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Showing posts with label News-AR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label News-AR. Show all posts
Thursday, December 17, 2015
THE AMERICAN WAY...
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Monday, February 23, 2015
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Saturday, October 18, 2014
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“Not only do we not need a new memorandum [loan agreement],” said prime minister Antonis Samaras, addressing parliament hours before his government survived a crucial vote of confidence early on Saturday. “We don’t need the rest of the money that from the start of next year we were on course to get from the current memorandum. We can leave it one and a half years earlier … that is our goal.”
Funding from the IMF had been due to expire in March 2016, while funds from the eurozone end this year. At €240bn (£188bn), the lifeline was the largest rescue programme in global financial history and was aimed at preventing the debt crisis that affected Athens from spreading to the rest of the eurozone.
Samaras denies that Greece wants an acrimonious break from the IMF. The organisation, perhaps more than the EU, has insisted on tough reforms and austerity measures in return for the rescue funds. These have exacerbated a six-year recession, the worst on record, left a quarter of the workforce unemployed, and seen support for Samaras’s fragile coalition plummet.
Hardouvelis, who met Lagarde with his predecessor, the governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, is thought to have presented a plan detailing the country’s ability to cover its financing needs from bond markets. But the IMF chief has already signalled that she does not share such confidence. Although the IMF is also keen to disengage from the programme – and is under pressure from member states to focus on countries in the developing world – Greece is faced with a financing gap of about €15bn next year.
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Tuesday, April 8, 2014
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Police arrested 70 pro-Russian demonstrators in Kharkiv on Tuesday, as protesters in two other cities held similar standoffs. Ukrainian authorities gave few details of the "operation that cleared the building in Kharkiv but said two police had been wounded by a grenade.
Ukrainian special forces in combat gear, helmets and balaclavas and carrying machine guns stood guard outside the building early on Tuesday. A partly destroyed sign near the main door read: "Avakov – to jail", a reference to the Ukrainian interior minister, Arsen Avakov.
Avakov made mention of the operation to clear the buildings on his Facebook page: "An anti-terrorist operation has been launched. The city center is blocked along with metro stations. Do not worry. Once we finish, we will open them again."
The Interfax-Ukraine news agency quoted the interior ministry saying those detained were suspected of "illegal activity related to separatism, the organization of mass disorder, damage to human health" and breaking other laws.
Ukraine's acting president, Oleksander Turchinov, made a televised address to the nation in which he accused Moscow of orchestrating the protests in an attempt to repeat "the Crimea scenario".
Russia has denied Ukrainian charges of involvement but warned Kiev against any use of force against Russian-speakers. On Tuesday, Russia's foreign ministry called on Kiev to stop massing military forces it said were tasked with suppressing anti-government protests in the south-east of the country.
"We call for an immediate halt to military preparations which could lead to an outbreak of civil war," the ministry said in a statement.
The pro-Russian protesters still barricaded inside official buildings in Luhansk and Donetsk demanded that referendums be held on whether to join Russia, similar to the one that preceded Moscow's annexation of Crimea.
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
The British are solely concerned about their economic interests, nothing else...OOOOKKK !!!!
