Tuesday, September 4, 2012

QUATRO REICH = THE EUROPEAN UNION

EUROPEAN UNION —The European Central Bank should police the more than 6,000 banks in the euro zone, the European Union's executive said Friday, setting itself up for a clash with Germany, which wants to retain oversight over smaller lenders.  A proposal from the European Commission, to be finalized in coming days, will call for the central bank to set up an agency to take responsibility for supervision of all banks in the 17-nation currency area. The proposal follows a June decision from euro-zone leaders who wanted the supervisor created as a step to break the "vicious circle" between weak banks and governments with strained finances that have eroded confidence in the euro zone. The proposal, however, falls far short of creating the true "banking union" that the ECB and the commission have called for. It doesn't set up a regional fund for guaranteeing bank deposits or give powers to euro-zone agencies to wind down or restructure shaky banks and distribute losses among investors. The ECB would, however, be able to take operating licenses away from unstable lenders. The supervisory agency would be run by a separate decision-making panel at arm's length from the ECB, in an effort to prevent conflicts of interests with the central bank's main role of fighting inflation and to allow EU states that don't use the euro to join.   As the supervisor, the ECB would have to make sure banks build up sufficient capital levels to absorb economic and financial shocks—such as the real-estate crashes that triggered the Irish and Spanish problems or over-investments in shoddy products like the U.S. subprime mortgages that sank banks across Europe in 2008.The threat to withdraw a license would be the ECB's most potent enforcement tool. "That's the first crucial element: to empower the European supervisor with the right to withdraw the license," said Guntram Wolff, deputy director of Brussels-based think tank Bruegel. But other powers and responsibilities that are central to creating a unified banking framework for the euro zone would remain in national hands. Proposals that would force private investors to share the burden—for instance by converting debt into equity once a bank's capital falls below are certain level—aren't set to come into force until 2018. In a sign of possible movement, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble, in an opinion piece in the Financial Times Friday, said the so-called bail-in mechanism should already come into force in 2015. (WSJ)

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Banks got over-invested in an asset class, mortgage-backed securities, that was in a bubble. The bubble collapsed, leaving most Banks illiquid and some insolvent. QE rescued the Banking and financial system, but then individuals started paying down debt. That created a debt-deflation recession, and those tend to be long-lasting because the de-leveraging by consumers is pro-cyclical. Paying down debt cuts demand and consumption, which makes the recession last longer.
This isn't rocket science and it doesn't need any exotic explanations. It needs time to restore confidence so that consumers start spending again.

And things "seem" to be getting worse. Well, things often "seem" this and that, but if you take the trouble to look at the numbers, the US has already recovered to pre-crisis levels. Europe has a self-imposed problem with its completely mad 'austerity" driving the recession ever deeper, and the UK, as always, is somewhere in between.

If you look at the crisis chronologically, it makes sense and you don't have to come up with a lot of hyperbole and ideology to understand it.