Shares in Deutsche Bank tumbled another 4.7pc on Tuesday. The
bank’s shares fell to €13.26 and are now down 46pc since the start of the year
and 58pc in the last six months. Last month the bank reported a €6.8bn (£5.3bn)
loss for 2015. Deutsche has led the
wider banking market down as fears spread over the profitability and financial
stability of Germany’s biggest bank. Yesterday Swiss institution Credit
Suisse’s shares were down by almost as much, plunging 7.75pc. Spooked investors
also sold off shares in other banks, leaving Barclays down 5.2pc, BNP Paribas
down 4.8pc and Italy’s Intesa Sanpaolo down 4.9pc. The turmoil in stock markets since the start
of the year has been driven in part by worries over the strength of China’s
economy as well as the crash in commodities prices, but investors are
particularly concerned by the banking sector’s ability to cope with another
downturn. Investors have also been fleeing
Deutsche’s bonds. Analysts have warned that if the bank has any large
unexpected costs it may, from next year, be unable to pay the interest on its
contingent convertible bonds (or “cocos”). The relatively risky class of
securities - also known as AT1s - is designed to ensure that institutional
investors pay the bill to help bail out any troubled bank, rather than the
taxpayer...Dump Bank shares and any government paper. If you are old enough to cash out your pension... do it. Pension funds here in the UK have about a 650 billion hole in them and growing because of ZIRP and NIRP. Most of them will have sovereign bonds that have yet to blow up.
The European Commission has cut its forecast for economic growth in the eurozone this year. It has cut its prediction for the 19-country bloc in 2016 to 1.7% from the 1.8% it had forecast in November. That figure would still mark a moderate increase from the figure of 1.6% in 2015. The Commission said government spending had been unexpectedly high because of the number of migrants arriving in Europe, which had boosted GDP. But it warned that the crisis posed "major political challenges" that could undercut growth if not properly handled. And vice-president Valdis Dombrovskis said: "Europe's moderate growth is facing increasing headwinds, from slower growth in emerging markets such as China, to weak global trade and geopolitical tensions in Europe's neighborhood." "It is important to continue structural reforms that can help our economies grow, withstand shocks in the future and improve job opportunities for our population." The Commission cut its inflation forecast for this year from 1.0% to 0.5%, even further below the European Central Bank's target of about 2%. Consumer prices fell by 0.3% in 2015, largely as a result of the fall in energy prices.




