Greece's creditors have voiced "serious concerns" about the sustainability of the country's debt ahead of a vote on a third bail-out deal in Athens that is likely to cement a split within the government. Analysis prepared by the country's European lenders projected that Greece's debt share would rise to 201pc of gross domestic product (GDP) next year. Debt is only expected to fall to 175pc by the end of the decade, even if Greece implements all the terms of its €85bn (£61bn) rescue package and raises €13.9bn from a privatisation drive. This means the country would not get its debt pile down to 120pc of GDP - which has long been viewed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as the target to get Athens back to a sustainable debt level - until 2030, two decades after the country's first bail-out. Just another example of post democratic EU. The Greek people vote in a referendum against an austerity package,this after they had voted in an anti austerity government. Result, the same government accept an EU bailout based on austerity measures the Greek population voted overwhelmingly against.To cap it all these stringent measures will be enforced by Brussels bureaucrats,all very undemocrat but typical of EU control. The flaw in 'democracy' is that you can vote yourself more than you can pay for. When that happens you lose your right to self government. Democracy ends at your borders. You cannot vote yourself access to other peoples money.Friday, August 28, 2015
Greece's creditors have voiced "serious concerns" about the sustainability of the country's debt ahead of a vote on a third bail-out deal in Athens that is likely to cement a split within the government. Analysis prepared by the country's European lenders projected that Greece's debt share would rise to 201pc of gross domestic product (GDP) next year. Debt is only expected to fall to 175pc by the end of the decade, even if Greece implements all the terms of its €85bn (£61bn) rescue package and raises €13.9bn from a privatisation drive. This means the country would not get its debt pile down to 120pc of GDP - which has long been viewed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as the target to get Athens back to a sustainable debt level - until 2030, two decades after the country's first bail-out. Just another example of post democratic EU. The Greek people vote in a referendum against an austerity package,this after they had voted in an anti austerity government. Result, the same government accept an EU bailout based on austerity measures the Greek population voted overwhelmingly against.To cap it all these stringent measures will be enforced by Brussels bureaucrats,all very undemocrat but typical of EU control. The flaw in 'democracy' is that you can vote yourself more than you can pay for. When that happens you lose your right to self government. Democracy ends at your borders. You cannot vote yourself access to other peoples money.Thursday, August 27, 2015
There has been no recovery in the west since 2007-8. Communism had to collapse
and now its sister socialism will collapse too. Governments can not keep
borrowing money with no intension of paying anything back. All western economies
are collapsing because everyone has too much debt. We are about to go into a
deflationary cycle which will see multiple sovereign defaults and wealth
destruction like never before. We will all be looking for someone to blame. The
laws of maths are universal and apply to everyone. You can not enjoy a life
style you have not earned. The Fed has infected the world with all that cheap
USD it has been printing and has inflated nearly every housing market in the
world. When the flight to quality starts and the herd causes the dollar to
rally, then those loans wont be looking so cheap. Emerging markets will get
wiped out and the process has begun. Remember that Japanese real estate is still
60% down from its highs in the 90's. If you have not prepared by now its
probably too late. If you have a medium to large mortgage get out now because
when the panic starts the exit will get really busy. When the bond bubble bursts
liquidity will dry up over night and interest rates will go sky which will
really squeeze the housing market. These are only economic concerns but normally
when an economic event so extreme happens there is usually lots of civil unrest
or they take us to war.The French economy stagnated in the second quarter as household
spending slowed and business investment contracted. Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The Bruxelles delapidators need "new fresh meat" to rub and destroy...here comes the Danish comenwealth !!
