
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Thursday, November 3, 2011

Sunday, October 30, 2011
Not Germany, Austria, or Switzerland is Italy

Saturday, October 29, 2011

"To fulfill its mission, EFSF issues bonds or other debt instruments on the capital markets. EFSF is backed by guarantee commitments from the euro area Member States for a total of €780 billion and has a lending capacity of €440 billion."
Therefore if I was the responsible person in the Chinese government, or indeed any other investor who might be interested, I would be looking ahead to how the yuan-euro exchange rate might change during the lifetime of the bonds denominated in Yuan. To the extent that I anticipated that the yuan would strengthen against the euro, I would also anticipate an effective weakening of the euro denominated guarantees of yuan denominated bonds. To take a simple illustration, if I anticipated that the value of the yuan would double against that of the euro then I would calculate that if the EFSF only issued bonds denominated in yuan then the effective value of the €780 billion total guarantees would be halved, meaning that its effective borrowing and lending capacity would be halved from €440 billion to €220 billion. And if the EFSF is expected to provide guarantees to assist a second SPV or SPIV to borrow much larger sums, anything which erodes the effective value of the guarantees provided to the EFSF by the eurozone state governments must also erode its capacity to provide guarantees to that larger SPIV.
Therefore if I was the responsible person in the Chinese government, or indeed any other investor who might be interested, I would be looking ahead to how the yuan-euro exchange rate might change during the lifetime of the bonds denominated in Yuan. To the extent that I anticipated that the yuan would strengthen against the euro, I would also anticipate an effective weakening of the euro denominated guarantees of yuan denominated bonds. To take a simple illustration, if I anticipated that the value of the yuan would double against that of the euro then I would calculate that if the EFSF only issued bonds denominated in yuan then the effective value of the €780 billion total guarantees would be halved, meaning that its effective borrowing and lending capacity would be halved from €440 billion to €220 billion. And if the EFSF is expected to provide guarantees to assist a second SPV or SPIV to borrow much larger sums, anything which erodes the effective value of the guarantees provided to the EFSF by the eurozone state governments must also erode its capacity to provide guarantees to that larger SPIV.
Friday, October 28, 2011
Greece has a "governor" - Horst Reichenbach

Friday, October 21, 2011

The European Union's executive may ask for powers to censor credit ratings for countries in crisis, its financial reform chief said on Thursday, describing a ban as one way of stopping fallout from "ill-thought-out" ratings. The proposal, which officials cautioned may be impossible to police, would be the most stringent curb yet on rating agencies and highlights frustration in France, which was this week warned by Moody's that its top rating was under threat, and Germany. "These rating agencies should probably be considered one of the causes of this crisis," said Michel Barnier, the former French foreign minister who is now the EU commissioner in charge of regulating finance.
Friday, October 14, 2011
Geting closer to the Ribbentrop - Molotov Pact implemetation ..!!!

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Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Sunday, October 9, 2011

Friday, October 7, 2011

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Why not just abandon the mistake and revert to national currencies. If managed properly it should not be disastrous, but just a money changing exercise, which puts right the daft notion of a common currency in the current situation. They changed to the euro quite simply so change back quite simply and let the drachma etc. float. Debts will still remain but national economies will adjust. The E.U. dinosaur will not like it, but when you make a mistake instead of trying to fudge a solution it is better in the long run to face reality.
The next step is to revert the E.U. to the common market and the ECU and forget federalization and the human rights act, both of which hinder progress and national ambitions. I believe the above would receive the whole-hearted support of the European nations.
The next step is to revert the E.U. to the common market and the ECU and forget federalization and the human rights act, both of which hinder progress and national ambitions. I believe the above would receive the whole-hearted support of the European nations.
Saturday, September 10, 2011

Wednesday, September 7, 2011
German High Court - ruling against Germany and the German People

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Fears of "currency wars" characterized by competitive devaluations and protectionism continue to dominate headlines in the run–up to the G20 summit in November. In our lead article this week, we examine Brazil's latest policy response to the appreciation of its currency. By raising the tax on capital inflows again, however, the government is unlikely to slow the Real's rise for long. China, too, remains central to the global debate over exchange rates. We focus on the record rise in the country's foreign reserves, a development certain to fuel further calls for revaluation, even though abrupt change is neither likely nor desirable.Elsewhere, French strikers are on the warpath over proposed pension reforms. With more austerity on the way, tensions between the government and the public could drag on. Nor is France, of course, the only country grappling with the consequences of belt–tightening. From Risk Briefing we feature a webcast with our UK analyst, Neil Prothero, who expects the cuts announced in the British government's spending review to hit economic growth.Industry Briefing looks at the rise of micro finance in Europe, which suggests that micro loans are not just relevant to borrowers in poor countries. Finally, Executive Briefing examines a refreshingly counter–intuitive social networking strategy, the idea of which is to connect with fewer, not more, people as a means of deepening relationships with customers.How do these issues affect your business? Please let me know at: arbitraj@aol.com
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