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Showing posts with label BCE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BCE. Show all posts
Thursday, June 18, 2015
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Monday, October 28, 2013
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The target of 7% is in line with what a bank has to achieve under the new
"Basel III" rules on capital in order to pay its dividends and bonuses without
restrictions. However, it's lower than the 9% required by the capital exercise
that the European Banking Authority carried out over 2011-2012. Theoretically,
the new Basel standards don't come into force until 2018, but pressure from both
regulators and financial markets has led most banks to report under the new
standards already. The one percentage point surcharge for 'significant' banks echoes the
Financial Stability Board's intention to impose a capital surcharge of up to 3.5
percentage points for Systemically Important Financial Institutions--also known
as banks that are 'too big to fail.' The FSB will phase in these surcharges between 2016-2019. According to its
latest assessments, Deutsche Bank AG (DBK.XE) would be liable to a surcharge of
2.5 percentage points, with a dozen other EU banks being subject to surcharges
of between one and two percentage points. However, it isn't clear how the ECB
will define its list of significant banks.
The ECB will release additional details on how it will handle its asset
quality review at a press conference Wednesday. Europe's central bank will
conduct the review in the first half of next year, before it takes on the role
of bank supervisor. Currently, banks across the 17-member currency bloc are
overseen by national regulators. The review is seen by most analysts as a critical part of efforts by European
officials to address capital needs of banks, particularly in southern Europe,
and to spur new lending to the private sector.
Sunday, September 29, 2013
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Create a rainy day fund?
Look outside, its pouring down!
In a move that puts it on a collision course with Germany, the IMF discussion
note said that at a minimum, deeper fiscal integration required increased
policing of member states and the swift completion of a banking union with a
"common backstop" for eurozone lenders.
The report, titled: Toward a fiscal union for the euro area, said
forcing countries to endure repeated rounds of austerity to resolve future
crises would plunge weaker countries into a deflation spiral and drag the whole
region into a "prolonged period of stagnation."
It suggested that policymakers create a "rainy day fund", where governments
contributed up to €200bn (£168bn) a year to help weaker countries "ex-ante", and
avoid a systemic crisis.
The IMF economists also backed European Commission plans for a Single
Resolution Mechanism (SRM), which would hand a powerful central executioner the
power to wind down failing banks.
Germany has questioned the legality of the plans, which would hand sweeping
powers to Brussels, while none of the 28 EU member states have explicitly backed
them.
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
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Greece has received massive rescue funding, tied to tough conditions, from
the EU and the IMF to help it overcome a debt crisis which threatened the
eurozone.
However, the a resulting structural reforms, including an overhaul of its
public sector and its tax system, have proved unpopular.
On Saturday Samaras promised no further austerity measures would be
introduced, saying the economy "cannot take" them any more.
"Debt levels will be manageable, Greece has respected its commitments... now,
the creditors must also respect what was agreed," he added.
Protests in Thessaloniki, the country's second largest city, were organised
by the private and public sector trade unions, GSEE and Adedy, who called for
"fighting austerity and poverty".
Police said about 4,500 extra officers had been sent to the city to avert
rioting during the four-hour demonstration.
The EU and the IMF recently praised the Greek government's progress in
turning the economy around, but bemoaned delays to a programme of privatisation
and reform, and the fact that the country will likely need further aid in 2014
and 2015 amounting to around €10bn.
Tuesday, July 9, 2013
ECB - Troubled bank balance sheets ...
Troubled bank balance sheets had the potential to “choke the engine of
recovery” in the 17-nation bloc, and “exert a more persistent drag on economic
growth,” said Mr Coeuré, who sits on the executive board of the European Central
Bank (ECB). Mr Coeuré said ailing banks had to be repaired or shut down. Failure to do so
could result in a decade of stagnant growth in the eurozone, similar to Japan in
the 1990s. He said the eurozone crisis risked creating a Japanese-style wave of “zombie
banks” in which lenders, fearful of falling foul of capital rules, chose to
“evergreen” - or roll over - bad loans instead of recognizing losses on their
books. This had led to the “perverse” practice of banks extending credit to
insolvent borrowers, rather than lend to creditworthy firms, said Mr Coeuré.
Banks then “gambl[ed] on the hope that [firms] would recover or that the
government would bail them out”. Mr Coeuré called on leaders to complete the steps needed to implement the
eurozone’s banking union. He also said measures were needed to tackle youth
unemployment...