EU Observe (source) -
Danish PM, Lars Loekke Rasmussen, announced on Friday (21 August) a
referendum on replacing Denmark's “opt-out” on EU justice and home affairs with
an “opt-in” model, similar to the one used by Ireland and the UK. The decision to hold the referendum - on 3
December 2015 - follows a political agreement between five parties in
parliament - the Liberal Party, the Conservative Party, the Social Democrats,
the Social Liberals, and the Socialist People's Party - from 10 December 2014. Announced on a hot Friday afternoon, the
public debate on the referendum is yet to start in earnest (Photo: quietdangst) Under its opt-out, which dates back to 1993,
Denmark automatically stays out of all supra-national EU justice and home
affairs policy and doesn’t take part in EU Council votes in these areas. The EU dossier was slim in the early 1990s. But it has ballooned since then, including on
EU police and judicial co-operation and on migration, with Denmark still on the
outside. A Yes vote in December will let
Denmark, in future, choose which home affairs policies and laws it takes part
in. It will also let Denmark agree specific legislation in the area without the
need for further referendums. The Yes-parties have already identified 22
existing EU initiatives they want Denmark to opt into. They’ve also promised
Denmark won’t take part in 10 other EU initiatives - including the hot-button
issue of asylum and immigration. Big
shift -- The Yes would mark Denmark’s first important shift in EU relations
since Danes, in a referendum, soundly rejected eurozone membership. In a less
significant step, Danish voters, at the same time as the EU elections last May,
agreed to join the EU's Unified Patent Court. Announced on a hot Friday afternoon, the
public debate on the referendum is yet to start in earnest. But the last opinion polls, from June, show
Yes on 53 percent, No on 24 percent, and 23 percent undecided. For its part, the second largest party in the
Folketinget, the Danish People's Party, is to campaign for a No. It is critical of the EU and hostile to
immigration. It sits with UK tories in the European Parliament and will be the
major force in the No-side….It also has a trump card: Its European Parliament
candidate in 2014, Morten Messerschmidt, won with an unprecedented 465,758
personal votes in a country of just 5.6 million people. The leftist Red-Green
alliance will also campaign on the No-side, saying Denmark must have full
sovereignty on divorce, child custody, and criminal sentencing, among other
topics. Its EU spokesperson, Pernille
Skipper, noted that Denmark doesn’t share values with some other EU states. "The European Union includes countries
banning abortion or so-called homosexual propaganda. The vote is thus about
much more than Europol, contrary to what the EU-rave parties claim”, she said. The
Yes side has chosen Europol as the corner stone of its campaign…The pro-Yes
parties’ compromise agreement says: “Currently, the Council is negotiating a
revision of the regulation on Europol. Once adopted under the new rules of the
Lisbon Treaty, Denmark can no longer participate in this co-operation”. "The perspective of Denmark having to
leave Europol is the main reason behind the agreement to hold a referendum”. Norwegian model…But the No side says Denmark
could continue Europol co-operation via a voluntary parallel agreement, on the
Norwegian model. Europol is the European
Union’s joint police agency…Headquartered in The Hague, it works closely with
law enforcement bodies in EU member states, as well as in Australia, Canada,
Norway, and the US. By choosing to have
the Danish poll on 3 December, the PM, Loekke Rasmussen, will, for the most
part, avoid getting the campaign mixed up with the UK’s referendum on EU
membership. An EU summit on 17 December
is expected to discuss in greater details the UK prime minister, David
Cameron's demands for EU reforms in the run-up to the British vote, due at the
latest in 2017.Tuesday, August 25, 2015
NEW YORK — The downdraft on Wall Street intensified Monday as the
Think of some ships at sea and a storm is coming. The ships want to clear their decks so they aren't top heavy. For the SS Eurozone to take on 200 billion or so euros of defaulted Greek debt now would make it top heavy. Better to leave it 'off balance sheet' as a contingent liability and worry about it later. Let's say some big European banks are heading for trouble because of some Latin American loans ( Brazil is near collapse) or because they are short the dollar. The SS Eurozone is going to need all the financial ballast it has to keep the ship from capsizing. Greece won't matter if that happens...Bank doing predatory lending. It is all they can do now. These are not loans to Greece they are bailouts for the creditors. If you borrow money you can spend it how you choose. If the lender tells you how you must spend it, then it isn't a loan. If you are responsible for spending the money you are responsible for paying it back. But here, it is the creditors who are making all the decisions. Nobody is forcing them to lend the Greeks money, so the question is WHY ARE THEY LENDING MONEY TO GREECE?..The Greek people were sacrificed. I have to wonder who made Tsipras make this 180 degree turn. Wouldn't it have been better if Tsipras didn't call for elections if this is the result? His closest allies are Nea Democratia now...It was reported this week that Germany stands to get 85bn out of Greece's misery and the change to the interest arrangements.
Should there be no write off of Greek debt, this crisis will be permanent, but the Eurofanatics cannot let the dream die, whatever the cost......Deutschland Uber Alles never had such resonance...