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"The British are solely concerned about their economic interests, nothing
else. They could be offered a different form of partnership," he told
Handelsblatt, a German financial newspaper. "If the British cannot support the trend towards more integration in Europe,
we can nevertheless remain friends, but on a different basis. I could imagine a
form such as a European economic area or a free-trade agreement." The comments will add weight to growing demands from Conservative backbench
MPs and Euro-sceptics for David Cameron to renegotiate Britain's relationship
with Europe and to bring back powers from the EU to Westminster. The Prime Minister has said that he supports continued EU membership but
wants a "new settlement" which will involve Britain opting-out of justice
measures and seeking exemptions to any further centralisation of power in
Brussels...at last an honest acknowledgement that the goal is a federal europe. if there
was any doubt about it monsieur delors has settled it once and for all. So
now the way forward is clear. the choice is between being part of this
federation and losing our independence and sovereignty, or coming out and
retaining our sovereignty. and it is for the british people to decide, not the
politicians. There can no longer be any attempts to bamboozle the electorate
with hypocritical talk of renegotiation. it is time for a referendum without
further delay. The future is not further 'integration' and the assembly of a colossal
superstate - the future is independence and individuality. Nowhere in the world do people think the same way as politicians and
bureaucrats. Everywhere you see that when left to themselves, people want their
own unique identity, control over their own environment and their own
destiny. Bureaucrats believe 'bigger is best' while people know that small is
beautiful. That's why the Berlin wall fell, why Slovakia split from the Czech
republic, why the Baltic states went their own way; why Belgium had no
government for over a year; why Scotland wants independence and why even
California and Texas talk about seceding from the Union. Then one and only treason why bureaucrats want bigger and bigger is because
it means more money for them. Like lawyers, they'll happily sell you down the
river in return for 30 pieces of silver, or in the case of the EU, 300,000
pieces of silver. They're nothing if not greedy. Britain should find its own way in the world. As a nation we are more than
capable. We don't need thousands of regulations, tens of thousands of
bureaucrats, mollycoddling or being told what to do all the time. We want
freedom - freedom to invent, to explore, to create, and determine our own
future. The EU project is at an end - it is time for us to create a nation fit
for the future, fit for all our people to live and thrive in - a nation where we
alone hold the reins and guide our own destiny. Just leave, it is only the corrupt who want us to stay in this corrupt
organisation. The EUSSR must be with out any doubt the most corrupt organisation
in the world. Why was my father and millions of others killed for our freedom,
as I was told as as child. Was this just a lie, if not was was it? Did our
government say this so control of us could be done in different way? Our
government only has a white flag to wave at the EUSSR. I would now take up arms
against this invasion of England, but the young of this country are brainwashed
in believing in a none existent country. Europe is not a country it is a
continent. People should Think, Think, Think, but no, that is not allowed.
If Delors thinks ' the British are solely concerned about their economic
interests, nothing else' he is deluded. The British are concerned about their
increasing inability to make and uphold their own laws, control their own
borders , have an elected Parliament accountable to the electorate not a foreign
governing body, and all other issues resulting from having the jackboot of the
EU on its neck. There is also the little matter, not often in the news, of the
plan to abolish England! Prezza was merrily engaged in working on EU plans to
split England up into EU departments when he wasn't chasing his secretary round
his desk. Kept that one quiet, haven't you Jacques?,,,The UK shall not exist as a nation state if it remains in the EU. Instead, we
shall be a northern province of centrally ruled state run by unaccountable
people who consider themselves a special priestly caste with unique access to
the truth and what is good for everyone. Little people will be expected to genuflect to these Platonic Kings who know
the real world beyond the dark cave of ignorance which is our lot. Those who
shout for democracy will be seen as trouble makers and silenced accordingly
because they will be attacking the dear leaders who, by definition, know the
truth and do not need or want to be pestered by shouts from the ignorant. We ditched this sort of disgusting ignorance when we kicked out King James 1
in the Glorious Revolution. And, now, Cameron, Clegg and Milliband seem to want
to junk several hundred years of political evolution to return to a primitive,
unstable and very dangerous form of government lacking, even, the checks and
balances extant in the late 17th century...Delors is right.... but it seems the ignorant, selfish and small minded
politicians in Westminster are still trying to tell the rest of us that the UK
system is substandard and should be junked in favour of the political disaster
that is the EU....Simple response to any EU apologist like Delors. Do not believe them,
these are the people who have destroyed currencies, installed puppet
governments, created poverty for millions and replaced national sovereignty with
EU sovereignty through an authoritarian EU.
These politicians loathe normal people and have absolutely no regard for our
right to vote them in and out and have persistently lied and covered up the
systematic selling out of UK sovreignty over the last 45 years. They have betrayed us and think our rights can be disposed of as quickly and
with as little compunction as a knifeman slits the throat of a calf in an
abbatoir.
Britain is expected to lose its AAA credit rating this year, dealing a blow to George Osborne's defence of deep spending cuts as the key to retaining Britain's status with global investors.
