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Showing posts with label tribune. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tribune. Show all posts
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
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Friday, November 13, 2015
The strong job growth in October paves the way for the Fed to hike the fed funds target rate in December... Job growth occurred in a range of industries last month, including professional/business services, health care, retail trade, food services, and construction.
Job growth has been strong for the past several years, while inflationary pressures remain subdued. In the past 12 months, job growth has averaged 230K per month. Average hourly earnings rose 2.5% year over year. The Fed is very likely to raise the fed funds target rate in December. The strong of job growth implies that there is no reason to keep the fed funds target rate at near zero level. However, the pace of tightening is likely to restrained and gradual going forward as inflationary pressure remain subdued. Long-term interest rates should still stay at historically low levels, after rising slightly with monetary tightening, due to still low short-term interest rates, subdued inflationary pressures, elevated size of the Fed’s balance sheet, continued strong demand for safe assets, low long-term interest rates in overseas advanced economies and quantitative easing in the euro zone and Japan.”... USA jobs data, some odd anomalies which are difficult to interpret IMHO. There has to be a reason why corporate America has gone all gung ho, soft and cuddly over hiring the over 55's versus younger workers. Unless (puts on tin foil hat) there's something mischievous with the job figures and those over 55 are simply considered as working unless they state they're not. Perhaps it's just considerably cheaper to hire the over 55's...theories anyone? In October the age group that accounted for virtually all total job gains was workers aged 55 and over. They added some 378K jobs in the past month, representing virtually the entire increase in payrolls. And more troubling: workers aged 25-54 actually declined by 35,000, with males in this age group tumbling by 119,000. Since December 2007 workers aged 55 and older have gained over 7.5 million jobs in the past 8 years, whilst workers aged 55 and under have lost a cumulative total of 4.6 million jobs.
Saturday, August 15, 2015
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Sunday, May 31, 2015
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Monday, February 16, 2015
There is no chance of truce or political solution on the very same day when
Merkel and François made their trip to Kiev. On the same day, John Kerry visited
Kiev and blame Russia for everything. At the same time, Joe Biden was visiting
Brussel and talking to EU president (polish guy) about stopping Russia from
redrawing the map. Merkel and François want to reduce the risk of "total war". John Kerry and
Joe Biden are obviously on the opposite direction. Each side has their audience
in Europe. And Kiev is listening to nobody but American. If I have to bet my money, I will short EU currency before spring comes.
The EU has a strasbourg court to punish its member states for HRA
non-compliance. Most member states have a judiciary that is an independent
pillar that can balance and challenge the executive. The EU itself has no such
judiciary to challenge its own shady inner workings and corruptions. For instance where is the means to force an inquiry into the action of the EU
officials and Catharine Ashton which precipitated the fall of the Yanukovych
administration. Where are the judicial structures to shine a light on chronic
mismanagement and corruption at the EU level and hold its players to account?
Then we can also consider that Khordokovsky was jailed for tax evasion in
Russia, most Putin opponents are bankrolled by super rich people who do not want
to pay taxes. The jailing of khordokovsky was condemned by the west for
unspecified failings in the legal process involved. Though there is much
awareness of bank related frauds and mismanagement and of wide spread tax
evasion and dodging in the EU and we can see no one held to account, whilst the
majority of the population must suffer with austerity. Which region and
jurisdiction has the most fair legal system and competent government may be the
first one to cast their stone against Russia. It is a pity that we are up to our
necks in the west dominated by establishment cronies that have mismanaged their
way to the top and now offload the blame and distraction onto Russia and shield
their lies behind a wall of mass fear and hysteria. As for the criticism that the US have given of Russian "meddling" in Ukraine,
one may not be in a glass house to throw stones. Exactly how many countries
sanctioned the US when it sent in proxy armies into various republics and
toppled and assassinated various governments and political leaders? How many
governments opposed the US installed puppet states in Iran and elsewhere? How
many governments opposed France and UK and issued sanctions when it sought to
take the Suez?
If the standards used to indite and send Russia to hell were consistent and
not hypocritical in form then people would not be able to see the corrupt state
of our countries stolen from us by charlatans and liars.
Monday, May 13, 2013
Surprise, the European Commission is in favor of banks
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Surprise, surprise, the European Commission in favor of banks again!
With over 3 million empty properties in Spain and hundreds of evictions occurring everyday of people who can't keep up with their mortgage payments due to the massive unemployment rate, a few days ago the gvnt of the autonomous region of Andalusia approved a decree to allow for the temporary expropriation of empty homes from banks in order to house the increasing number of homeless people.
Well, Brussels has replied with a letter to the Spanish central government warning them that they are studying whether the decree is contrary to the Memorandum of Understanding that Spain was forced to sign last year to bailout the banks. The letter also warns of the risks of these expropriations to the Spanish financial system.
