Friday, January 15, 2016

"People are  quite nervous about the Chinese economic outlook. China is certainly slowing on a very gradual path down. A lot of people are fearing a hard landing is in play."  Craig Erlam, of online currency broker OANDA, said: "The fact that we’ve still seen significant declines in equity markets suggests that sentiment remains very weak despite this stabilization in the yuan and more may need to be done to bring about a similar response. "The removal of the circuit breakers – which were ironically installed to shield against rapid market sell-offs but instead encouraged them – does appear to have brought some calm back but as we’ve seen over night, investors still clearly have no confidence in the markets and remain bearish." On Saturday official figures showed Chinese consumer prices picked up slightly in December but inflation remained about half the government's target. Prices paid at the factory gate, a guide to future inflation, also sank for a 46th consecutive month. The figures are the latest highlighting the weakness in China, which is expected to have grown in 2015 at its slowest rate in a quarter of a century. Investors extended losses from last week, which was one of the worst starts to a year on record with dealers rattled after trade was suspended twice in four days in Chinese markets. Shanghai ended the week about 10pc lower, in echoes of a sell-off that fuelled global turmoil in the summer. London lost 5.3pc over the week, Paris shed 6.5pc and Frankfurt dropped 8.3pc. And on Wall Street, the Dow and S&P 500 lost about 6pc, marking the worst opening week of a year in the history of either index. A series of cuts in the yuan currency's value to a five-year low against the dollar added to the sense of nervousness as Beijing stood accused of bungling its handling of the crisis. On Friday the central People's Bank of China sought to soothe nerves by pledging to carry out "prudent" monetary policy and work to ensure "reasonably abundant liquidity" in the banking system this year. Chinese equities have had a tough start to the year. This has flowed around the globe, kneecapping equities, where valuations were already deemed to be stretched," Mark Smith, a senior economist in Auckland at ANZ Bank New Zealand, said.
"A weaker inflation outlook and heightened market volatility has also swung the pendulum back to more policy support." The Chinese stock market is essentially valueless. If the Chinese Government wasn't propping it up behind the scenes the people who'd lost all their money would be out on the streets burning down CCP offices and lynching party members.

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