Many economists predict at least one of the three main credit ratings agencies – Moody's, Fitch or Standard & Poor's – will declare the UK a bigger lending risk in response to the chancellor's admission in the autumn statement that austerity will run for at least eight years, until 2018, rather than the original five.
Those same economists largely agree that in a world where most developed countries have found life tough going, there will be little impact on the UK's creditworthiness. Like the US and France, which have already seen their pride dented by a demotion to AA, the UK will still be a safe haven for foreign cash, and thereby enjoy relatively low interest rates.
But lower growth and bigger borrowing add up to a greater risk that the UK will find 2013 tougher than expected.
All the major forecasters have downgraded growth for the coming year, including the Treasury's own Office for Budget Responsibility. The OBR's most recent outlook put growth in 2013 at 1.2% – down from the previous prediction of 2%. Not until 2017 does the trend return to a point where unemployment comes down in any significant way.
Part of the downgrade in growth stems from expectations of lacklustre investment spending by business. Without investment in new equipment, the economy is likely to suffer over the longer term. Osborne has promised a rise in public investment this year, partly to make up the difference, but only enough to make up a quarter of the total he cut in 2010.
In budget terms 2013 will be characterised by social security cuts, which are due to take effect in earnest after an initial focus on tax rises (the increase in VAT to 20%) and job losses in the public sector (more than 700,000 so far).
Britain is expected to lose its AAA credit rating this year, dealing a blow to George Osborne's defence of deep spending cuts as the key to retaining Britain's status with global investors.
Many economists predict at least one of the three main credit ratings agencies – Moody's, Fitch or Standard & Poor's – will declare the UK a bigger lending risk in response to the chancellor's admission in the autumn statement that austerity will run for at least eight years, until 2018, rather than the original five.
Those same economists largely agree that in a world where most developed countries have found life tough going, there will be little impact on the UK's creditworthiness. Like the US and France, which have already seen their pride dented by a demotion to AA, the UK will still be a safe haven for foreign cash, and thereby enjoy relatively low interest rates.
But lower growth and bigger borrowing add up to a greater risk that the UK will find 2013 tougher than expected.
All the major forecasters have downgraded growth for the coming year, including the Treasury's own Office for Budget Responsibility. The OBR's most recent outlook put growth in 2013 at 1.2% – down from the previous prediction of 2%. Not until 2017 does the trend return to a point where unemployment comes down in any significant way.
Part of the downgrade in growth stems from expectations of lacklustre investment spending by business. Without investment in new equipment, the economy is likely to suffer over the longer term. Osborne has promised a rise in public investment this year, partly to make up the difference, but only enough to make up a quarter of the total he cut in 2010.
In budget terms 2013 will be characterised by social security cuts, which are due to take effect in earnest after an initial focus on tax rises (the increase in VAT to 20%) and job losses in the public sector (more than 700,000 so far).
Sunday, October 14, 2012
The reporting in germany on the government response to developments at the IMF conference:
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-Schäuble ruled out OSI, sounded extremely unconvinced about a two year extention for Greece, and basically said things were going better than the media presented it.
-Brüderle (FDP Floor-Leader) said that he didn't see a majority in the Bundestag for a 3rd Greek Bailout. Which is polite language for "we're not voting for it". The CSU would be against, but has made no public comment. Plenty in the CDU would be against too, but the majority will hold to Merkel's line. The SPD are for it, as I think are the Greens.
So it looks like another one of those wrapped-together-with-sticky-tape temporary coalitions, to get it through the Bundestag. And probably bundled together with other applications from Spain, Slowenia, Cyprus.
European Central Bank policymaker Jörg Asmussen has argued against Greece leaving the eurozone, at the IMF/World Bank shindig in Tokyo. Asmussen argued that Athens was making good progress. The Greek authorities have to demonstrate that they can continue to stick to their commitments... This is the best way out of its crisis: for Greece to reform within the euro area....CNN is also focusing on the growing divisions between the IMF and the eurozone over austerity....Its correspondent, Andrew Stevens, writes from Tokyo:The EU will produce its own conclusions about the impact of austerity measures next month. Whether that brings us any closer to a consensus is hard to judge.....Remember the old joke about economists: if you laid all the economists in the world end-to-end you still wouldn't reach a conclusion. But this is no joking matter. Millions of Europeans have fallen into poverty or at least economic hardship as a result of the current austerity programs.
