When German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble and his French counterpart
Pierrre Moscovici gave their first joint press conference two weeks ago, they
were asked who would take over leadership of the Euro Group once Jean-Claude
Juncker stepped down. As early as last summer, Juncker had said he wanted to
hand over the reins, but had been persuaded to continue for lack of consensus on
a successor. But despite such indications that the end was nigh for Juncker's
term at the top, both Schäuble and Moscovici played down the issue.
"Next year is next year," said the Frenchman. "We
have other concerns at the moment," said the German.
As of Monday evening, however, the two can no longer dodge the question. At
the end of yet another late-evening Euro-Group meeting in Brussels -- during
which finance ministers from the 17 euro-zone member states agreed to provide
€40 billion in aid to ailing Spanish banks -- Juncker told his colleagues that
he intended to step down at the end of the year. "I have asked them to name
another minister," Juncker said. His departure will mark an end to his
seven-year stewardship of the common currency -- and one that comes not a moment
too soon from his perspective. Juncker, who is also the prime minister of
Luxembourg, had long been nonplussed at the lack of urgency with which his
colleagues viewed his approaching departure, assuming that he would simply carry
on until they got around to finding someone. Juncker himself is not blameless
in this regard, having been convinced to continue once before, even allowing
himself to be elected to another term as Euro Group president last summer.
Still, he had been consistent in his desire to step down at the end of this year
or the beginning of next. Now, it would seem, it would take a great deal of
convincing from a personage such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel to get him
to change his mind....Other candidates could theoretically be considered as
well, but their chances are seen as limited. Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen
Dijsselbloem, for example, is considered both competent and less stubborn than
his predecessor, but he has only been finance minister for a few weeks. It is
also possible that the Euro Group chooses an outside candidate. The Lisbon
Treaty merely stipulates that "the Ministers of the Member States whose currency
is the euro shall elect a president for two and a half years, by a majority of
those Member States." Still, it would almost certainly need to be someone who
has played a central role in recent efforts to combat the euro crisis. Whoever
might take over the leadership of the Euro Group, Juncker will likely continue
to play a role as Luxembourg's representative. While his country's finance
minister, Luc Frieden, currently fills Luxembourg's seat on the panel, Juncker,
who carries the official title "treasurer" in addition to his role as prime
minister, is likewise eligible for Euro Group membership. And, he has said, he
still wants to have a voice.