More about BIS from "The Tower of Basel" an excellent book..

"The BIS is a unique institution: an international organization, an extremely profitable bank and a research institute founded, and protected, by international treaties. The BIS is accountable to its customers and shareholders—the central banks—but also guides their operations. The main tasks of a central bank, the BIS argues, are to control the flow of credit and the volume of currency in circulation, which will ensure a stable business climate, and to keep exchange rates within manageable bands to ensure the value of a currency and so smooth international trade and capital movements. This is crucial, especially in a globalized economy, where markets react in microseconds and perceptions of economic stability and value are almost as important as reality itself.The BIS also helps to supervise commercial banks, although it has no legal powers over them. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, based at the BIS, regulates commercial banks’ capital and liquidity requirements. It requires banks to have a minimum capital of eight percent of risk-weighted assets when lending, meaning that if a bank has risk-weighted assets of $100 million it must maintain at least $8 million capital. The committee has no powers of enforcement, but it does have enormous moral authority. “This regulation is so powerful that the eight percent principle has been set into national laws,” said Peter Akos Bod. “It’s like voltage. Voltage has been set at 220. You may decide on ninety-five volts, but it would not work.” In theory, sensible housekeeping and mutual cooperation, overseen by the BIS, will keep the global financial system functioning smoothly. In theory....The BIS is now the world’s thirtieth-largest holder of gold reserves, with 119 metric tons—more than Qatar, Brazil, or Canada. Membership of the BIS remains a privilege rather than a right. The board of directors is responsible for admitting central banks judged to “make a substantial contribution to international monetary cooperation and to the Bank’s activities.” China, India, Russia, and Saudi Arabia joined only in 1996. The bank has opened offices in Mexico City and Hong Kong but remains very Eurocentric. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Slovenia, and Slovakia (total population 16.2 million) have been admitted, while Pakistan (population 169 million) has not. Nor has Kazakhstan, which is a powerhouse of Central Asia. In Africa only Algeria and South Africa are members—Nigeria, which has the continent’s second-largest economy, has not been admitted. (The BIS’s defenders say that it demands high governance standards from new members and when the national banks of countries such as Nigeria and Pakistan reach those standards, they will be considered for membership.)"

WSJ - Ireland's economy slid into crisis in 2008 when the bursting of its property bubble wrecked the country's banks and brought the euro-zone member close to bankruptcy. In late 2010, the government secured €67.5 billion ($91.54 billion) in loans from the EU and IMF, the last of which will be disbursed over the next two months. From next year, the government will have to finance itself exclusively through the bond markets. Finance Minister Michael Noonan told lawmakers that the budget will introduce up to €2.5 billion in new tax increases and spending cuts, saying that Ireland will better the deficit target for 2014 that was set under its bailout agreement. The proposed cuts are the smallest since 2008. Under the budget, the deficit is planned to fall to 4.8% of gross domestic product in 2014 from 7.3% this year. The government is committed to reducing its deficit to below 3% of GDP in 2015. Required to keep cutting its deficit over the next two years, Ireland's government will then be obliged to endure a tight regime of fiscal oversight for many more years to cut its towering national debt.  Despite those constraints, Mr. Noonan told lawmakers that in ending its dependence on EU and IMF loans, the nation would regain control over its own destiny.

"We have a fair wind at our backs to achieve our objectives and to restore our sovereignty," he said.

After the long years of sacrifice, the government is seeking to shore up faltering public support for austerity, describing its 2014 budget as one of the last of the big painful efforts to move the country out of crisis and into recovery. The leaders of the two parties in the coalition government have said there is now clear evidence that the country is emerging from its "national emergency."

There is much at stake for the euro zone, which has also provided bailouts to Greece, Portugal, Cyprus and Spain. A successful return to the bond markets for Ireland would offer euro-zone policy makers a rare opportunity to claim a success for their much-criticized strategy for confronting the currency area's fiscal and banking crisis, one that has relied heavily on austerity.

Mr. Noonan said that for the first time since the onset of the financial crisis, the government will post a primary budget surplus next year. That would mean that excluding interest payments, its tax revenues would exceed its spending, helping to cap its huge debts.