Saturday, October 13, 2012
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The country is already into its second recession since the financial crisis
and forecasters have been paring back growth expectations for the coming year.
Official unemployment makes up around a quarter of the potential labor force and
continues to rise. Even ignoring that the data are probably distorted upward by
overly generous employment protections that give firms strong incentives to use
unreported workers, the jobless rate is unsustainably high. Social and political
strife is already common. Even where economic measures have improved, the turnaround isn’t all
positive. For example, Spain has managed to turn its current-account deficit
into a surplus, but only because domestic demand and thus imports have
collapsed. The ratings agencies don’t tell us anything we don’t know. Their downgrades
have little or no significant bond-market impact. But they’re still relevant
because they confirm an increasingly gloomy outlook.
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
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He admits he has not done enough to get out and “explain” his government’s
programme at a time when the Tories are slumping in the polls and Whitehall is
gripped by a series of crises.
Mr Cameron vows to put this right from this week with a bid to reconnect with
the “striving” families who are facing tough times in the recession. He will offer packages of financial help - including a new council tax freeze
- without putting the coalition’s overall strategy of reducing Britain’s deficit
at risk. The Prime Minister also vows today to use Britain’s veto, if necessary, to
block “outrageous” attempts to increase the European Union’s overall budget in
upcoming negotiations to set total spending for the years 2014 to 2020. “If it
comes to saying 'no’ to a deal that isn’t right for Britain, I’ll say 'no’, he
declares.....So in a nutshell Cameron's vision is "let's give the middle classes a few
sops. threaten, but not mean, a veto on Europe, cut the Defence of the nation to
an unsustainable low level so we can give £ 12 Billion to people who would
prefer to slit our throats". And he thinks this is "explaining" his vision? And that this will cause his
support to increase? Is he mad, or just stupid?
He's been fighting back the second he got in office...fighting back to put
the under class or the common man ...back in time,a victorian over
lord...juicing out the masses, he does have a vision but it only includes
himself and the making the rich wealthier and the poor more impoverished.
What is this man doing in politics,his interests are supposed to be for all
classes...not sending money abroad,and to whom..Here we go again. Lots of sound bits and doubtless no action. What have we
achieved so far? Deficit still out of control and growing. Local authorities' (who supply most services) budget's cut by circa 30% .
Central government total budget cut by less than 1%
Much hyped bonfire of Quangos and red tape. There hasn't been even a spark
yet, let alone a bonfire.
Focus on economic growth. Nothing, otherwise we would see some growth.
Worse, more decisions that have a significant effect on the economy handed
further down the "food chain" to local ill-informed nimbys, who's only reaction
is ever "No" and who are naive (or less politely, ignorant) enough to vote for
any politician who promises to "Give them more power"! This ensures the country
is run by amateurs from top to bottom. Major projects that should have been
accelerated on day one of government, 3rd runway, infrastructure construction, a
scythe to anticompetitive employment, Health and Safety and other laws and
regulations are still no where near meaningful discussion, let alone real
action. In the meantime the far east creates and absorbs all the new world
growth, laughing at our hopeless leadership and huge unnecessary costs Even self preservation policies such as boundary changes are stuck with
inaction. What exactly has this government done? Answer, next to bu--er all. Where
are the men and women who really know the meaning of leadership, conviction,
honour and love of country? Easy, they are all disenfranchised by a bunch of
smug, hypocritical career politicians who have sown up their future and stitched
up our country at the same time!
Wednesday, August 8, 2012
Horst Reichenbach - The Governor of Greece ...no comment !
