
Showing posts with label Agerpres. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Agerpres. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Sunday, November 4, 2012
What's worse than an unelected hack steamrolling the lives of ordinary people?


Hannah is simply playing word games. He admits the EU is internally a free trade area but, the fact that it is not free and open to the world is not unusual. Most of the world is not free and open to the EU or to many other parts of the world.
Hannah provides examples of free trade areas, Nafta (Canada, the United States and Mexico) and ASEAN (ten South East Asian states). The EU is setting up similar Free Trade Agreements, EU-Japan Free Trade Agreement, EU- Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, EU-US Transatlantic Economic Council, EU-India Free Trade Agreement, EU-Mercosur Free Trade Agreement.
Hannah says nothing but he does demonstrate his naivety; "The optimum deal for the United Kingdom is surely to be in a European free trade area but not in a customs union." That's like saying that the optimum deal for the United Kingdom is one where the UK is the sole winner.
We'd all like unlimted freedoms but with no attached responsibilities but you will never ever eliminate 'if you sell to him, I won't sell to you' and very quickly, 'and I'll ask my mate not to supply you at all'. Deals are struck, bargains are made. No one allows a single trader to take all the profit.
Friday, October 26, 2012

The euro zone's fourth-largest economy contracted by 1.7% from the same
period last year, compared with a 1.3% contraction in the second quarter, the
central bank said.
In the first estimate of Spain's economic performance during the
July-to-September quarter, the Bank of Spain said that on a quarterly basis
gross domestic product likely contracted 0.4%, the same as in the second
quarter. The central bank's estimates are often very close to or in line with final
government estimates issued later. The government's first third-quarter GDP
estimate is due Oct. 30.
The central bank also said that "it can't be ruled out" that Spain's
government would miss its budget deficit target for this year, currently at 6.3%
of GDP after a series of revisions, largely because of tax-revenue shortfalls.
Last year, Spain's deficit stood at 9.4% of GDP, more than three percentage
points above the target.
"The efforts to lower spending at the public sector have had a net
contracting effect (on the economy) in the central months of the year," the Bank
of Spain said. "We see drops in consumption and investment by all levels of
government above those seen in previous quarters."
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
The fourth REICH in full action according to the Ribbentrop - Molotov Treaty ... Europe is under the German boot !!!!..
Mario Draghi has defended his Outright Monetary Transactions plan to the Bundestag in the last few minutes.
Draghi promised German MPs that the pledge to buy unlimited quantities of bonds will dispel fears over the euro's future.