Tuesday's budget means that since 2008, Ireland has detailed cuts to its budget totaling a cumulative €30 billion, representing about 18.5% of the country's annual economic output and making it one of the largest austerity programs undertaken anywhere in the aftermath of the financial crisis.

The EU and IMF and other institutions, such as the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council and the Irish central bank, had urged the government to go further and meet in full a proposed €3.1 billion in deficit cuts, to safeguard its finances. But the coalition projects that it will still meet its bailout budget targets in 2014 and 2015, and help promote jobs.

Hmmm...I wonder what would the master EU idiot - Ollie R. say about this ...

Telling people that they can lose their deposits, even possibly below guaranteed amount (100,000 euros), which later was retracted, had not been a mistake. Firstly people realized and got used to the idea that such thing was no longer unthinkable. Secondly, by hitting deposits above 100,000 euros with up to 40% (or even maybe up to 60%) tax, it was made clear that such hit can be very hard indeed. Not some 6.75% or 9.9% as originally mooted: so now it is matter for the 'financial markets' to extend their target, below 100,000 euros. It is indeed a very primitive piece of social engineering and coaching people for the forthcoming loss. It is preparing psychologically all countries in Europe for the next step of the largest heist in history: direct and hard targeting of people's deposits. There is also a rather ironic twist in the events in Cyprus. It has been widely reported that many billions of euros held in banks in Cyprus came from all sorts of dodgy businesses (Russia?). There is even a whispering subliminal propaganda designed to make it easier to accept this new phase of the largest heist in history. The message is that there is nothing wrong in stealing money from the thieves.

Technically what happened there was that the billions of euros in cash deposited in Cyprus was used to redeem for a lot of toxic waste of the financial institutions (it is called 'making investments' in a financial language, with depositors cash). So, as expected, those who had cash ended up with nothing and those who held (and are still generating) zillions of toxic waste, got another tranche of their heist. The largest heist in history continues. Now...if it is true, as it is widely rumored, that many billions of euros of mafia money have been kept in Cyprus and now something like 40% or even 60% are going to be lost, one could wonder whether European politicians, central bankers, who drive this process, e.g. finance ministers, or some other decision makers, even lower down the chain, are going to sleep comfortably. Or are they going to think more about their own and their families safety? Is mafia going to accept such multibillion euros loss? Or would they plan to teach a lesson in order to get their money back, to get a compensation for the current 'inconvenience' and mess and to make sure such a thing is unthinkable in the future. Mafia starts wars when there is big money at stake. And in Cyprus some powerful groups lost billions of euros. Therefore we can also look forward to listen to some interesting news. Don't be surprised.

You can't have your cake and eat it...

Given that the overall public debt of Greece is approximately Euro 360 billion, this means an effective annual interest rate of approximately 3.7% for Greek public debt . A better interest rate than many other countries would get.  None of the above denies that Greece's economy is in a terrible mess and that many of its poorer citizens suffer.  Posting agitprop on Guardian bulletin boards won't change that, dear Kouros, neither will the stopping of paying taxes in Greece change that, which you also advocate for frequently in your comments. Paying no taxes means no money for schools to educate children, no money for medicines to be given to sick people, no money for pensions to be given to old people in Greece.

Well, otherwise .... For too long in Europe (and elsewhere) governments have run deficits, and have added to their overall debt. The only way to run those deficits and have that level of debt is through the bond market. All of us have enjoyed high standards on living, and some of that is paid for on tick, where are children will end up picking up the tab.   I don't see how anyone can blame the bond traders for charging higher interest rates if through their own risk assessment it looks like that debt will either never be paid back, or will be swollowed up through inflation.  Either a government runs near on balanced budgets which means the electorate not voting for high public spending 'free monkey in every office' political parties, so the bond markets have very little to do with economic decisions, or the electorate go for those parties and accept high debts and deficits which leaves them beholding to the bond markets.  You can't have your cake and eat it.

The World Trade Organisation warning

The World Trade Organisation has warned the outlook for global trade is deteriorating, citing the eurozone crisis as the main drag on growth.  The WTO slashed its forecast for global trade growth this year from 3.7% to 2.5% onprevious 20-year average. The WTO director general, Pascal Lamy, said there was more risk of things getting worse than better.

The news came as Brazil's finance minister lambasted the US and Japan for their latest rounds of quantitative easing, which will devalue their currencies and, he said, trigger a global currency war.

