
Showing posts with label consultants. Show all posts
Showing posts with label consultants. Show all posts
Friday, May 4, 2012

Thursday, March 22, 2012
Tensions within the zone are mounting as we enter this week

Britain is considered governable, but that might change after Wednesday's strike of public service workers shuts down the country. The failure of the super committee to find some trivial deficit reductions means America might also slip into the ungovernable category. And the Federal Reserve Board is imposing new stress tests to determine whether leading banks can withstand a wave of sovereign- debt and bank defaults in Europe. One thing is certain: The euro cannot survive without a major change in the governance structure of the euro zone. The first prescription for what ails the zone was "austerity", but that has produced recessions and government oustings. Then came the European Financial Stability Facility, but it turns out to be too puny to halt the bond vigilantes' rampage through the euro zone, and anyhow rests in part on France's waning ability to join Germany as a guarantor by retaining its triple-A credit rating. The European Central Bank, operating within the legal limits imposed on it by thetreaties that govern the European Union, is providing some liquidity to the banks and a bit of relief on the interest-rate front for sovereign borrowers, but it cannot do much to prevent the insolvent from being forced to default. Ms. Merkel, Germany's latest Iron Chancellor, has set her face against any of the measures that might stem the tide that is about to engulf the euro. She is against allowing the ECB to become the lender of last resort, aka printer of money. She refuses to share her balance sheet with stressed countries by allowing the issuance of euro-bonds, until they reform, even though such reforms cannot be implemented in time to head off sovereign defaults that would take down many under-capitalized European banks, now desperately juggling their books to inflate their capital ratios.
Monday, January 16, 2012
The other Europe ...today's developments - At this hour ( 1:30 pmlocal time), there are people gathering in the center of Bucharest once more.

CZECH REPUBLIC: The Czech government’s restitution bill that compensates churches for property and assets confiscated during communist rule has raised political tensions and fiscal costs, and as such is credit negative, Moody’s Investors Service said Monday. The bill commits the state to transferring CZK170 billion, or 4.3% of gross domestic product, to the churches, Moody’s noted. Furthermore, if tensions result in the exit of Public Affairs (VV) from the ruling coalition, early elections would have to be called to form a new government, the credit rating firm pointed out.
SLOVAKIA: Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered its long-term sovereign credit rating on the Slovak Republic to ‘A’ from ‘A+’, and affirmed the short-term ‘A-1′ rating
BULGARIA: Miners at Bulgaria’s largest coal producer, state-owned Maritza East Mines, went on strike Sunday after failing to obtain demanded wage increases, miners’ union leader Valentin Valchev said.
SLOVAKIA: Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered its long-term sovereign credit rating on the Slovak Republic to ‘A’ from ‘A+’, and affirmed the short-term ‘A-1′ rating
BULGARIA: Miners at Bulgaria’s largest coal producer, state-owned Maritza East Mines, went on strike Sunday after failing to obtain demanded wage increases, miners’ union leader Valentin Valchev said.
Friday, December 2, 2011

Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Federal Reserve "coordinates" with ECB and Bank of England to allow banks cheaper access to dollar.

Monday, November 28, 2011

Saturday, November 26, 2011
It's never going to happen....wishful thinking

Friday, November 25, 2011
Contingency planing - throughout Europe and beyond

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Saturday, November 12, 2011
ITALY - Mr Monti's appointment seemed a done deal earlier in the week, but two other candidates are now being openly discussed – Angelino Alfano, Mr Berlusconi's former justice minister, and Lamberto Dini, a former Bank of Italy official who headed a similar technocrat government during an earlier phase of political paralysis in the 1990s. Italy would be "playing with fire" if it proved unable to form a new government under Mr Monti and give him a clear mandate to enact the reforms, Corriere della Sera said in a front page editorial. Business leaders and most of the country's big unions launched a joint appeal for Mr Monti to be made the new prime minister in order to restore confidence in Italy's ability to cut its debt and calm the euro zone crisis. "By Monday, Italy must have a new emergency government, with a respected leader and the broadest possible consensus in parliament," their statement said. There are serious concerns in Italy that even if a Monti government could be formed, it could be brought down within months by political infighting and an inability to push through the deeply unpopular reforms, which have been demanded by the country's European leaders and the International Monetary Fund. "On the eve of Berlusconi's resignation, there is still great confusion," newspaper Corriere della Sera warned.
Sunday, November 6, 2011