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The divisions within Europe were laid out in the weekend’s German press, where German regional finance minister, Markus Soeder, said that aid to Greece should be stopped. “When a country like Greece on a continuing basis cannot pay back debts, it must leave the eurozone,” he said. “Greece should quit by the end of the year.”... I read this and I couldn't see any real point in making any comment. What can really be said.. I saw the figures that last week over 36 billion left EU in capital flight....And the Entire EU Banking and Govt debt climbed in just one week by a little over 40 billion. Leaving in one week a net defecit of over 76 billio0n. Considering the EU banks balance sheets are over 46 trillion and rising and the ECB is over 5 trillion .. And between them the have to find over 30 trillion just to reduce leverage DOWN to Lehman levels, I wonder where, with 76 billion a week or 4 trillion a year defecit still going on they will find any real cash. And with half of Europe unemployed and a third of SME's busted and destroyed and bankrupted thoughout Southern Europe, just where this 76 billion a week to stop the hole geting bigger will come from seems to me a teeny little problem. Of course even if they can agree, printing can fix it,, but come on,, 30 trillion just to reduce leverage to Lehman levels . And not a drachma lira or peseta to be earned to pay for it.
You see the probem with this solution is that the EU has not yet passed any laws forbidding foreign ownership of any stocks and shares of EU companies. And that is a must before starting his presses and felling 98.3% of the worlds forests to print said 30 trillion. Because you see any foreigner can buy shares in EU companies with the prices demoninated in Euro vouchers.. And printing trillions more of these coupons or vouchers ......well would you want one. And of course without strict regulations forbidding anyone outside Europe owning those shares, then it wouldn't be long before you get Ethiopian Goat herders and Tuareg carpet salesmen saving up for a couple of weeks and buying a Utility or BMW or a knock down IT like SAP or how about say Gucci, half a goat and its yours.. Of course the evil monkey Mugabe, whose blueprint for success that they are basing their plans on, had the sense to nationalise all foreign owned land and assets first. Going by form this current shower of corrupt maggots passing themselves off as politicians will almost certainly f8ck the whole thing up and do it arse about face again.
Tum te tum, another day another debt.
Thursday, July 5, 2012
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In the absence of a level playing field, why shouldn't money flee the weaker countries, going to the financial institutions in the stronger? Indeed, it is remarkable that there has not been more capital flight. Europe's leaders did not recognise this rising danger, which could easily be averted by a common guarantee, which would simultaneously correct the market distortion arising from the differential implicit subsidy. The euro was flawed from the outset, but it was clear that the consequences would become apparent only in a crisis. Politically and economically, it came with the best intentions. The single-market principle was supposed to promote the efficient allocation of capital and labor. But details matter. Tax competition means that capital may go not to where its social return is highest, but to where it can find the best deal. The implicit subsidy to banks means that German banks have an advantage over those of other countries. Workers may leave Ireland or Greece not because their productivity there is lower, but because, by leaving, they can escape the debt burden incurred by their parents. The European Central Bank's mandate is to ensure price stability, but inflation is far from Europe's most important macroeconomic problem today.
AP - The European Parliament has overwhelmingly defeated the international ACTA anti-piracy agreement, after fears that it would limit Internet freedom mobilized broad opposition across Europe.
The vote Wednesday was 39 in favor, 478 against, with 165 abstentions.
The defeat means that, as far as the EU is concerned, the treaty is dead - at least for the moment - though other countries may participate.
A spokesman for the European Commission, the EU’s executive arm, said it may try again after it obtains a court ruling on whether the agreement violates fundamental EU rights.
Supporters said ACTA - the Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement - was needed to standardize international laws that protect the intellectual property rights.
Opponents feared it would lead to censorship and a loss of privacy on the Internet
AP - The European Parliament has overwhelmingly defeated the international ACTA anti-piracy agreement, after fears that it would limit Internet freedom mobilized broad opposition across Europe.
The vote Wednesday was 39 in favor, 478 against, with 165 abstentions.
The defeat means that, as far as the EU is concerned, the treaty is dead - at least for the moment - though other countries may participate.
A spokesman for the European Commission, the EU’s executive arm, said it may try again after it obtains a court ruling on whether the agreement violates fundamental EU rights.