Meanwhile, Olli Rehn, an incompetent idiot, the European commissioner for economic and monetary
affairs, said the next tranche of Greece’s bail-out could be paid in installments
amid growing frustration with Athens’ slow pace of reform.
“It is possible, but not certain,” Mr Rehn said on Friday. “It all depends on
whether Greece can meet all requirements that they are committed to.” A separate report by the European Commission and the ECB showed that Spain’s
troubled lenders did not need further taxpayer support. The eurozone’s fourth
largest economy has so far received €41.3bn to recapitalize its banks....
German politicians have been vocal in their opposition to the EU
Commission's plans for a single bank resolution authority, concerned that it
could override a national decision on how to deal with a struggling bank.
Yesterday finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble warned that the plans could
require treaty change. I would strongly ask the commission in its proposal for a
[single resolution mechanism] to be very careful, and to stick to the limited
interpretation of the given treaty. We have to stick to the given legal basis,
as otherwise we risk major turbulence. More on the plans for the so-called
"single resolution mechanism" to be proposed by the EU Commission today. If
plans go ahead at the planned pace, a new agency within the European Central
Bank will be in charge of the wind-down or rescue of failed banks by 2015. The
eventual aim is for the ECB to draw from a common multibillion euro fund,
supplied by eurozone banks. However, since it will take years to accumulate the
€60bn needed for a bank resolution fund, it will be limited to overseeing
national-level bank bail-outs to begin with.
Saturday, June 29, 2013
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Saturday, April 6, 2013
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Over to Italy, where the treasury has cut its growth
expectations, just two weeks after the last forecasts. Treasury
undersecretary Gianfranco Polillo said the economy is likely to contract
by 1.5% and 1.6% this year. Speaking to Radio 24, he said: This year
we will see a fall in gross domestic product of 1.3% if things go well, but it
will probably be -1.5% or -1.6%. The currency bloc's third largest economy has
shrunk for six consecutive quarters, its longest recession in 20 years. Mario
Monti's outgoing government slashed this year's forecast to -1.3% last moth from
its previous estimate of -0.2%.
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
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The second possibility – and one I increasingly favour – is that from the outset Mario Draghi saw Cyprus as a distraction, no more: he knows that via his control over the banking purse-strings, he can bring the island to its knees any time he likes. Either he knew (or guessed) that the Berlin mentality would jackboot into the situation and use it as a test-case for (a) future events where threats are felt to be necessary and (b) setting the precedent for State theft of depositor funds under the guise of bollocks like Open Bank Recontruction (OBR) or fantasy ‘levies’. Of course, he would prefer to be away from that grubby operation, but I return to the key word here – distraction: Germany’s aim is control; Draghi’s aim is the survival of the euro, whatever it might cost. The two need not be the same, and in the long term probably won’t be….Personally, I suspect what he plans to do adds up to yet another form of citizen pauperisation alongside the bank robbery approach…. in Frankfurt, Marketwatch opined as follows: ‘the precedents set by the Cyprus deal have undermined the euro in a very important way. The imposition of capital controls–a euro-zone first–now means that a euro held in a Cypriot bank account can’t be moved, withdrawn or even spent with the same ease as a euro held in a bank account in Germany, France or anywhere else in the 17-nation eurozone. Simply put, a “Cypriot euro” is worth less than a euro held in a bank account anywhere else".
The whole idea of EMU a nonsense: it is, in fact, the beginning of the end of EMU. In a client note after the true level of Cyprus haircut was announced, Deutsche Bank strategist George Saravelos wrote, ‘Economic and monetary union across the entire euro zone no longer exists. Even though [Cyprus] is very small, policy makers’ willingness to suspend cross-border euro convertibility is a meaningfully negative signal for the euro zone.’ The economics boffins at Nomura concurred: ‘Common currency, by definition, means that a euro in country A is equivalent to a euro in country B’ they wrote. UBS Head of Global Economics Paul Donovan told CNBC, “If you impose capital controls, effectively, the monetary union is dead.”. And perhaps most chilling of all, David Mann, Regional Head of Research for the Americas at Standard Chartered Bank says, “There is no point in anyone claiming they know what’s coming next. It’s [capital controls] gone from something hardly mentioned a week ago to something that is being taken absolutely seriously enough to be running into a real scenario. But it has to be instant. Bank runs can literally be electronic — they happen at a touch of the button.”