He 'negotiated' (i.e., 'had imposed on him') the EU debt relief package and then, when the conservatives railed against him for the terms of that package, floated the idea of a referendum (although I doubt he ever intended there to be one). That caused sufficient panic among his opponents that he proposed a 'government of national unity' (i.e. 'a government not led by him') to do the dirty work of actually implementing the requirements of the EU package. Now he can place the leader of the conservatives squarely in the gunsights for the duration of the worst of the cuts that must hit Greece, walk away and say, "But I wanted the people to choose!"
They shouldn't clean out his office as he or his successor will be back within two years.
Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Monday, October 31, 2011


Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Remarks by President of the European Council Herman Van Rompuy after the meeting of EU Heads of State or Government: At today's meeting, I informed the members of the European Council about the state of preparations of the Euro Summit that will take place later in the day. We discussed the situation and all leaders underlined their common resolve to do their utmost to overcome the crisis and to help face in a spirit of solidarity the challenges confronting the European Union and the Euro area. The members of the European Council welcomed the consensus on measures to restore confidence in the banking sector reached by the Council (ECOFIN) on 22 October. The banking measures form part of a broader package, alongside the decisions to be taken by today's meeting of the Euro Summit, and are subject to its full approval. The Council (ECOFIN) will finalize the work and adopt the necessary follow up measures. The consensus concerns both the banks' short-term and longer-term needs. The overarching goal of the exercise is to foster confidence in the European banking sector. Improved access of the banks' medium- and long-term funding is essential to avoid a credit crunch and to safeguard the flow of credit to the real economy. States will provide guarantees enabling banks to raise term funds. We decided to rely on a truly coordinated approach at EU level regarding the conditions and criteria. Short term overcapitalization is needed in the current exceptional circumstances to create a temporary buffer allowing the banking system to withstand shocks in a reliable manner. Agreement has been reached that banks should be required, by 30 June 2012, to have 9 %of the highest quality capital. This figure should take into account a marking down for sovereign bond holdings against current market prices (as of 30 September 2011). Banks should raise capital in the first place from private sources, and only if that is not possible, seek support from national governments. If the latter support is not available without creating systemic risks for the Euro zone, the EFSF should provide the loans for overcapitalization. Any form of public support, whether at a national or EU-level, will have to comply to the rules of the state aid crisis framework. The Commission has indicated it will be applied with the necessary proportionality in view of the systemic character of the crisis. With these measures, we restore confidence and put Europe's banking sector on a sound footing.
Silvio Berlusconi has agreed to resign by January

Italy, which has €1.9 trillion (£1.65 trillion) of debt, will try to sell €10.5bn of government bonds today, even as it races to come up with a credible debt-reduction plan in time for today's summit in Brussels. Obviously if Italy is without a leader, or can't get agreement on debt reduction, it will make getting a final agreement at this afternoon's meeting all the harder - it is the eurozone's third-largest economy after all...
The International Monetary Fund is considering taking part in the bail-out fund via a special investment vehicle (SPIV), Reuters reported. To increase the firepower of the €440bn EFSF without actually putting more money into it, the SPIV (try not to laugh at the name) will be able to issue debt and use the money raised to buy the bonds of indebted nations in the secondary markets, or make loans to governments. The SPIV would be able to raise money from private investors and sovereign wealth funds, and the IMF could also contribute. Of course, when the IMF is involved, it means stakeholders countries taxpayers are on the hook because of the country's contribution to the fund.
Thursday, October 20, 2011

Monday, October 17, 2011
Lot's of "smoke" again ...

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Saturday, October 15, 2011

Friday, October 14, 2011
Geting closer to the Ribbentrop - Molotov Pact implemetation ..!!!

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