Should there be no write off of Greek debt, this crisis will be permanent, but the Eurofanatics cannot let the dream die, whatever the cost......Deutschland Uber Alles never had such resonance...
What should worry everyone is that, for some reason, all the parties are moving this new deal along without the usual haggling and complaints. This appears to be not so much an exercise in kicking the can as 'sweeping the whole mess under the rug'. So one might ask why the need for a quick resolution of an intractable problem? My guess is a much bigger storm is about to hit. The turmoil in Forex started by the Chinese devaluation of the RMB and the collapse of commodity prices and the shrinking of trade, indicate a major financial crisis is imminent and Greece just does not matter anymore. Greece, if you will is yesterday's problem. A Northern Rock when RBS and Lehman Brothers are crumbling.
Monday, August 24, 2015
The Greek government RESIGNED AND NEW ELECTIONS WILL BE HELD ON SEPT. 20th. 2015 but, it has rowed back on promises to halt the fire sales of the country's strategic assets by approving the sale of its airports to a German company. In fact the Tzipras Government sold it's country to the 4th, Reich, so much in charge of Europe. Operating rights to 14 regional airports, including those on popular holiday destinations such as Crete, will now fall under the control of German company Fraport AG, the operator of Frankfurt airport. The €1.23bn deal represents a significant climb-down for Alexis Tsipras who had denounced attempts by the Troika to force various Greek governments to de-nationalize the country's ports, electricity networks and airports. But the embattled prime minister has been forced into a number of concessions in return for an €86bn aid package to keep the country in the euro for the next three years. The deal comes as Germany's Bundestag prepares to vote on the package on Wednesday... more than 60 of Ms Merkel's parliamentarians already voted to reject new bail-out talks in July. The rebellion is set to escalate to around 100 out of her 311 MPs. The Chancellor and her finance minister have been on a charm offensive to convince skeptical lawmakers that Greece will be able to carry out the raft of reforms in return for a first disbursement of €26bn due to be made by Thursday. Disquiet in Berlin has also grown over the position of the International Monetary Fund, which is only likely to release its own funds to Greece in October. The Dutch parliament, another tough creditor nation, will also convene for a vote on Wednesday. Eurosceptics such as Geert Wilders have threatened to issue a motion of no confidence in Prime Minister Mark Rutte over the deal. Parliaments in Portugal and Austria are also due to vote on the measures before Greece is due to repay €3.2bn to the European Central Bank of the package. Sunday, August 23, 2015
As a relatively detached observer (I live in neither the Eurozone nor the EU), I find this ongoing wrangling between Greece and the German-led austerity bloc extremely interesting, but I also find myself unable to completely take anyone's side. As a fiscal conservative my sympathies tend naturally toward Germany, and I have a certain degree of respect for Merkel and Schauble in standing up for the their own people and for the principles which underpin Germany's own economic success.
However, I'm also in the same camp as British right-wingers who dislike the EU and find the concept of a single currency (and those who continue to try to prop it up) utterly ludicrous. As much as I sympathize with the Germans, I can't see an agreement which imposes ever more austerity on the Greeks while keeping them tethered to the euro as any kind of successful outcome. We keep hearing that Greece leaving the euro wouldn't solve its problems, that what it really needs are structural reforms. That may be true, but I also think that those problems can't be solved without Greece first recovering its own monetary sovereignty, so that in the short term it can devalue and regain some degree of competitiveness. Unfortunately all sides in this, from German fiscal hawks to Greek socialists, see Greece remaining in the euro as a best case scenario. That's why any agreement reached is doomed to failure...Europe is stuck on a roundabout and cant find an exit; For the last 5 years its been fixated on a failed Euro conceit. Fire hosing our money at the Greek and other receiving nations, whilst policies for boosting growth across Europe have been cast aside. What a Joke. Lets get out fast. Cant wait for 2016 referendum...The IMF should have nothing to do with this deal. It was not created to prop up a currency union, when the policies of the major player in the currency union are making a bad situation even worse. Not much point the Greeks holding further elections either. If they remain in the Euro, no Greek Government will be able to change the terms of their serfdom. They need to leave the Euro and reclaim the ability to govern their own country. Varofakis leaving the Tsipras Government after the Referendum is looking like a clever move. Perhaps he's readying himself for a comeback.
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