Bruselas se entromete en el decreto andaluz de Vivienda y se pone del lado de la banca
We must destroy this EU before it destroys us all.
With over 3 million empty properties in Spain and hundreds of evictions occurring everyday of people who can't keep up with their mortgage payments due to the massive unemployment rate, a few days ago the gvnt of the autonomous region of Andalusia approved a decree to allow for the temporary expropriation of empty homes from banks in order to house the increasing number of homeless people.
Well, Brussels has replied with a letter to the Spanish central government warning them that they are studying whether the decree is contrary to the Memorandum of Understanding that Spain was forced to sign last year to bailout the banks. The letter also warns of the risks of these expropriations to the Spanish financial system.
Bruselas se entromete en el decreto andaluz de Vivienda y se pone del lado de la banca
We must destroy this EU before it destroys us all.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Who do you think you are kidding Mrs Merkel?
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Thursday, May 2, 2013
Source - Hotnews.ro - good analysis
A few days ago, Welt am Sonntag published a statement by Kai Konrad, economic advisor to Chancellor Merkel, by which he expressed his doubt about the chances of survival of the unified currency for more than five years. According to Konrad, the international press has also taken on the statements of the president of Bundesbank, Jens Weidmann, according to whom Europe would need about 10 years to overcome the debt crisis. Fortunately, Europe's "rescue" from the straitjacket of the Euro may come a lot faster. A secret report of the Bundesbank, sent to the Federal Constitutional Court in December 2012, recently "leaked" in the pages of the financial daily Handelsblatt. In this report, the "Bundesbank launched punctual attacks against every statement made by Mario Draghi to justify the program of Direct Monetary Transactions", Ambrose Evans-Pritchard wrote in The Telegraph. The authenticity of the report was confirmed by the Bundesbank, according o a piece of news by Reuters.
Upon the announcement of the DMT program, Draghi justified the buying of the government bonds by saying that "the major interest rate differential should not be tolerated". For the Bundesbank, which is concerned that the unlimited bond buying program undermines the independence of the ECB, "a uniform level of the interest rates is not desirable", the article of Handelsblatt writes. The reason is simple: the differences between the interest rates of the various government bonds should reflect the economic performance of the country in question. Given the fact that "risk and responsibility should not be decoupled", as recently stated by Chancellor Merkel, the Bundesbank estimates that it is this very principle that violates the European rescue plan. The document of the Central Bank of Germany also mentions that the buying of bonds issued by troubled countries involves the risk of major losses for the ECB, if they were forced to leave the Eurozone. Such an event is no longer conceivable for the Bundesbank. For analyst Harvinder Sian, of RBS, "the Bundesbank report borders on economic warfare", and the markets could react negatively amid the uncertainty concerning the approval of the Direct Monetary Transactions of the ECB. Even though the disagreements between Weidmann and Draghi are nothing new, especially since the president of the Bundesbank was singled by the chairman of the ECB as the only opponent of the plant to monetize European sovereign debts, "the aggressive tone of the report shocked the economists", according to Evans-Pritchard. As if all the criticism of the Bundesbank concerning the desperate measures proposed by Draghi wasn't enough, the document of the German Central Bank also contains the supreme "heresy": "The ECB does not have a mandate to maintain the current structure of the monetary union", as its only goal is price stability. This was also the opinion of government advisor Kai Konrad: "It is Europe that matters to me. Not the euro". The German constitutional court will decide on the legality of the DMT plan on June 12th, 2013, about two months prior to the German general elections. The decision of the Court of September 2012, concerning the constitutionality of the European Stability Mechanism has also included an important clarification: "The acquisition of government bonds by the ECB, directed towards the financing of the national budgets, is prohibited, because it breaks the interdiction of monetizing debt", as written by The Telegraph. "A decision of the Constitutional Court against the TMD will mean the end of the Euro", said Mats Persson, of Open Europe, for The Telegraph, and German historian Michael Stürmer sees the report of the Bundesbank as "an attempt to reaffirm its predominant role in the Eurosystem". The report sent to the Constitutional Court of Germany by the Bundes-bank will undoubtedly generate numerous political conflicts, both domestically and on a European level, and the "friends" of the European currency will find it increasingly difficult to protect their positions. It is not out of the question that by the end of this year, we will see a rare convergence of the European authorities: the Euro has to die for Europe to live.