Here's how Draghi defended the OMT, which he insisted did not put taxpayers at risk.
We designed the OMTs exactly to...restore monetary policy transmission in two key ways.First, it provides for ex ante unlimited interventions in government bond markets, focusing on bonds with a remaining maturity of up to three years. A lot of comments have been made about this commitment. But we have to understand how markets work. Interventions are designed to send a clear signal to investors that their fears about the euro area are baseless.Second, as a pre-requisite for OMTs, countries must have negotiated with the other euro area governments a European Stability Mechanism (ESM) programme with strict and effective conditionality. This ensures that governments continue to correct economic weaknesses while the ECB is active. The involvement of the IMF, with its unparalleled track record in monitoring adjustment programmes would be an additional safeguard.
Draghi also warned that deflation is a bigger risk than inflation today, which may not convince German lawmakers who fear a return to the 1920s.
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Barroso told reporters that he was unhappy with progress so far, and demanded a new sense of urgency. He also signalled to Berlin to allow austerity to be relaxed. Easier said than done.
The full statement is online, but, here's the key section:
Very frankly I am not happy with the progress made so far.That's why I call on the European Council to accelerate the adoption and implementation of many important growth-enhancing measures included in the Growth and Jobs Compact. It is true that we have been making more efforts in terms of fiscal consolidation than on the measures for growth that were already agreed at the European Council level. We need to balance the important efforts made in terms of sound public finances with the right measures to have growth enhancing policies. We also need to move ahead with our structural reform agenda – the country-specific recommendations have to be implemented at national level....Regarding the deadlines of bank supervision in relation to recapitalizing Spanish banks, people forget that there already exists a 100 billion euros credit line that can be used for those. The problem with this line of credit is that it goes through the Spanish state, so it increases the Spanish public debt (but Olli Rehn, in the previous link says this won't increase Spain's structural deficit.)
So, if I understand well, the use of banking supervision in regard to Spanish banks would be if 1) the opened credit line were not enough or 2) Spain's budget situation became very bad and it needed to avoid recapitilizing banks through state budget. I believe the compromise obtained is quite good: if there is no new crisis regarding Spain, there is time to put in place a deep/thorough banking supervision, with closing bank powers etc; if a new crisis emerges in Spain in Q1 2013, overcoming conditions 1 and 2 up there, then it will be possible to say (maybe), "we have put in place the legal framework, let's make something in a hurry for those".
It's a question of having some instrument ready, just in case, even if the goal is not to use the instrument.
So, if I understand well, the use of banking supervision in regard to Spanish banks would be if 1) the opened credit line were not enough or 2) Spain's budget situation became very bad and it needed to avoid recapitilizing banks through state budget. I believe the compromise obtained is quite good: if there is no new crisis regarding Spain, there is time to put in place a deep/thorough banking supervision, with closing bank powers etc; if a new crisis emerges in Spain in Q1 2013, overcoming conditions 1 and 2 up there, then it will be possible to say (maybe), "we have put in place the legal framework, let's make something in a hurry for those".
It's a question of having some instrument ready, just in case, even if the goal is not to use the instrument.
Friday, October 19, 2012

Education Secretary Michael Gove has told friends that, if there was a referendum today on whether the UK should cut its ties with Brussels, he would vote to leave.
He wants Britain to give other EU nations an ultimatum: ‘Give us back our sovereignty or we will walk out.’ Mr Gove insists the UK could thrive as a free trading nation on its own, like other non-EU nations in Europe such as Norway and Switzerland. He has changed his view partly as a result of his fury at Brussels meddling which has held up his school reforms. Mr Gove, one of the Prime Minister’s closest confidants, has discussed his views in detail with Mr Cameron. In an anti-EU pincer movement by the two Tory allies, Mr Cameron will formally announce later this month the first major step towards grabbing back powers from Brussels. He will set out in detail how he plans to withdraw Britain from EU justice ties, but he will then ‘cherry pick’ which aspects of Anglo-EU legal co-operation he believes are in British interests. These could include the European Arrest Warrant (EAW), access to police databases, prisoner transfers and co-operation over drugs trafficking and money laundering. The disclosures are the latest evidence of a turning point in Britain’s relationship with the EU, which is currently gripped by the euro crisis.
Mr Cameron has struck an increasingly tough stance. He won plaudits for vetoing changes in the EU Treaty, has edged closer to pledging an ‘In or Out’ referendum, and suggested Brussels should have two budgets, one for eurozone nations and another for non-eurozone nations such as the UK....UPDATE - European leaders early Friday agreed to have a new supervisor for euro-zone banks up and running next year, a step that will pave the way for the bloc's bailout fund to pump capital directly into banks throughout the single-currency area......
Friday's announcement is a disappointment for some officials at the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, who had hoped to have the supervisor operational at the start of 2013.
The leaders also discussed plans for a common budget for the 17 euro-zone nations that could be used to absorb economic shocks impacting one part of the euro zone but not others. But José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, said: "This is something for the medium and longer term."
Friday's announcement is a disappointment for some officials at the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, who had hoped to have the supervisor operational at the start of 2013.
The leaders also discussed plans for a common budget for the 17 euro-zone nations that could be used to absorb economic shocks impacting one part of the euro zone but not others. But José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, said: "This is something for the medium and longer term."
Wednesday, October 17, 2012
....“impossible for Germany to pay everybody’s bills,”

Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg said yesterday it’s“most probable” that
Greece will quit the common currency and such an outcome shouldn't be ruled out
over the next six months. Schaeuble told the Singapore-German Chamber of
Industry and Commerce that a Greek exit would create “huge” problems and
wouldn't happen. .... “If you look at how much interlinked we are in the
European Union and in the currency union, to leave it would create huge,
incredible difficulties for everyone,” Schaeuble said. “Therefore the better way
is to solve it, but of course it has to be solved.” Euro-area finance ministers
on Oct. 8 backed Greece’s plan to trim its budget and reshape the economy, while
demanding that the government in Athens commit to a list of 89 policy steps
before the summit. They didn't commit on whether the next 31 billion-euro aid
installment will be paid out in one go or released in smaller chunks. “Everyone
is trusting that Samaras and his government is really decided to do what is
needed,” Schaeuble said.
Thursday, October 11, 2012
BS_BS_BS_ and that's all...

Countries will make their first payments towards the fund this week. Earlier, the EU economic and monetary affairs commissioner, Olli Rehn, said:
"It provides the eurozone with a robust and permanent firewall and it provides
us with a strong toolbox of effective and flexible instruments. "Thinking of where we were two-and-a-half years ago when we had no
instruments of crisis management, we had to create the Greek loan facility and
the temporary European facility, we are moving forward and we are supplementing
the economic and monetary union with one important building block," he said as
he arrived at the meeting.
"Nobody is in party mood, but I am less pessimistic for the moment for the
eurozone than in the spring."
Tuesday, October 9, 2012
Athens-based journalist Damian Mac Con Uladh reports that the Greek government has even banned some TV crews from covering parts of Angela Merkel's trip today:

Sunday, October 7, 2012
Germany's Weimar Republic ....

There is a real risk of the social order collapsing, he said, thanks
to "the rise of a right-wing extremist, one might say fascist, neo-Nazi
party."
Samras argued that Greece faced the same fate as Germany's
Weimar Republic (whose collapse amid economic chaos heralded the rise of the
Nazia in the 1930s). And Samaras pointedly insisted that Greece could not make
further cuts, saying the existing plans "already to to the bone". Poverty is
growing, and unemployment at record highs [youth unemployment has reached 55.4%]
he added: More and more people have to go to soup kitchens of church and
charities to get a hot meal. Highlights from the interview are here
on Handelsblatt's website (in German). Google translation into English here.
Reuters also has separate details of the interview. It reports that Samaras
warned that Greece cannot manage beyond November without its injection of
international aid (worth around €31bn) . "The key is liquidity. That is why
the next credit tranche is so important for us," Samaras told the business daily
Handelsblatt. Asked how long Greece could manage without it, he said: "Until
the end of November. Then the cash box is empty." Samaras also suggested that
the ECB could lend a hand by accepting lower interest rates on the Greek debt is
already owns, or allowing those bonds to 'rollover' rather than be repaid. He
also suggested that a Spanish-style banking rescue could help: I could also
imagine the recapitalisation of Greek banks as is being considered for Spain,
which would be not accounted for on its state debts but carried out directly via
the ESM. That would be a significant relief.....On the Samaras interview. Yes,
the echoes with Weimar (rise of the NSDAP through austerity, rise of Golden Dawn
through austerity) are valid. But, what isn't valid is the economic background.
Weimar saw american lax credit suddenly withdrawn, Greece has the biggest
economic assistance program in history.
Saturday, October 6, 2012

Thursday, October 4, 2012
Bad news...