Next year the WTO expects trade to grow by 4.5%, compared with previous forecasts of 5.6% growth. That forecast is, however, based on the assumption that current policy measures will be enough to avoid a breakup of the euro and that US politicians will reach an agreement to stabilise public finances and avoid the "fiscal cliff". The WTO is targeting 1.5% growth in exports from developed economies, down from its previous forecast of 2% growth. The situation has deteriorated even more for developing countries, where the WTO cut its forecast from 5.6% growth to 3.5%.

 

Lies and lies again ...The poisen = is the euro ...it should go and Germany should be on trial again for the distruction of europe !!!

BS no 1. ----The news that the eurozone has avoided recession is politically tricky for the UK government, which has repeatedly blamed Britain's economic woes on the problems over the English Channel.

Just last night, chancellor George Osborne warned that the eurozone crisis was affecting the wider economy, saying in Brussels that:

The euro zone crisis is having a real impact on growth across the European continent, including Britain....

The British recovery has been damaged over the last two years not by Britain getting a grip on its public finances but by uncertainty in the euro zone.

So it's somewhat embarrassing to now find that the Eurozone managed to avoid contracting in the last three months, while the UK shrank by 0.2% (although, in the spirit of balance, many business leaders reckon that reading was too negative). Ed Balls, Labour's shadow chancellor, has already argued that today's GDP data shows the UK's double-dip was caused by domestic policy.

BS no. 2 ---- A strong performance by the powerhouse German economy, which grew by 0.5pc, helped haul the 17-members over the line and prevented the eurozone recording a second quarter of contraction in a row, according to the latest figures from Eurostat. In the fourth quarter of 2011, eurozone GDP shrank by 0.3pc.

Howard Archer, economist at Global Insight, said: “While it is welcome news that the eurozone avoided recession, its performance is hardly something to celebrate as GDP was only flat year-on-year in the first quarter of 2012. Furthermore, generally weaker latest data and, particularly, survey evidence suggests that renewed GDP contraction is very much on the menu for the second quarter.”

The debt crisis took its toll on the other core economies. French GDP failed to grow at all in the first three months of the year; Austria and Belgium showed modest growth; the recession in the Netherlands continued as its economy contracted 0.2pc quarter-on-quarter.

IMF ....explained ...

IMF in context (explained) : As of mid 2008, the IMF had around $1,6 billion in the bank. Compared to the sums involved in the designed financial collapse, this represents a grain of sand on Peblle Beach. There was a story about the IMF selling off 400 tons of gold. We don't know if this was real gold, tungsten coated bars, or pure make believe gold?? There were stories floating around that India would pay hard cash for this imaginary gold, but then all went quiet.....Whatever reserves the IMF has acquired since the designed financial collapse, they are digitally created Monopoly Money reserves. The IMF is a global extortion racket...they force cuts, force payments to bust banks, in exchange for Monopoly Money created out of thin air, that states will pay back with REAL money, plus interest....nice business !!!...The US is already broke. Britain is broke and Canada wants to stay solvent. Why would anyone in their right mind impose more sacrifices on their own people to prop up an insane political project like the Euro?The argument that it is in their own self-interests doesn't wash as there will inevitably be a day of reckoning for this mess and delaying it will make the pain worse all around, not better; so its time for Europe to bite the bullet rather than taking everyone else down with them.....And... the news item : Global politics and economic theory don’t lend themselves easily to punch lines. But in January this year, Christine Lagarde managed to inject a little light relief into proceedings at the World Economic Forum. Holding up her Louis Vuitton handbag, the new managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) turned to her fellow power brokers in one session and said: “I am here, with my little bag, to collect a bit of money.” The joke broke the ice and the room rippled with laughter. But, beneath the disarming charm, Lagarde was deadly serious. For months now, the IMF has been trying to coerce its 187 members into committing as much as $600bn (£378bn) more to the fund to build what she described at the Brookings Institute in Washington last week as a “global firewall” to defeat once and for all the European sovereign debt crisis.

