AFP - European leaders on Thursday clinched a deal on a new "growth pact" of measures worth some 120 billion euros to breathe life into floundering economies, EU president Herman Van Rompuy said : "What we already agreed is ... to boost the financing of the economy by around 120 billion euro for immediate growth measures," he told reporters on the first day of a two-day European Union summit.
The plan -- proposed by the eurozone's top four economies Germany, France, Italy and Spain -- foresees a package of measures to boost output and create jobs.
The pact would redirect unspent EU funds to the most needy countries and bolster the coffers of the European Investment Bank by boosting its capital base by 10 billion euros.
The EIB says the capital injection would allow it to raise funds in the markets to invest 60 billion euros in innovation, small- and medium-sized companies and infrastructure projects.
In addition, the investment bank will launch joint "project bonds" to finance 4.5 billion euros worth of infrastructure programmes.
Europe's most immediate task is to restore confidence in its banks.
All the bad loans made by eurozone banks (loans to mortgage
borrowers, property speculators and even governments that may not be fully
repaid) may need to be cleaned up (by injecting money into the banks), with the
potential losses borne by the eurozone as a whole - because many national
governments probably cannot afford it. In the case of Spain's banks, the current
bailout deal leaves Spain's government sitting on all the losses.
Deposits at all eurozone banks may need to be guaranteed
in euros by the eurozone as a whole, in order to stop panicky investors
from moving their money from banks in southern European countries at risk of
exiting the euro, to Germany (and increasingly to Switzerland and Denmark).
All of Europe's banks may need to be placed under a common regime
of regulation and supervision, with troubled banks given equal access
to rescue loans, and being wound up by a central authority when they go bust.
Europe's biggest long-term conundrum is how to stop governments like Spain or
Italy going bust - and restore confidence in their commitment to stay within the
euro - while ensuring that all governments are more responsible with their
finances in future.
The biggest sticking
point is eurobonds. A large chunk of eurozone government
debt may need to be amalgamated - with governments standing behind each other's
finances - in order to reinforce the commitment of governments to staying in the
euro:
-- One full-blown version proposed
by euro-think tank Bruegel would pool debts equal to perhaps 60% of eurozone
GDP, which would (counter-intuitively) create strong market-based incentives for
governments to be more prudent with their spending in future.
-- Another,
lighter version proposed in Germany would only pool debts in excess of the
60% level, as a strictly temporary measure to make it easier for southern
governments to borrow.
In the long-run, a US-style federal budget may be needed to
cover the cost of recessions, so that individual governments don't risk going
bust when their national economies get into trouble. For example, the cost of a
minimum level of social security - especially unemployment benefits - could be
permanently shared across the eurozone, paid for by a common income tax.
To make a full banking, fiscal and monetary union work, the eurozone
governments would need to hand power to a central authority
(the European Commission) that can pay for and supervise all of the
above, while national governments accept that in future they have to keep their
own spending strictly within their limited means.
As most of the above reforms involve Germany sharing its wealth with the rest
of Europe (and all European nations handing power to Brussels), Berlin is
insisting on the principle of no taxation without representation - in other
words a move towards full federalism, with spending and
regulation controlled by a directly elected
presidency of the European Commission.
3 comments:
Italy has won this euro battle, but not the war
Long-suffering investors, desperate for some good news, have seized on the headlines from the latest in a long series of “last-ditch” European summits.
We need a blueprint for Europe, now
Telegraph View: A firm stance on behalf of Britain cannot be postponed until the end of the Coalition
In Brussels on Friday, Angela Merkel certainly indicated some concessions on the use of collective eurozone bail-out funds to address soaring Spanish and Italian sovereign borrowing costs.
The German chancellor, the argument goes, has “finally capitulated”, now agreeing to back-stop the banking sector debts - and, therefore, the worst of the sovereign debts - of the single currency’s profligate “Club Med” members.
And so, we’re told, the eurozone is now headed for the sun-lit uplands of stability and policy coherence. There was enough oomph behind this view - or at least enough “angst-fatigue” - to launch another relief rally. The main Italian, Spanish and Greek equity indices surged 5pc to 7pc, with Franco-German bourses going along for the ride.
In London, even the FTSE 100 rose 1.4pc on the eurozone’s love-in, despite shocking news about the UK’s banking sector. This Libor rate-fix should sear itself into the British psyche, causing as much shame and outrage as Watergate.
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