Saturday, March 30, 2013
'Disastrous' and 'unbelievable' are the words which spring to mind!
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The lesson or ALL is to quit this organization without further delay.....Under an arrangement expected to be announced on Saturday, depositors in Bank of Cyprus will receive shares in the lender worth 37.5pc of any savings over €100,000, while the rest may never be paid back, according to Reuters, citing a source with direct knowledge of the terms. Of the 62.5pc of uninsured deposits not converted to bank shares, about 40pc will continue to accrue interest but will not be repaid unless the bank does well, while the final 22.5pc will cease to attract interest, the source told Reuters. Government figures, including finance minister Michalis Sarris and central bank governor Panicos Demetriades, had previously indicated that depositors in the island's largest lender would lose around 40pc of their uninsured savings as part of an 11th hour agreement reached in Brussels in the early hours of Monday. Meanwhile, account holders in Laiki Bank, the country's second largest, stand to lose up to 80pc of their money as the lender is wound down and insured deposits transferred to Bank of Cyprus. The harsher-than-expected terms on the Bank of Cyprus' largest depositors will provoke further anger among Cypriots, who face sharp economic decline with the contraction of their dominant banking sector. The most irritating thing about this whole tragic saga is the constant use of the euphemism 'haircut'. Theft is theft pure and simple. Theft is, and always has been a serious criminal offence; anyone found guilty of it should be properly punished for their crime. When we start trying to dilute the meaning of it and pretend to mitigate the affects of it we seriously jeopardize our morality as human beings. Perhaps rape will soon be described as undesired sex, and murder as a premature termination etc, etc.
Wednesday, March 27, 2013
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The streets in Nicosia were quieter today because of a national holiday to celebrate Greek independence, with school children parading to the Greek embassy. Lines remained at Popular Bank’s cash machines after the daily limit was lowered to 100 euros yesterday from 260 euros.
Anastasiades was running out of options after failing to get help from the Russians, whose holdings in Cypriot banks Moody’s Investors Service estimated at $31 billion.
The deal imposes losses that two EU officials said would be no more than 40 percent on uninsured depositors at Bank of Cyprus Plc, the largest bank, which will take over the viable assets of Cyprus Popular Bank (CPB) as it’s wound down.
“I’m not happy with the agreement because it will be a destroyer for the Cyprus economy,” said Yannis Emmanouilidis, 50, a chemist. “Because if our bank system is destroyed, the whole economy will be destroyed.”
Bank assets in Cyprus swelled to 126.4 billion euros at the end of January, seven times the size of the 18 billion-euro economy, from 78 billion euros in 2007, data from the ECB and the EU’s statistics office show.
Emmanouilidis said he has an account at Popular Bank, or Laiki in Greek, and is thinking about withdrawing his money, though he doesn’t want to exacerbate the economic problems.
If he does, he will have to wait. Banks in Cyprus, which have been shut for the past week, remain closed and lawmakers voted last week to impose capital controls to prevent a run on deposits when they reopen.
“Maybe we won’t have the right to take out our money,” Emmanouilidis said. “This is a free market and the banks won’t let us take our money out? This is amazing in a democracy of the European Union.”
Monday, March 25, 2013
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Strange how they didn't send out that message so clearly fifteen years ago
when Kohl rejected economic advice and insisted that Italy must be allowed to
join the euro on political grounds.
"Operation Self-Deceit: New Documents Shine Light on Euro Birth Defects Newly revealed German government documents reveal that many in Helmut Kohl's
Chancellery had deep doubts about a European common currency when it was
introduced in 1998. First and foremost, experts pointed to Italy as being the
euro's weak link." Well....
The eu allowed countries to break the entry conditions of joining the EZ.
They then allowed countires to break the ficsal stability pact that was suppoed
to hold everyone together. Germany were the first to break the deal, so you cant
blame the med countries from realising that the rules do not apply.
I do not support the incompetatance theory. The EU knew exactly what it was
doing. By providing enough rope the smaller weaker countries have been allowed
to hang themselves. If there was any real motive to have all the EZ countries
performing the EU would and should have stepped in long before the situation
became serious. They had the law in the terms of the treaties to force the med
countries to comply, but did not take any action. They are complicit in problem
that these countries face and are now taking advantage to destroy competition
and asset strip where they can.