A draft summit statement obtained by telegraph.co.uk on Thursday revealed plans for a revised European Stability Mechanism (ESM) treaty by the end of November which will be brought into force as soon as possible before June 2013. The ESM has been designed as the permanent replacement of the EFSF. Opposition to the bail-out plans was reinforced when Germany's growth forecast for next year was cut to 1pc down from a previous 1.8pc. The first summit starts on Friday afternoon with a meeting of finance ministers. Stephen King, chief economist at HSBC, said: "Keeping the eurozone together will involve huge financial resources and considerable ingenuity. The alternative would be worse. We argue that a break-up of the euro would be a disaster, and in a worst-case scenario could trigger another Great Depression." Meanwhile, former Prime Minister Gordon Brown has said that failure by European leaders to quickly resolve a growing financial crisis risks sparking “havoc” as Europe’s troubled banks tip the continental economy into recession. “The truth is that European banks are in a worse state than American banks, that they never really recapitalized even though they said they would,” Mr Brown said. “They didn’t write off their toxic assets. They’re not lending, and they’ve been trying to disguise the extent of the problems they face.”

The news from Brussels is that the European Financial Stability Facility is likely to be increased through means of a guarantee system. Eurozone officials are briefing that the EFSF will promise investors who buy Spanish, Italian or other debt that it will cover a portion of losses, potentially allowing it to guarantee a lot more debt than the fund is worth - €440bn. The guarantee idea is not new, but suggestions that it is the most likely solution is interesting. "This idea is the main contender," an unspecified eurozone official told Reuters. Some more poor statistics, this time from Germany. The ZEW Institute's monthly survey of German analyst and investor sentiment shows confidence falling to its lowest level in nearly three years. ZEW economist Michael Schroeder said he thought the country may already be in recession. he September figure should represent a peak in the rate of inflation, with petrol price rises and January's VAT hike falling out of the year-on-year comparisons in the fourth quarter and the new year respectively. Commodity prices, which tend to lead consumer prices, have fallen just over 10% from the peak seen in February, which also suggests we should see some further downward pressure on inflation.

Germany is said to support a move by the European Banking Authority to raise minimum capitalisation levels, a change that would lead to a need for financial support for banks with exposure to Greek or other sovereign debt risk. Mrs Merkel’s comments came as European Union finance ministers asked the European Banking Authority, Europe’s leading bank regulator, to test the strength of banks based on a large writedown of Greek sovereign debt, something many investors have called for. On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had urged radical changes in the way the eurozone debt crisis was being handled and called for a €100bn to €200bn recapitalisation of European banks. Germany's intervention soothed markets but will intensify pressure on France. France, with banks that are among the most exposed, including its stake in Dexia, is opposed to recapitalisation. Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, is concerned that the huge sums he might have to pay out could threaten the French AAA sovereign debt rating ahead of elections next year. Mrs Merkel dismissed suggestions that Greece could leave the eurozone and called on the last remaining national parliaments, in Holland, Malta and Slovakia, to approve measures allowing the €440bn European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) to recapitalise banks and to buy bonds The EU and US are infected with uncontrollable spending, which is, clearly, the only thing that supports our Nanny State governments. We cannot grow out of this mess because government is too big and consumes too much of the economic energy in any state. Germany are still playing for time. This talk is just enough to keep the gravy train for Germany's exporter going with a shaky devalued euro. Germany still enjoys its economic miracle whilst presently inflicting pain on southern europe, Merkle's talk is that, all talk, Germany will not put up any real money.
Time for Germay, Finland, Austria, Netherlands, Luxumburg and perhaps france to leave the Euro.

AUSTRIA - Austrian lawmakers have voted to expand the powers of the eurozone's bailout fund, which is designed to help Greece and other potentially struggling countries deal with their debts. Friday's passage means that Austria guarantees to provide 21.6 billion euros ($29.4 billion) to the fund, compared to 12.2 billion euros previously. If all 17 eurozone nations agree to increase their share, the fund will have 440 billion euros ($600 billion) at its disposal. Parliament's backing had been expected, with the governing center-left coalition supported by the opposition Greens in backing the measure. Only two rightist parties opposed the bill. Austria's endorsement comes a day after German parliamentarians approved beefing up the so-called European Financial Stability Facility.

