Monday, March 12, 2012
Sunday, March 11, 2012
When you owe someone money, and have a contract saying you will repay them, then you unilaterally change the terms of the contract and tell the counterparty that they can whistle for the money... that's a default. ....Anything else is pure sophistry !
Friday, March 9, 2012
Greece slashes its debt burden and qualifies for fresh bailout money as part of the €130bn (£109bn) package from the IMF
Surly that can't be right ...!!!!
An eerie calm seems to have settled across global markets in the lead up to today's decision on a Greek bond swap .
The ECB left interest rates unchanged at 1% as it published new forecasts underlining the impact of the sovereign debt crisis on activity in the 17 countries that use the single currency. While the bank's president, Mario Draghi, said a deal was "very close", his economic staff said they now expected eurozone growth this year of between -0.5% and 0.3% (down from a previous forecast of between -0.4% and 1%). In 2013, they forecast growth of between 0% and 2.2% (down from between 0.3% and 2.3%) On inflation, the ECB expects the consumer price index to be between 2.1% and 2.7% (from 1.5% to 2.5%). Analysts said that the pick-up in inflation ruled out any further cuts in the cost of borrowing for the time being. Matters will come to a head soon. The IMF must decide by September whether Portugal needs more money and debt relief. If Portugal now spirals into a Grecian vortex, large haircuts loom. This time EU leaders will have to accept that their own taxpayers will suffer losses - avoided until now - or violate their pledge. Bondholders are not waiting to learn whether Europe will keep its word this time. There has been no rally in Portuguese debt since the ECB flooded banks with €1 trillion. Ten-year yields are stuck at 13.2pc. Return to market access is a distant dream. The risk for Europe is that investors will charge a "political risk" premium to invest in any EMU country subject to EU legal whim. The greater risk is that Euroland's crisis rumbles on as fiscal contraction in Italy and Spain plays havoc with debt dynamics, and reforms come much to late to close the North-South trade gap. Europe's handling of Greece has guaranteed that global funds will rush for Club Med exits at the first sign of trouble. The next spasm of the debt crisis will that much dangerous if it ever comes. As the saying goes: Hell hath no fury like an abused bondholder. More than 75% of private-sector creditors have pledged to take part in Greece's €200 billion ($262.98 billion) debt swap, an official said.
Thursday, March 8, 2012
GREECE - THE FARCE !!!!...So who's swapping their bonds and who isn't?
Wednesday, March 7, 2012
This crazy game has to come to an end and now.
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
Ah yes - this morning, out of the ER room. Tonight, back in theatre. Why do hacks write nonsense about the EU being 'over the worst' ????
Sunday, March 4, 2012
The collapse of our debt based monetary system is a lot closer than many people think.
Spain planning to breach EU budget targets, warns prime minister Mariano Rajoy
Government austerity programmes: There are a number of channels through which higher oil prices will impact the public finances ----The governments will face a higher interest burden on the portion of the national debt that is linked to inflation...Slower economic growth will reduce tax receipts and could raise government outlays on unemployment benefits.... The governments may choose though to increase winter fuel subsidies to the needy against a backdrop of higher energy costs... However, it may be harder for the governments to implement the planned increase in petrol duty given the risk of public backlash. Wake up and smell the coffee, for we reached a point, where the price of oil, dictates the ability of the World's economy to function. Thousands of hauler jobs, hinge on the price of diesel, every aspect of our lives are directly impacted by the availability of oil at affordable prices. Politicians are showing complete disregard, for the hardships created by the pricing of oil versus taxation. Governments should set a cap on the prices, to allow growth and protect jobs at risk by market prices.
Saturday, March 3, 2012
The EU people are hopeless bungling fools who seem to think that making laws and agreements can, as if by magic, 'create reality'.
The Europe's fiscal pact is not worth the paper is is written on, because everybody will do what they think is good for them. ---- Threfore the whole thing is a FARCE.
Germany provided some liquidity/1 trillion/ so they think it is all done and settled and reforms due in Spain and Italy meanwhile/NOT/ : I wonder what palnet the Germans live on?
Can anyone remember how many times Chelly and the rest of the Euro-clowns insisted that Iceland was going to join the Euro, was applying to join the Euro, would imminently join the Euro, and on and on....Spain is already planning to breach its budgetary targets, defying European leaders on the day they signed their historic fiscal pact.. Mariano Rajoy, prime minister of Spain, said the budget deficit would be 5.8pc of GDP in 2012 - more than 30pc higher than the 4.4pc target agreed by Brussels. In a move that was heralded in Spain as defiance against the German-led austerity drive, Mr Rajoy said he had decided to set a new target rather than extract €44bn (£36.6bn) from the budget at a time of economic crisis. Mr Rajoy said it was now a "sensible and reasonable" target. "This is a sovereign decision made by Spaniards," he said. It was one of their proudest predictions, and like all Euro-clown predictions, prediction was the point. There didn't need to be a fact, having a prediction was enough. A fact only happens once, but a prediction is a day after day thing....And the message was simple. In a crisis, the Euro will save you....oh yeaaaah...!!!!
Friday, March 2, 2012
The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) has ruled that a "credit event" has not occured for Greece.
The house of cards that is the EZ looks even more shaky now...
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Ireland can now expect lies and threats from the EU
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Begining today Greece is being told by it's German Governor (Horst Reichenbach) how to run its budget and how to spend its funds.
Saturday, February 25, 2012
Friday, February 24, 2012
The International Monetary Fund is likely to offer minimal funds for a second Greek aid package
Thursday, February 23, 2012
The house of cards grows progressively larger...Who's going to be the first to sneeze?
-- Provide loans to countries in financial difficulties
-- Intervene in the debt primary and secondary markets.
-- Intervention in the secondary market will be only on the basis of an ECB analysis recognising the existence of exceptional financial market circumstances and risks to financial stability
-- Act on the basis of a precautionary programme
-- Finance recapitalisations of financial institutions through loans to governments
To fulfill its mission, EFSF issues bonds or other debt instruments on the capital markets. EFSF is backed by guarantee commitments from the euro area Member States for a total of €780 billion and has a lending capacity of €440 billion. EFSF has been assigned the best possible credit rating by Moody’s (Aaa) and Fitch Ratings (AAA). EFSF has been assigned a AA+ rating by Standard & Poor’s. EFSF is a Luxembourg-registered company owned by Euro Area Member States. It is headed by Klaus Regling, former Director-General for economic and financial affairs at the European Commission.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Fitch downgraded GREECE - the proposal to reduce Greece's public debt burden constitute a rating default
Sunday, February 19, 2012
I don't think that many sane people think that Greeks will remain in the Euro-Zone
Greece's cabinet agreed on Saturday to launch a debt swap for private creditors on March 8 with the aim of completing it by March 11, a government official said. The swap is to accompany a 130-billion-euro rescue package that Athens hopes to agree with its euro zone partners on Monday and will mean that creditors take a 70 percent cut in the real value of their holdings...........Here comes the D-Day!