Upon the announcement of the DMT program, Draghi justified the buying of the government bonds by saying that "the major interest rate differential should not be tolerated". For the Bundesbank, which is concerned that the unlimited bond buying program undermines the independence of the ECB, "a uniform level of the interest rates is not desirable", the article of Handelsblatt writes. The reason is simple: the differences between the interest rates of the various government bonds should reflect the economic performance of the country in question. Given the fact that "risk and responsibility should not be decoupled", as recently stated by Chancellor Merkel, the Bundesbank estimates that it is this very principle that violates the European rescue plan. The document of the Central Bank of Germany also mentions that the buying of bonds issued by troubled countries involves the risk of major losses for the ECB, if they were forced to leave the Eurozone. Such an event is no longer conceivable for the Bundesbank. For analyst Harvinder Sian, of RBS, "the Bundesbank report borders on economic warfare", and the markets could react negatively amid the uncertainty concerning the approval of the Direct Monetary Transactions of the ECB. Even though the disagreements between Weidmann and Draghi are nothing new, especially since the president of the Bundesbank was singled by the chairman of the ECB as the only opponent of the plant to monetize European sovereign debts, "the aggressive tone of the report shocked the economists", according to Evans-Pritchard. As if all the criticism of the Bundesbank concerning the desperate measures proposed by Draghi wasn't enough, the document of the German Central Bank also contains the supreme "heresy": "The ECB does not have a mandate to maintain the current structure of the monetary union", as its only goal is price stability. This was also the opinion of government advisor Kai Konrad: "It is Europe that matters to me. Not the euro". The German constitutional court will decide on the legality of the DMT plan on June 12th, 2013, about two months prior to the German general elections. The decision of the Court of September 2012, concerning the constitutionality of the European Stability Mechanism has also included an important clarification: "The acquisition of government bonds by the ECB, directed towards the financing of the national budgets, is prohibited, because it breaks the interdiction of monetizing debt", as written by The Telegraph. "A decision of the Constitutional Court against the TMD will mean the end of the Euro", said Mats Persson, of Open Europe, for The Telegraph, and German historian Michael Stürmer sees the report of the Bundesbank as "an attempt to reaffirm its predominant role in the Eurosystem". The report sent to the Constitutional Court of Germany by the Bundes-bank will undoubtedly generate numerous political conflicts, both domestically and on a European level, and the "friends" of the European currency will find it increasingly difficult to protect their positions. It is not out of the question that by the end of this year, we will see a rare convergence of the European authorities: the Euro has to die for Europe to live.
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
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Wednesday, April 24, 2013
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I think that we are talking a 20-30% devaluation to save club med and keep
them in the EZ. Germany of course would end up with high inflation. I cannot see dropping interest rates a little bit will have much effect.
Quantative easing might be difficult as this increases liquidity and there is
too much money squishing around in the EZ already. The situation in the EZ is now so bad that drastic action is necessary to
correct it. What sort of action can replace breaking up the whole sorry thing is
beyond me.
It is worth pointing out again that Germany is only 27% of the EZ. EZ
economics need to be aimed at the remaining 73%. If you make economic policy
that only benefits Germany then you should expect the rest of the EZ to be in
the state that it is.
As to why the euro is so overvalued, I am as at much a loss as everybody
else.
I do however suspect that ECB operations are at the root of things. Their
sole objective is to keep prices down which is mainly due to German fears of
hyper-inflation. The problem is that playing artificially with one part of the
economic equation has a knock on effect with rest of the equation.
I fear that the economic equation in the EZ is now so far out of kilter as to
be uncorrectable.
The pain and suffering in the EZ will continue until it is broken up, either
partly or wholly, and the disparate economies allowed to recover via traditional
means.
I would like to say this to the europhiles. Your stupid project has caused
this problem. All across europe the people are suffering as a result of your
hubris. This cannot be allowed to continue. The day of your reckoning is
coming. You have been warned......
Saturday, February 23, 2013
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It eyes reaching a structural budget deficit of 0.7% of GDP in 2014 and keeping it at that level in 2015 and 2016, but also reaching a "lower VAT level for basic food products within the limits of fiscal necessities" on the average term.
On research, the government wants to group all research institutions controlled by ministers and governmental agencies under the Education, Research and Innovation ministry.
On European funds, the Government eyes an absorption rate for non-reimbursable structural and cohesion funds of 50-80% by 2015.
On fiscal policies, the government says it plans to provide transparency for public funds, to simplify the tax system, to return to a 19% VAT and introduce progressive taxation.
The program defines the principles of the USL government.
Among them: compliance with the rule of law and individual rights
- compliance with Romania's commitments to foreign partners - the European Commission, the IMF and th World Bank - with the goal of an inclusive economic growth with a balance distribution among the population, by applying structural reforms which would allow increasing economic competitiveness.