Supporters said ACTA - the Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement - was needed to standardize international laws that protect the intellectual property rights.
Opponents feared it would lead to censorship and a loss of privacy on the Internet
Friday, June 29, 2012
Barclays is named as one of around 20 defendants, which also include Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC, as well as US lenders
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Saturday, June 23, 2012
HEY MERKEL ....Why don't you give it a rest?
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Just a small correction on your otherwise excellent judgement. Italian labor so called reforms have been rubbish. They are no reforms at all and are made to appear so, as a bargaining chip with Merkel. HEY MERKEL ....Why don't you give it a rest? Europe is closer? Are you quite mad or just happy to peddle lies ? Every poll, every indication, every election shows that more and more people dislike the EU and are against further integration. You and your friends in the EU have become fascists, attempting to impose your One Europe fantasy on an increasingly resistant population. How does that feel?
The fact of the matter is that the Italian establishment is thriving on this euro adventure, Their over valued euros finance property investments abroad. Just to give you an example an ordinary Italian would rather spend €5000 on an English study holiday in America or Britain rather than spend €700 on a perfectly normal course in a language school in Italy. And at the other end of the scale the same course is offered through government and EU subsidies at €100 by local authorities. This confirms the personal wealth issue of Italians and of course the nonsensical spending patterns caused by an essentially corrupt administrative system.
Sunday, June 10, 2012
Yep, Stiglitz and Krugman have been shouting from the rooftops ... but they are on the outside of the System ... they are effectively economic dissidents.
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European leaders hope a bailout will prevent a wider deterioration of the eurozone's fourth largest economy, which is paying punishing interest rates on borrowed money and is key to the survival of the single currency.
"The Spanish government states its intention to request European financing for the recapitalisation of banks that need it," the country's finance minister, Luis de Guindos, said after an emergency video conference with fellow eurozone ministers. It remained unclear, however, exactly how much of the €100bn Spain would need, with De Guindos saying it preferred to wait for two independent reports on its banking system before making a formal request. These reports would be ready within weeks or days, according to De Guindos, who implied that the final sum would be lower than €100bn. "The €100bn sum is a maximum figure," he stressed. "It includes a considerable margin of security."
Eurozone policymakers had been eager to shore up Spain's position before 17 June elections in Greece that could push Athens closer to a eurozone exit and unleash contagion. Various estimates have put the outside capital needed by Spanish banks at between €40bn and €100bn. "The loan amount must cover estimated capital requirements with an additional safety margin," the eurozone ministers said. (source : the guardian)
WELL ---the Spanish (and worldwide) Property Bubble. The gift that keeps on giving. If the Spanish banks own all these properties (I presume they own them), wouldn't it make more sense to sell them off at some ridiculously low price simply to not be carrying these negative assets on their books? The banks are never, ever going to get the ridiculously over-inflated prices that were so common during the heyday of the global property bubble; far better off for the banks to sell these properties for €1,000 or so and clear them off the books. I would imagine if that you could purchase, let's say, a 3 room apartment on the Mediterranean Coast for €4,000 don't think for one minute they wouldn't have buyers. Property prices aren't coming back, at least not in our lifetimes...THAT'S FOR SURE...
Thursday, June 7, 2012
The European Central Bank has announced its latest growth projections for the eurozone.
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In The U.K - Most analysts expect the MPC to maintain its current policy at the June
meeting, with interest rates staying at 0.5pc and the quantitative easing
programme at £325bn. However, demands for more QE have started to rise due to
the worsening crisis in the eurozone and signs that the US and Asian economies
are slowing. More QE will have only marginal effects in boosting growth. But if
the pressure facing Spanish banks puts the UK financial system at risk, an
increase in QE may be necessary. In the meantime though, the MPC should focus on
boosting the flow of credit to businesses. The
European Central Bank held its key interest rates steady at an
historic low of 1pc. All eyes are now on what Mario Draghi will say at his press
conference. The bets are that he will indicate a cut in interest rates and keep
pressure on eurozone leaders to act to stem the debt crisis. The ECB has passed the buck to eurozone governments, warning that the single
currency is under increasing threat. Mario Draghi talked
down the chance of more cheap LTRO funding once the current
batch runs out, saying it was wrong for monetary policy to fill a policy vacuum
created by others: The issue now is whether these LTROs would actually be
effective. Some of these problems in the euro area have nothing to do with
monetary policy... and I don't think it would be right for monetary policy to
fill other institutions' lack of action. The economic outlook for the
euro area is subject to increased downside risks relating in particular to a
further increase in the tensions in several euro area financial markets and
their potential spillover to the euro area real economy.