Meanwhile : The central bank in Cyprus imposed a €100 a day withdrawal limit at cash machines for all local banks on Sunday to avert a run on lenders, as the island's leaders meet its international lenders for last-ditch talks to avert a financial meltdown.
Meanwhile : The central bank in Cyprus imposed a €100 a day withdrawal limit at cash machines for all local banks on Sunday to avert a run on lenders, as the island's leaders meet its international lenders for last-ditch talks to avert a financial meltdown.
Friday, February 1, 2013
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The Eurozone crisis has a lot to do with a bureaucratic, technocratic
machinery running aground when the proactive market participants start
addressing the various - and major disparities in the economies under the same
trading bloc. Rather than create a sensible way out for countries with huge
youth unemployment issues, suffering under severe austerity, they are forcing
Europeans to carry on unabated. There is no central tax revenue collection or coherence in this vastly
diversified trading area, and sovereign authority is, at best, paid lip service
to when countries have to make tough decisions. There is scope for an
entrepreneurial and proactive trading bloc, but not on these terms. As countries
struggle under the weight of market pressures, the last thing they need is fewer
options. Which is exactly what the EU is giving them. Just ask Iceland - now
pushing out healthy GDP growth figures after their own economic crisis of a few
years ago. The EU is simply not responsive enough to market demands to be a credible
single currency zone. And its southern Member states are paying a heavy price
for its inflexibility and blindness to proactive. With an ex-Communist in charge
- is anyone truly surprised? I still think the EU can be made to work, but fear
with the current incumbents that it is too late to wind back the clock and get
the trading area to function effectively.
Wednesday, January 30, 2013
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Queen Beatrix turns 75 in just a few days and is already the country’s oldest
ever monarch. Both her mother, Queen Julianna, and her grandmother, Queen
Wilhelmina, also abdicated and the Dutch do not see being king or queen as a job
for life.
“I am not abdicating because this office is too much of a burden, but out of
conviction that the responsibility for our nation should now rest in the hands
of a new generation,” Queen Beatrix said, in a speech delivered from her Huis
ten Bosch palace.
“I am deeply grateful for the great faith you have shown in me in the many
years that I could be your Queen,” she added.
The Dutch Queen praised her eldest son, Prince Willem-Alexander, as a
talented and capable successor 'fully prepared’ for his future role. As a history buff I can tell you that when Germany invaded the Netherlands in
WW2 the Dutch Royal family fled to England under the sanctuary of the British
King George VI and his Parliament and were safely tucked away in Ottawa Canada
for the duration of the war and until all the nastiness was over.
Unlike the
British Royal Family who were duty bound to remain in Britain throughout the
Blitz and the threat of invasion.
The Netherlands were liberated by British
and Canadian troops
in 1945 and since the Germans let the Dutch citizens
starve sooner than capitulate or surrender the Allies even airlifted much food
stuffs to the starving Dutch. Since the Dutch are considered Volks to the very
similar Germans there was much collaboration with many Dutch who welcomed Hitler
and there was not very much resistance at all until after the June Allied
landing in 1944.
The Allies were prompt to bring this Dutch Royal Family
and reinstate them and return to status quo and use this Royal group as a
rallying point should the Russians rumble across Western Europe or worse
scenario the starving Dutch might go Communist,so let`s rebuild with the
Marshall Plan-shrewd and clever how Capitalism works.
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
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The rug is part of more than 2,000 items looted by the leading Nazi, who killed himself after being sentenced to the death penalty at the Nuremberg Trials in 1946.
An investigation by journalists working for news magazine Der Spiegel revealed the true history of the Persian rug, which has caused embarrassment for the German leader. Mrs Merkel is preparing to make her third bid for power this Autumn, and is said to be furious with her aides over the revelations . It is understood the rug will be removed from view by the end of the week. The former state minister for culture Michael Naumann has now urged the government to force the return of Nazi looted items to their rightful owners or their heirs.
"The legislature must concretise their return," he said. "More money must also be used for research in German museums." The timing of the revelation is even more embarrassing as it comes hours after Holocaust Memorial Day, held on Sunday January 27..... In a podcast on her website, Mrs Merket said: "Naturally, we have an everlasting responsibility for the crimes of national-socialism, for the victims of World War II, and above all, for the Holocaust.