- a new vision for Romania - economic development and social cohesion
- improving the absorption rate of structural funds as an essential condition to provide sustainable economic growth and limit foreign debt
- support economic freedom, private initiative and fair competition
- guarantee property rights
- efficient use of public money and war on tax dodgers
- accelerated structural reforms
- the development of competitive economy, of modern agriculture and industry
- sustainable social policies to provide free and equal access to education and health systems
- political reform, meaning an improved Constitution and a credible, legitimate Parliament
- regain the country's place worldwide as a respected partner within the European Union
Wednesday, November 7, 2012
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I was wondering why Spain has not yet collapsed, why their ultra-risky sovereign debt was yielding only a measly 5.5%, how the Spanish government claims to have funded itself through till the end of 2013... here is the answer, cheap money from Mr Draghi at the ECB... the clown who has turned a central bank into a giant hedge fund... Banking 101, Mr Draghi, you are only supposed to lend money when there is a large likelihood you will be repaid with interest... or maybe you don't know that...Draghi will still have the last laugh, though... the EU taxpayers will be stuck with paying his more than generous pension...
Friday, October 19, 2012
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Education Secretary Michael Gove has told friends that, if there was a referendum today on whether the UK should cut its ties with Brussels, he would vote to leave.
He wants Britain to give other EU nations an ultimatum: ‘Give us back our sovereignty or we will walk out.’ Mr Gove insists the UK could thrive as a free trading nation on its own, like other non-EU nations in Europe such as Norway and Switzerland. He has changed his view partly as a result of his fury at Brussels meddling which has held up his school reforms. Mr Gove, one of the Prime Minister’s closest confidants, has discussed his views in detail with Mr Cameron. In an anti-EU pincer movement by the two Tory allies, Mr Cameron will formally announce later this month the first major step towards grabbing back powers from Brussels. He will set out in detail how he plans to withdraw Britain from EU justice ties, but he will then ‘cherry pick’ which aspects of Anglo-EU legal co-operation he believes are in British interests. These could include the European Arrest Warrant (EAW), access to police databases, prisoner transfers and co-operation over drugs trafficking and money laundering. The disclosures are the latest evidence of a turning point in Britain’s relationship with the EU, which is currently gripped by the euro crisis.
Mr Cameron has struck an increasingly tough stance. He won plaudits for vetoing changes in the EU Treaty, has edged closer to pledging an ‘In or Out’ referendum, and suggested Brussels should have two budgets, one for eurozone nations and another for non-eurozone nations such as the UK....UPDATE - European leaders early Friday agreed to have a new supervisor for euro-zone banks up and running next year, a step that will pave the way for the bloc's bailout fund to pump capital directly into banks throughout the single-currency area......
Friday's announcement is a disappointment for some officials at the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, who had hoped to have the supervisor operational at the start of 2013.
The leaders also discussed plans for a common budget for the 17 euro-zone nations that could be used to absorb economic shocks impacting one part of the euro zone but not others. But José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, said: "This is something for the medium and longer term."
Friday's announcement is a disappointment for some officials at the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, who had hoped to have the supervisor operational at the start of 2013.
The leaders also discussed plans for a common budget for the 17 euro-zone nations that could be used to absorb economic shocks impacting one part of the euro zone but not others. But José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, said: "This is something for the medium and longer term."
Sunday, July 29, 2012
The ECB declined comment on Friday
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Spain is Bust. Italy is pretty much bust and if the truth be told is bust.
Ditto Portugal.. Greece is just the weakest and as such fell first.
You have to let people including Governments fail if they are incompetently run. Let them go to the wall and any bank that was dumb enough to buy debt from these States.
You have to let people including Governments fail if they are incompetently run. Let them go to the wall and any bank that was dumb enough to buy debt from these States.
Friday, June 17, 2011
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Thursday, June 16, 2011
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http://www.eucouncilfiles.eu/
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
George Papandreou should resign
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Monday, June 13, 2011
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- The record-high EUR1.5 billion raised by the Finance Ministry last week from the foreign markets brings to over EUR4.5 billion the foreign currency debt accumulated by Romania since the beginning of the year.
According to the source, the U.S. carmaker will produce over 70 B-Max prototypes in Romania this summer. The car parts needed to assemble the B-Max models were produced at Ford's car plants in Germany. The B-Max minivans will be tested soon in Belgium, at Ford Lommel Proving Ground and in other countries. After tests are finished, the cars will be dismantled. Ford Romania will start the production of the new car model next year. B-Max will be produced exclusively in Romania. At the end of March, Ford finished installing the production lines for B-Max and a new family of engines at the Craiova car plant. Ford produced about 3,000 Transit Connect light commercial vehicles in Romania. The U.S. carmaker has invested EUR450 million so far in operations carried out in Craiova.
Sunday, June 12, 2011
European Union - EU solidarity ?!...
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German and French banks held over two-thirds of the Greek government bonds at the end of last year, accounting for 70% of the $54.2bn owned by banks from 24 countries that report to the BIS.
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