While European leaders have calmed financial markets in recent months with
promises to cut spending and build a tighter union, they haven't solved the
eurozone's deep-rooted economic problems and the rising tide of joblessness. In
August, 34,000 more people lost their jobs in the eurozone, according to data
released Monday by the European statistics agency, Eurostat. The unemployment
rate – the highest since the euro was created in 1999 – is the same as July's,
which was revised up from 11.3. Europe's problems are dragging down the global
economy. The region is the U.S.'s largest export customer and any fall-off in
demand will hit American companies – as well as President Barack Obama's
election prospects. The U.S.'s 8.1 percent unemployment rate is already making
re-election an uphill battle for the president. The eurozone is in danger of
slipping into recession this year after its economic output dropped 0.2 percent
in the second quarter. Six countries in the eurozone – Greece, Spain, Italy,
Cyprus, Malta and Portugal – are already in recession. Howard Archer, the chief
economist for IHS Global Insight, said it will take some time before Europe's
labor market rebounds. "There looks to be a very real danger that the eurozone
unemployment rate could reach 12 percent in 2013," he said. He thinks that will
be the high-water mark, hit somewhere around the end of next year. While
austerity measures were introduced to ease the financial crisis by lowering
public debt, they are also slowing down economies as government spending drops
off. This is also pushing unemployment higher and threatening the continent with
recession. Some experts urge leaders to instead loosen spending to encourage
growth.
MEANWHILE - a dengerous development :
Turkey's military have struck targets inside Syria in response to a mortar bomb fired from Syrian territory which killed five Turkish civilians, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's office said in a statement.
The mortar fired from the Syrian side into the region of Akçakale sparked an urgent round of meetings with military chiefs and led the Turkish foreign minister, Ahmed Davagotlu, to formally complain to UN secretary general Ban Ki-moon.
"Our armed forces in the border region responded immediately to this abominable attack in line with their rules of engagement; targets were struck through artillery fire against places in Syria identified by radar," the statement from Erdogan said. "Turkey will never leave unanswered such kinds of provocation by the Syrian regime against our national security."
Nato said it was following developments and senior officials would meet urgently to discuss the issue. Turkey is a member state of the powerful body and earlier this year invoked a clause in the Nato treaty which called on it to respond to an earlier clash in which a Turkish jet was shot down from inside Syria.
The escalating border tensions came amid a day of grave violence inside Syria, with central Aleppo ravaged by three large explosions that killed at least 41 people and the capital Damascus again the scene of fierce clashes between loyalists and rebels and security sweeps by regime forces.
The Aleppo bombings were among the biggest seen in Syria in 18 months of uprising. Attackers, believed to have been dressed in military fatigues, are thought to have convinced regime soldiers stationed in Saadallah al-Jabiri Square to let them enter the secure zone. They are then thought to have detonated the bombs believed to have been packed into cars
MEANWHILE - a dengerous development :

The mortar fired from the Syrian side into the region of Akçakale sparked an urgent round of meetings with military chiefs and led the Turkish foreign minister, Ahmed Davagotlu, to formally complain to UN secretary general Ban Ki-moon.
"Our armed forces in the border region responded immediately to this abominable attack in line with their rules of engagement; targets were struck through artillery fire against places in Syria identified by radar," the statement from Erdogan said. "Turkey will never leave unanswered such kinds of provocation by the Syrian regime against our national security."
Nato said it was following developments and senior officials would meet urgently to discuss the issue. Turkey is a member state of the powerful body and earlier this year invoked a clause in the Nato treaty which called on it to respond to an earlier clash in which a Turkish jet was shot down from inside Syria.
The escalating border tensions came amid a day of grave violence inside Syria, with central Aleppo ravaged by three large explosions that killed at least 41 people and the capital Damascus again the scene of fierce clashes between loyalists and rebels and security sweeps by regime forces.
The Aleppo bombings were among the biggest seen in Syria in 18 months of uprising. Attackers, believed to have been dressed in military fatigues, are thought to have convinced regime soldiers stationed in Saadallah al-Jabiri Square to let them enter the secure zone. They are then thought to have detonated the bombs believed to have been packed into cars
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Saturday, September 29, 2012
Libor rate-setting is “no longer viable”.
Martin Wheatley, the incoming head of Britain's new market regulator, is
expected to recommend this week that the lobby body lose its supervisory role in
the setting of the rate. "If Mr Wheatley's recommendations include a change of
responsibility for Libor, the BBA will support that," the BBA said on Tuesday:
The review was announced following revelations three months ago that big banks
were had been attempting to rig Libor for years. The scandal led to a £290m fine
for Barclays, ongoing investigations into manipulation at other banks, criticism
of the rate and calls for a new benchmark that is more transparent and relevant
to the credit worthiness of banks. Sir Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of
England, believes Libor has stopped working and should be replaced, while Mr
Wheatley, who is the chief executive-designate of the Financial Conduct
Authority, has said Libor rate-setting is “no longer viable”.
The BBA, a lobby group for banks, has been heavily criticised for its
oversight of Libor, which is used to price loans and transaction for businesses
and individuals worth more than $350 trillion globally. Libor is based on what a panel of banks expect to be charged rather than
measuring actual lending rates. It is not directly supervised by regulators in
Britain but has been overseen by the BBA since 1986. The Wheatley's review, due out on Friday, is expected to propose anchoring
Libor interest rates to real transactions, rather than rates which panel banks
believe they could borrow from their peers. (source telegraph.uk)
Friday, September 28, 2012
On the german news-front:

