Well, I guess that's it. The EU is done for. Europe was doomed in any
eventuality, of course. Ultimately the only sustainable way to compete with
countries like China and Bangladesh is to lower the living standards of the
majority to similar levels. When it comes to grim reading about the current
European condition, it does not rain but it pours. The latest catalogue of
unremitting gloom (unless you're a German) comes in a 49-page survey of public
opinion in eight EU countries conducted in March by Pew pollsters. The results
show support for the EU has shrunk from 60% to 45% in a year on average across
the eight countries. The more detailed findings are that public support for EU
integration has eroded strongly, with Germans alone in favor of handing more
powers to Brussels to tackle the four-year economic and financial crisis that is
severely sapping EU confidence and reinforcing the sense of inexorable
medium-term decline. "Positive views of the EU are at or near their low point
in most of the countries surveyed, even among the young," said the pollsters,
who talked to nearly 8,000 people. It is striking how the policy responses of
EU leaders to the currency crisis are at such odds with public opinion, as
centripetal political action clashes with centrifugal national moods. The
crisis management of the past three years has essentially seen Berlin, Brussels,
and others resort to technocratic fixes in an incremental process of pooling
economic and fiscal policy powers in the eurozone. Outside of Germany, however,
public support for surrendering such powers from the national level to Brussels,
as is happening, is declining rapidly, generating an ever widening "democratic
deficit" in the EU that the leaders regularly bemoan but have done nothing to
address. In a big speech on Europe last month, the leading German political
thinker, Jürgen Habermas, diagnosed the elite policy responses to the crisis and
concluded that "postponing democracy is always dangerous". Pew's findings
dovetail with Eurobarometer poll results revealed last month in the Guardian
that showed a collapse in public support for the EU in the union's six biggest
countries, making up two-thirds of the half-billion population. The survey
results are particularly spectacular for France, reinforcing the sense of drift
a year into the term of President François Hollande and underlining the
estrangement between Paris and Berlin. "The prolonged economic crisis is
separating the French from the Germans – threatening the Franco-German axis that
has long driven European integration. And it has separated the Germans from
everyone else. "No European country is becoming more dispirited and
disillusioned faster than France. French public opinion has soured on a number
of measures in the last year … Even more dramatically, French public opinion on
a range of issues is now looking less like that in Germany and more like that in
Spain, Italy and Greece … The French are also beginning to doubt their
commitment to the European project, with 77% believing European economic
integration has made things worse for France, an increase of 14 points." Pretty
much the only optimism evident in the survey is in Germany, leading the
pollsters to conclude that the Germans are living "on a different continent".
This acute divergence in perception on how the crisis has affected Europe, say
officials and diplomats closely involved in the crisis management, makes things
much more difficult to fix because the cultural and psychological realities in
the different countries are so varied.
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