
Saturday, August 15, 2015

Friday, August 14, 2015

Thursday, August 13, 2015

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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
At the moment the Greek government receipts are used to pay for pensions and public salaries. Afterwards there is practically no money left to pay for social, health, education, traffic, communication, military etc. All these items are paid by credits from partners. Interests and debt repayment is only done by partners. Without a "haircut" on pensions and public salaries Greece has not even a slight chance to survive..."To relieve the present exigency is always the object which principally interests those immediately concerned in the administration of public affairs. The future liberation of public revenue they leave to the care of posterity." -Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations (1776) 2010. Greece was about to default on its debts. As usual, politicians and bureaucrats blamed everyone but the perpetrators — the politicians and bureaucrats. They claimed that the only way to relieve the crisis of debt was debt itself. Problem: An excess of borrowing behavior by Greeks.
Goal: To have saved the Big Banks, mainly in France and Germany. Plan: To allow Greeks to default to non-banking creditors; have the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund lend even more money to Greece in order to give Big Banks time to rid themselves of basically worthless Greek debt; then, when Greece finally defaults, charge the taxpayers in the European Union, that phony paradise of united social democracies, for the losses to the ECB and IMF. Measurement: Success for bankers, bureaucrats, and politicians. Failure for taxpayers. There were alternatives more fair and just; for example, see "Debt & the Race to the Bottom" at ... http://nationonfire.com/catego... In 2015. Greece defaults. Consequence? Another rescue from the EU in exchange for more Greek promises.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2015
B.S. de jour...
Spain emerged as the best performer of the eurozone’s big four economies last month as the single currency area largely shrugged off the impact of the Greek debt crisis. The latest health check conducted by the information services company Markit showed the pace of activity across the eurozone eased only slightly during the weeks when Greek banks were closed for business. But the survey found no signs that the eurozone was about to slide back into recession and, with Spain leading the way, was consistent with growth continuing at about 0.4% per quarter. However, the fragility of the recovery in the 19-nation group was highlighted by data from the EU’s statistical agency, Eurostat, showing a 0.6% drop in retail sales growth in June. The drop in spending was sharper than the financial markets had been expecting and cut the annual growth in retail sales from 2.6% to 1.2% – its slowest pace for nine months. Jack Allen, an economist at Capital Economics, said the decline in retail sales growth from 1% in the first quarter to 0.3% in the second quarter suggested that the boost to consumer spending from the collapse in oil prices late last year had started to fade....Spain’s return to growth is the result of the performance of its services sector, with the Markit survey showing output in recent months back to levels last seen when the economy was booming in 2006. The services PMI rose from 56.1 to 58.7 last month.
Monday, August 10, 2015
All kinds o BS from the delapidators in Brusells...
Greece is close to reaching a deal with its creditors to secure a €86bn lifeline that will keep it afloat for the next three years and secure its place within the eurozone, according to the country's prime minister. As shares in Greece's benchmark index continued to plummet, Alexis Tsipras said meetings between the government and Greece's creditors had made good progress.
"We are in the final stretch," said Mr Tsipras. "Despite the difficulties we are facing we hope this agreement can end uncertainty on the future of Greece." Greek bank shares plunged for a third day on Wednesday, after the end of a five-week shutdown sparked the biggest stock market drop on record. The Athens stock exchange closed down 2.44pc at 643.86 on Wednesday, after falling by as much as 4.4pc, while an index of the country's top four banks fell 25pc to 246.50.
Bank shares have now fallen close to the maximum 30pc allowed for three straight days.
Point 1: discussion of debt relief is a red herring. At the primary level - ie: before ANY debt service is accounted for - Greece is very negative: tax collection 25% below budget, no state suppliers have been paid since 7th March, GDP falling rapidly. Until the basic economy is managed properly, any debt service is academic.
Point 2: the banks are very bust. 55% of their 'capital' is Deferred Tax Assets - which everybody knows is phoney capital: it only has value if their future is profitable, no value on a winding up. Non-performing loans are declared at 50% but in reality are much worse. Banks are deliberately refinancing dead loans in order to make them appear 'performing'. The market knows this: the four bank shares were suspended 30% 'limit down' on Monday, Tuesday and two of the four are already suspended again today (Eurobank and NBG managing to remain above suspension so far Wednesday by way of two token €2m buy orders).
There really needs to be a bankruptcy process for a country, like Chapter 11 for corporations. Bailout 3 (if it happens - which I doubt) will simply pour more money down the drain, failing to address the above issues thoroughly.
Sunday, August 9, 2015

There is no excuse for hacking government servers, Mr Tsipras, and the fact that you are attempting to defend such crimes is in fact proof of your own complicity. You were willing to go and make outlandish speeches in St Petersburg, to kowtow to war criminal Putin and his derelict government of mass murderers... Of course, by comparison, hacking the personal accounts of Greek citizens would seem like just another day at the office to you! If you accept Varoufakis's outrageous breach of his oath of office as a "reasonable" method to "protect" Greece from the creditors who have helped you before and upon whom you are relying yet again, then you, too, need to resign, and have your immunity lifted, and face a thorough investigation. Because all these actions represent an Abuse of Power and a shocking disregard for laws. The extension of 'liquidity' was illegal under the ECB's own rules. Liquidity is a shortage of cash and required those seeking Emergency Liquidity Assistance to provide collateral to obtain it. The problem became not one of liquidity but the insolvency of Greek banks and at that point, by the rules of the ECB ELA should have been terminated and the banks shut.
The ECB bent the rules because it didn't want to be the one to force Greece out of the Euro. Now it is stuck with some 90 billion of ELA and insufficient collateral to cover that 90 billion euros which is why the EU is having to discuss 20 billion or more euros as to recapitalize the Greek banking system as part of a new bailout. The Greek banks were not illiquid they were busted. Insolvent. Unable to sell assets or use their own capital to honor deposits.
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