Saturday, May 19, 2012
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Elswhere in Europe - More than 400 people have been arrested today while participating in an
anti-capitalist protest outside the European Central Bank offices in Frankfurt,
Germany. "Blockupy Frankfurt" protesters have been in the city since Wednesday,
and have called for four days of protest against austerity measures in Europe.
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Lies and lies again ...The poisen = is the euro ...it should go and Germany should be on trial again for the distruction of europe !!!
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Just last night, chancellor George Osborne warned that the eurozone crisis was affecting the wider economy, saying in Brussels that:
The euro zone crisis is having a real impact on growth across the European continent, including Britain....The British recovery has been damaged over the last two years not by Britain getting a grip on its public finances but by uncertainty in the euro zone.
So it's somewhat embarrassing to now find that the Eurozone managed to avoid contracting in the last three months, while the UK shrank by 0.2% (although, in the spirit of balance, many business leaders reckon that reading was too negative). Ed Balls, Labour's shadow chancellor, has already argued that today's GDP data shows the UK's double-dip was caused by domestic policy.
BS no. 2 ---- A strong performance by the powerhouse German economy, which grew by 0.5pc, helped haul the 17-members over the line and prevented the eurozone recording a second quarter of contraction in a row, according to the latest figures from Eurostat. In the fourth quarter of 2011, eurozone GDP shrank by 0.3pc.
Howard Archer, economist at Global Insight, said: “While it is welcome news that the eurozone avoided recession, its performance is hardly something to celebrate as GDP was only flat year-on-year in the first quarter of 2012. Furthermore, generally weaker latest data and, particularly, survey evidence suggests that renewed GDP contraction is very much on the menu for the second quarter.”
The debt crisis took its toll on the other core economies. French GDP failed to grow at all in the first three months of the year; Austria and Belgium showed modest growth; the recession in the Netherlands continued as its economy contracted 0.2pc quarter-on-quarter.
Thursday, March 22, 2012
Tensions within the zone are mounting as we enter this week
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Britain is considered governable, but that might change after Wednesday's strike of public service workers shuts down the country. The failure of the super committee to find some trivial deficit reductions means America might also slip into the ungovernable category. And the Federal Reserve Board is imposing new stress tests to determine whether leading banks can withstand a wave of sovereign- debt and bank defaults in Europe. One thing is certain: The euro cannot survive without a major change in the governance structure of the euro zone. The first prescription for what ails the zone was "austerity", but that has produced recessions and government oustings. Then came the European Financial Stability Facility, but it turns out to be too puny to halt the bond vigilantes' rampage through the euro zone, and anyhow rests in part on France's waning ability to join Germany as a guarantor by retaining its triple-A credit rating. The European Central Bank, operating within the legal limits imposed on it by thetreaties that govern the European Union, is providing some liquidity to the banks and a bit of relief on the interest-rate front for sovereign borrowers, but it cannot do much to prevent the insolvent from being forced to default. Ms. Merkel, Germany's latest Iron Chancellor, has set her face against any of the measures that might stem the tide that is about to engulf the euro. She is against allowing the ECB to become the lender of last resort, aka printer of money. She refuses to share her balance sheet with stressed countries by allowing the issuance of euro-bonds, until they reform, even though such reforms cannot be implemented in time to head off sovereign defaults that would take down many under-capitalized European banks, now desperately juggling their books to inflate their capital ratios.
Thursday, September 1, 2011
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Friday, July 15, 2011
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Thursday, July 7, 2011
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