committee appears unconcerned about inflation.
The decision to maintain its current course comes after a series of reports in the jobs, housing and manufacturing markets have suggested economic recovery is taking hold in the US. The recovery appears to have caused a split within the FOMC with some members expressing concern about the ongoing bond-buying programme, known as quantitative easing.
"Several members" of the FOMC were worried about the long-term impact of the bond-buying programme, according to minutes of the last FOMC meeting. However, according to the latest statement, only Esther George, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, voted against the Fed's current plan. She was "concerned that the continued high level of monetary accommodation increased the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, could cause an increase in long-term inflation expectations," according to the statement.
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
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The rug is part of more than 2,000 items looted by the leading Nazi, who killed himself after being sentenced to the death penalty at the Nuremberg Trials in 1946.
An investigation by journalists working for news magazine Der Spiegel revealed the true history of the Persian rug, which has caused embarrassment for the German leader. Mrs Merkel is preparing to make her third bid for power this Autumn, and is said to be furious with her aides over the revelations . It is understood the rug will be removed from view by the end of the week. The former state minister for culture Michael Naumann has now urged the government to force the return of Nazi looted items to their rightful owners or their heirs.
"The legislature must concretise their return," he said. "More money must also be used for research in German museums." The timing of the revelation is even more embarrassing as it comes hours after Holocaust Memorial Day, held on Sunday January 27..... In a podcast on her website, Mrs Merket said: "Naturally, we have an everlasting responsibility for the crimes of national-socialism, for the victims of World War II, and above all, for the Holocaust.
An investigation by journalists working for news magazine Der Spiegel revealed the true history of the Persian rug, which has caused embarrassment for the German leader. Mrs Merkel is preparing to make her third bid for power this Autumn, and is said to be furious with her aides over the revelations . It is understood the rug will be removed from view by the end of the week. The former state minister for culture Michael Naumann has now urged the government to force the return of Nazi looted items to their rightful owners or their heirs.
"The legislature must concretise their return," he said. "More money must also be used for research in German museums." The timing of the revelation is even more embarrassing as it comes hours after Holocaust Memorial Day, held on Sunday January 27..... In a podcast on her website, Mrs Merket said: "Naturally, we have an everlasting responsibility for the crimes of national-socialism, for the victims of World War II, and above all, for the Holocaust.
We’re facing our history, we’re not hiding anything, we’re not repressing anything. We must confront this to make sure we are a good and trustworthy partner in the future, as we already are today, thankfully."It is unclear how another Goering carpet ended up in the chancellor's office in Berlin. The West German government in 1966 declared the task of reuniting owners with their stolen property to be 'concluded.'
But tapestry from the same collection as the rug in Mrs Merkel's office adorns the walls of a government guest house on the outskirts of Bonn.
But tapestry from the same collection as the rug in Mrs Merkel's office adorns the walls of a government guest house on the outskirts of Bonn.
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