But my favourite Steinbrück piece in english remains: Germany's outspoken finance minister on the hopeless search for 'the Great Rescue Plan.' (from 2008, english, newsweek) featuring the "crass keynesianism" quote, aimed at Gordon Browne.
- On Banking Union: Weidmann of the Bundesbank is also against taking on historic liabilities, as were the three "northern" finance ministers early in the weekreports SZ (not going to happen)
- also on banking reform, a sharp attack on german "backsliding" by the euro-friendly economist blogger charlemagne The other moral hazard: If the euro zone is to survive, Germany too must keep its promises to reform
- the daily dose of CSU-politicians-throwing-their-weight-around comes from Bavaria's Finance Minister Söder. who wants a german veto at the ECB. "The one who is liable and pays, decides" (SZ, german)
Saturday, September 22, 2012
back on the continent ....

Greece has pledged to raise €50bn from state assets by 2020
as part of bail-out conditions imposed by international lenders.
Germany has also got a debt auction away this morning,
where it has paid next to nothing to sell two-year bonds. ...The country sold €4.084bn of two-year debt at average yields of 0.06pc,
slightly up from the zero (yes, ZERO) percent it paid in August. Demand was higher, with 2.1 bidders for every bond on offer, compared with
1.5 in August.
Portugal has got a debt auction away this morning,
where it has sold short term bonds at markedly lower rates. The country sold
€1.3bn of 18-month Treasury bills at average yields of 2.967pc, compared with
4.537pc at a previous auction in April. It also sold €700m of six month debt at average yields of 1.7pc (vs 2.292pc
Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Major US banks are being investigated for insufficiently safeguarding against
being used by drug dealers or terrorist groups to launder dirty money, it was
reported Saturday.
An
article in the New York Times suggested that federal and state
authorities were ready to launch an aggressive crackdown on the failure to
monitor transactions, in a move aimed at flagging to financial institutions that
weak compliance is unacceptable. Officials told the Times that regulators are
close to taking action against JP Morgan, while other firms including Bank of
America are also being investigated over perceived shortcomings when it comes to
putting a check on money-laundering activities. It comes just months after a
Senate committee roundly criticized HSBC for ignoring warning signs that it was
being used by money launderers and drug cartels in Mexico. US politicians also
accused HSBC of circumventing US sanctions on countries including Cuba and Iran
– a charge that has also been levied against JP Morgan. The Senate report was
also highly critical of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC),
stating that the regulator needed to take "stronger action" on banks that
exercise poor anti-money laundering controls. The OCC is now leading the
crackdown on non-compliant banks, according to the New York Times report.
Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Well....as far as Spain goes :
Option 1 :a country like Spain asks for a bailout and has its budget (and therefore its entire legislative programme) subject to the oversight of the ECB. Death of democracy.
Option 2 :
a country like Spain asks for a bailout but refuses the oversight of the ECB on its legislature ; spurned by the ECB and the markets it crashes out of the Eurozone. Death of the Euro.
..."troika" ???? Greece has a German Governor - Horst Rechenbach ...what "troika" ??