"Germany neither intends nor wishes to interfere in the internal affairs of Austria, to annex Austria, or to conclude an Anschluss."
Adolf Hitler - 21st May 1935

Investors have pulled more money from U.S. equity funds since the end of April than in the five months after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., adding to the $2.1 trillion rout in American stocks. About $75 billion was withdrawn from funds that focus on shares during the past four months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from the Investment Company Institute, a Washington-based trade group, and EPFR Global, a research firm in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Outflows totaled $72.8 billion from October 2008 through February 2009, following Lehman’s bankruptcy, the data show. $177.7 billion has been removed during the past 30 months from mutual and exchange-traded funds that invest in U.S. shares as the benchmark gauge for American equity rallied as much as 102 percent, before falling 17.9 percent through Aug. 8. Investors pumped in $18.7 billion during the first four months of 2011, before removing about four times that amount since, according to the average of data from EPFR and ICI, the money managers’ trade group. The August estimate doesn’t include ETF data from ICI. Bond funds added $42.3 billion from the end of April through July and started posting weekly outflows last month, according to ICI. Since the bull market began, fixed-income managers have received a net $666.4 billion.

Stocks sank, while the euro touched a ten-year low versus the yen and a six-month low against the dollar, as concern grew about Greece’s debt crisis. European bank and sovereign credit risk reached all-time highs as 10-year Treasury yields slid to a record. Oil fell 2 percent. The MSCI All-Country World Index retreated 2.9 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 2.7 percent to 1,154.23 at the 4 p.m. close in New York, wiping out a weekly gain. The euro sank as much as 2.1 percent to 105.3 yen and fell 1.8 percent to $1.3627 before trimming losses. Ten-year Treasury yields slid as low as 1.89 percent. Credit-default swaps signaled a more than 90 percent probability Greece will default. Stocks extended losses as three German officials said Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is preparing plans to shore up banks in the event that Greece defaults. The European Central Bank said Juergen Stark resigned from the executive board, suggesting policy makers are divided over how to fight the debt crisis. U.S. President Barack Obama called on Congress last night to pass a $447 billion plan to boost employment after jobs growth stalled last month. “There’s that nagging thought that we can continue to have a downward spiral in Europe,” James Dunigan, chief investment officer in Philadelphia for PNC Wealth Management, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees $109 billion

European debt crisis --Barclays Capital caught the mood best – the result was "more than expected but not enough to make us sleep soundly". First, the definite good news. The yield on Greek two-year debt has plunged from 40% to 28%. Clearly, even the lower rate shows Greece is miles away from being able to fund itself in the market. But the danger of an imminent chaotic default has been removed by the eurozone's softer stance on lending. The country will get €109bn (£96bn) of loans at 3.5%, ranging from 15 years to 30 years in length. The banks will volunteer (ie have their arms twisted) to join the relief effort, but not by so much as to trigger worries about holes being ripped in their balance sheets. The precise sums are hard to determine given the complexity of the volunteering menu but the hit to the private sector could be €50bn for 2011-14, calculate analysts; banks will count that as a good result for themselves. But will the assistance be enough to shift Greece back on the road to financial solvency? And is the eurozone now equipped to cope with an outbreak of worry about Spanish and Italian debt? It is hard to answer "yes" to either question. The debt-relief programme simply doesn't look big enough to be a permanent solution. The country's debt-to-GDP ratio, previously set to hit 160%, could still emerge as high as 130% and its economy still looks too uncompetitive and too weak to allow higher tax rates to take a meaningful bite out of the debt pile Well, four years after the beginning of the 2007-8 financial collapse, this time it is different. After a recession, one normally expects a recovery in the major industrial economies. This time, recovery has had to be postponed – except, for a time, in Germany. Which is a disappointment, evidently, to our chancellor, George Osborne, who last week conducted a dramatic U-turn with regard to his party's view of the eurozone. Our very Conservative chancellor is now in favour of greater European integration, and has declared that "the remorseless logic" of monetary union is greater fiscal union. The "remorseless logic" is hardly news to those of us who, while being pro-European, were always concerned about the deficiencies of a monetary union without a full fiscal counterpart. But what is new is the chancellor's enthusiasm for it. The motive for this change in Treasury – as opposed to Foreign Office – policy towards the eurozone is not at all hard to find. Osborne was quite candid: if the eurozone crisis spirals out of control – 40% of our exports go to the eurozone – it will exacerbate what Osborne acknowledges is Britain's "tough" economic situation.

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