An investigation by journalists working for news magazine Der Spiegel revealed the true history of the Persian rug, which has caused embarrassment for the German leader. Mrs Merkel is preparing to make her third bid for power this Autumn, and is said to be furious with her aides over the revelations . It is understood the rug will be removed from view by the end of the week. The former state minister for culture Michael Naumann has now urged the government to force the return of Nazi looted items to their rightful owners or their heirs.
"The legislature must concretise their return," he said. "More money must also be used for research in German museums." The timing of the revelation is even more embarrassing as it comes hours after Holocaust Memorial Day, held on Sunday January 27..... In a podcast on her website, Mrs Merket said: "Naturally, we have an everlasting responsibility for the crimes of national-socialism, for the victims of World War II, and above all, for the Holocaust.
We’re facing our history, we’re not hiding anything, we’re not repressing anything. We must confront this to make sure we are a good and trustworthy partner in the future, as we already are today, thankfully."It is unclear how another Goering carpet ended up in the chancellor's office in Berlin. The West German government in 1966 declared the task of reuniting owners with their stolen property to be 'concluded.'
But tapestry from the same collection as the rug in Mrs Merkel's office adorns the walls of a government guest house on the outskirts of Bonn.
But tapestry from the same collection as the rug in Mrs Merkel's office adorns the walls of a government guest house on the outskirts of Bonn.
Saturday, August 11, 2012
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Bloomberg has a report on an interview the SPD floor leader, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, gave to the Rheinische Post newspaper.
He raised the pressure on Mrs Merkel to agree to more burden-sharing to stem the euro crisis, claiming that Mrs Merkel, while rejecting euro-region bond sales, fails to say that Germany is already exposed to losses from the debt crisis through the European Central Bank’s bond purchases:
The government should finally be honest about it to the people. If we want to prevent the breakup of the euro zone, it won’t be without risks for Germany.....I have been following the EU. crisis for the last three years and the Muppets in Brussels still have no idea what to do. It gives me no confidence at all in our leaders in Brussels. The numpties in Westminster are not too bright but they beat the nutters in Brussels and Strasbourg hands down.
From debt crisis to food crisis. The UN's food agency has warned today that the world could face a food crisis like that of 2007/08 if countries restruct exports on concerns about a drought-fuelled grain price rally. In its latest update, the Food and Agriculture Organisation said its food price index climbed 6pc last month, after three months of decline, driven by a surge in grain and sugar prices.
Anxieties over extreme hot and dry weather in the US Midwest sent corn and soybean prices to record highs last month, driving overall food prices higher. Grain markets have also been boosted recently by speculation that Black Sea grain producers, particularly Russia, might impose export restrictions after a drought there hit crops.
The FAO's senior economist and grain analyst Abdolreza Abbassian told Reuters: There is an expectation that this time around we will not pursue bad policies and intervene in the market by restrictions, and if that doesn't happen we will not see such a serious situation as 2007/08. But if those policies get repeated, anything is possible.
Saturday, August 4, 2012
I bet even the IMF has no idea how much the game is going to change.
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Over four years some of the known truth has been drip fed out, it's rumsfeldt's unknown unknowns (as it were) that will lock in the longest depression yet, as we especially seem stuck with the present establishment using the austerity argument totally dishonestly for dogmatic gains and repression.... I SAY : The economic shock from the eurozone crisis has not yet hit said the IMF- AND That's because it ISN'T a "eurozone crisis", it's a crisis of western consumer 'growth' capitalism, mainly caused by a bubble stoked by profligate bank lending activities, reckless and stupid corporate borrowing and a disastrous corporate 'globalisation' process which saw the biggest transfer of wealth across the globe in human history - oh, and diminishing conventional oil reserves.
Top bankers messed up, top business leaders gave away the wealth of the west for short term profit and dumb politicians didn't understand what was going on. Those that did, were easily 'persuaded'. They're all sliding down the mountain side, using ice picks for brakes but kicking the Eurozone ahead of themselves, so that they have someone to blame....it called for a "policy game changer"
I bet even the IMF has no idea how much the game is going to change.
Sunday, June 3, 2012
As the Eurocrats toy with “Grexit”, Spain is trying to plug holes in regional budgets
If the World goes into a nose dive there will still be top dog countries or
safer heavens. The time to worry is when people start to starve then civil war
breaks out. AS long as they can keep bellies full then civil unrest will be held
at bay.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
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Wednesday, February 23, 2011
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