Welcome back to my live blog, which will be covering the euro-zone leaders’ crucial meeting today where they will attempt to reach a definitive agreement to tackle the bloc’s spiraling debt crisis and market movements. There are worries that a deal will not be agreed, despite the urgency of the situation. The euro-zone leaders need to reach a deal on a second Greek bailout, including agreement on how much Greek bondholders will have to write off in so-called haircuts. They also need to confirm final details of a deal to boost the euro zone’s rescue fund–the European Financial Stability Facility. Meanwhile, the EFSF needs to be ratified today by the German parliament and Italian policy makers wrestle to come up with a solution to its debt mountain which satisfies both the EU and, perhaps more importantly, the markets. The Italian Treasury paid higher yields Wednesday than a month ago to sell the planned €10.5 billion short-term debt, as markets remain tense over Italian political and economic prospects, and over the outcome of the European Union summit later in the day. The Treasury, which faces a further two debt sales this week, sold €8.5 billion in six-month Treasury bills and €2 billion of the September 2013-dated CTZ, a zero-coupon bond. It paid an average yield of 3.535% on the six-month T-bills, up from 3.071% previously. It paid a yield of 4.628%, up from 4.511%, on the CTZ. Demand was in line with previous auctions.
"The rising yields reflect increasing political uncertainty in Italy," said Tobias Blattner, director for economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets. "They also reflect uncertainty over tonight's summit, as hopes for a solution to the debt crisis seem now fading." Italy is at the forefront of euro-zone concerns with €1.9 trillion in debt, said Société Générale analysts. The country is facing simultaneous headwinds, including a cyclical slowdown which, in SocGen's view, will "almost certainly" lead to a recession in 2012 and 2013 and a structural loss of competitiveness, as well as an electoral system that prevents a clear-cut improvement in establishing economic policy.