The inspectors, who held talks with Greece's finance minister on
Sunday, must approve the plan to trim roughly €12bn from the state budget
over the next two years if Athens is to get a green light for the bailout money it needs to avoid bankruptcy.
"The troika has not accepted all the measures, but we have alternative
proposals," said Socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos, a junior partner in the
ruling coalition who was briefed by the finance minister at a party leaders'
meeting.
Greek Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras played down the inspectors'
objections, saying they had rejected only a "few" measures. A senior Greek
government official had said earlier that the troika had sought more details on the
proposals to understand them better.
Officials declined to specify what the objections related to but a source
familiar with the matter said they were over measures to save roughly €2bn by
cutting expenses in the public sector.
FRANKFURT - Deutsche Bank AG's new co-chief executives are expected this week to explain how they aim to turn around the underperforming company, amid considerable investor skepticism.
The strategy presentation to investors comes just over 100 days after Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen took over one of Europe's largest bank by assets. The two chiefs vowed to thoroughly review the bank's vast operations, with an eye to boosting profits amid tougher regulation and Europe's debt crisis. With a balance sheet of €2.2 trillion ($2.8 trillion), Deutsche Bank is one of the world's largest banks, yet one of the least well-capitalized.
LONDON -- A panel of European officials would be given sweeping new powers to police the financial sector across the continent but also in the City of London. They would be given "full decision making powers" to impose EU law and to arbitrate disputes between Britain and the eurozone over the risks posed by British banks, according to the proposals being tabled on Wednesday at the European Commission. Decisions taken by the powerful body would be automatically binding unless Britain was able to win the unlikely backing of a majority and overturn them. Rulings by the panel could create huge costs for the British government and banks if they were ordered to bail out a struggling institution, contribute to cross-border bail-out funds, or allow the EU to rule over breaches of European law. The moves stem from proposals for a eurozone "banking union". The radical new EC blueprint for banking regulation at the EU level is focused on giving the European Central Bank new powers to supervise the eurozone's banks, in order to shore up struggling financial institutions in southern European countries such as Spain. But the ECB's new role would see the existing European Banking Authority (EBA) - the current pan-European bank regulator that has its headquarters in London - being radically overhauled and strengthened. Its panel of European officials would be given new powers to stamp its authority on potential disputes between both eurozone and non-eurozone countries, including Britain.
FRANKFURT - Deutsche Bank AG's new co-chief executives are expected this week to explain how they aim to turn around the underperforming company, amid considerable investor skepticism.
The strategy presentation to investors comes just over 100 days after Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen took over one of Europe's largest bank by assets. The two chiefs vowed to thoroughly review the bank's vast operations, with an eye to boosting profits amid tougher regulation and Europe's debt crisis. With a balance sheet of €2.2 trillion ($2.8 trillion), Deutsche Bank is one of the world's largest banks, yet one of the least well-capitalized.
LONDON -- A panel of European officials would be given sweeping new powers to police the financial sector across the continent but also in the City of London. They would be given "full decision making powers" to impose EU law and to arbitrate disputes between Britain and the eurozone over the risks posed by British banks, according to the proposals being tabled on Wednesday at the European Commission. Decisions taken by the powerful body would be automatically binding unless Britain was able to win the unlikely backing of a majority and overturn them. Rulings by the panel could create huge costs for the British government and banks if they were ordered to bail out a struggling institution, contribute to cross-border bail-out funds, or allow the EU to rule over breaches of European law. The moves stem from proposals for a eurozone "banking union". The radical new EC blueprint for banking regulation at the EU level is focused on giving the European Central Bank new powers to supervise the eurozone's banks, in order to shore up struggling financial institutions in southern European countries such as Spain. But the ECB's new role would see the existing European Banking Authority (EBA) - the current pan-European bank regulator that has its headquarters in London - being radically overhauled and strengthened. Its panel of European officials would be given new powers to stamp its authority on potential disputes between both eurozone and non-eurozone countries, including Britain.
Tuesday, September 4, 2012
QUATRO REICH = THE EUROPEAN UNION

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